Liga Profesional de Fútbol · Argentina 🕒 Wednesday 28th January, 01:15 GMT

Newell's Old Boys vs Independiente Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Newell's Old Boys Home · 12th 1W 4D 5L last 10 home
VS
Independiente Away · 9th 3W 3D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Newell's Old Boys 26% Draw 29% Independiente 45%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Newell's Old Boys vs Independiente Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Newell's Old Boys have stayed under 3 goals in 90% of home games, Independiente in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
26% Newell's Old Boys win 29% Draw 45% Independiente win 43% BTTS 38% Over 2.5 Goals 0-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
82% Under 3.5 Goals

Newell's Old Boys sit 12th in the table, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Independiente are 9th, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. Newell's Old Boys have won 1/10 home games (10%) this season; Independiente have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Newell's Old Boys have seen 3+ goals in only 10% of home fixtures; Independiente in 40% away. Newell's Old Boys average 0.6 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, Independiente 1.2 and 1.4 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Independiente regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Newell's Old Boys are lower at home (40%, 4/10) — they've conceded in 80% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Newell's Old Boys see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Independiente in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Newell's Old Boys (12th) and Independiente (9th) sit in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
13 Independiente A 17 6 6 5 25:23 +2 24
26 Newell's Old Boys H 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
View the full Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 River Plate 20 11 3 6 29:17 +12 36
2 Belgrano 20 10 6 4 24:16 +8 36
3 Argentinos Juniors 19 10 6 3 21:14 +7 36
4 Independiente Rivadavia 17 10 4 3 30:17 +13 34
5 Rosario Central 19 10 4 5 25:19 +6 34
6 Estudiantes 17 9 4 4 19:8 +11 31
7 Boca Juniors 17 8 6 3 24:12 +12 30
8 Gimnasia La Plata 18 9 2 7 20:21 -1 29
9 Vélez Sarsfield 17 7 7 3 18:13 +5 28
10 Talleres Córdoba 17 7 5 5 17:14 +3 26
11 Huracán 18 6 7 5 20:16 +4 25
12 Unión Santa Fe 18 6 6 6 26:23 +3 24
13 Independiente A 17 6 6 5 25:23 +2 24
14 Racing Club 18 6 6 6 19:17 +2 24
15 Lanús 17 6 6 5 18:17 +1 24
16 San Lorenzo 17 5 8 4 16:16 0 23
17 Instituto 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
18 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
19 Tigre 16 4 8 4 18:15 +3 20
20 Defensa y Justicia 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
21 Sarmiento 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
22 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
23 Banfield 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
24 Platense 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
25 Central Cordoba SdE 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
26 Newell's Old Boys H 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
27 Atlético Tucumán 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
28 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
29 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
30 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5

Team Form

Newell's Old Boys have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Independiente have been more resilient on the road (40% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H Newell's Old Boys — last 10 home A Independiente — last 10 away
Won
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Independiente regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Newell's Old Boys are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Newell's Old Boys — last 10 home A Independiente — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Scored Themselves
H
5/10 (50%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 43% · BTTS No 57%

Match Goals

Newell's Old Boys have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 10% of home games, Independiente in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Newell's Old Boys — last 10 home A Independiente — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Newell's Old Boys have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Independiente in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Newell's Old Boys 0.6 scored · 1.3 conceded per home game Independiente 1.2 scored · 1.4 conceded per away game
H Newell's Old Boys — last 10 home A Independiente — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Newell's Old Boys 6 scored / 13 conceded at home · Independiente 12 scored / 14 conceded away

Match Corners

Newell's Old Boys have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Independiente in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Newell's Old Boys — last 10 home A Independiente — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Newell's Old Boys have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Independiente have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Newell's Old Boys — last 10 home A Independiente — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Newell's Old Boys and Independiente. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

26 Nov 2024
Newell's Old Boys
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Independiente
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Jul 2023
Independiente
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Newell's Old Boys
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Sep 2022
Independiente
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Newell's Old Boys
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Oct 2021
Newell's Old Boys
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Independiente
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
05 Mar 2021
Newell's Old Boys
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
Independiente
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Dec 2019
Independiente
2 – 3 HT: 2-1
Newell's Old Boys
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Aug 2018
Newell's Old Boys
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Independiente
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Apr 2018
Newell's Old Boys
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Independiente
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 May 2017
Newell's Old Boys
2 – 4 HT: 1-1
Independiente
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Feb 2015
Newell's Old Boys
2 – 3 HT: 0-2
Independiente
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Newell's Old Boys vs Independiente across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Newell's Old Boys 3.75 Model: 26%
Draw 3.05 Model: 29%
Value Independiente 2.42 Model: 45%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.42 Model: 43%
No 1.68 Model: 57%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.68 Model: 65%
Value Over 2.5 3.05 Model: 38%
Value Over 3.5 6.6 Model: 18%
Under 1.5 2.4 Model: 35%
Under 2.5 1.47 Model: 62%
Under 3.5 1.13 Model: 82%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.61 Model: 71%
Over 1.5 3.7

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.38 Model: 47%
Over 9.5 1.65 Model: 36%
Over 10.5 2.05 Model: 26%
Over 11.5 2.63 Model: 19%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Newell's Old Boys 4.47 Model: 19%
Draw 1.96 Model: 49%
Independiente 3.26 Model: 33%

Double Chance

Newell's Old Boys or Draw 1.57 Model: 55%
Newell's Old Boys or Independiente 1.43 Model: 71%
Draw or Independiente 1.32 Model: 74%

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5 1.64 Model: 57%
Over 1.5 3.5 Model: 22%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 1.4 Model: 71%
Value Over 1.5 2.95 Model: 37%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II 21:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Chicago Fire II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Inter Miami II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.91
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Newell's Old Boys vs Independiente Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Newell's Old Boys vs Independiente?

Under 2.5 Goals — Newell's Old Boys have stayed under 3 goals in 90% of home games, Independiente in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Newell's Old Boys or Independiente?

Independiente hold a slight form advantage away (30% wins) over Newell's Old Boys at home (10% wins) in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Newell's Old Boys and Independiente?

Possibly — Independiente regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Newell's Old Boys are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Newell's Old Boys and Independiente?

Uncertain — Newell's Old Boys have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 10% of home games, Independiente in 40% of away games in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Newell's Old Boys or Independiente?

Independiente have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Newell's Old Boys's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Newell's Old Boys and Independiente?

Newell's Old Boys have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Independiente in 50% of away games in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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