Meistriliiga · Estonia 🕒 Saturday 4th July, 17:00 BST

Paide vs Vaprus Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Paide Home 5W 1D 4L last 10 home
VS
Vaprus Away 3W 1D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Paide 64% Draw 20% Vaprus 16%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Paide vs Vaprus Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Paide see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Vaprus in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
64% Paide win 20% Draw 16% Vaprus win 58% BTTS 62% Over 2.5 Goals 2-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
82% Over 1.5 Goals

Paide average 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Vaprus average 0.8 scored and 2 conceded in away fixtures. Paide have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Vaprus have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Paide have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games this season (4/10); Vaprus in 60% away (6/10). Paide average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, Vaprus 0.8 and 2 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Paide at 50% in home games (5/10), Vaprus at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Vaprus are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Paide are lower at home (50%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

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League Table

Where Paide and Vaprus sit in the Meistriliiga table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
4 Paide H 16 7 4 5 24:20 +4 25
6 Vaprus A 16 6 2 8 20:31 -11 20
View the full Meistriliiga 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Levadia 17 13 4 0 45:13 +32 43
2 Flora 15 10 0 5 32:16 +16 30
3 Nõmme Kalju 17 9 3 5 29:14 +15 30
4 Paide H 16 7 4 5 24:20 +4 25
5 Tammeka 15 6 2 7 17:20 -3 20
6 Vaprus A 16 6 2 8 20:31 -11 20
7 Nõmme United 17 6 1 10 33:40 -7 19
8 Harju Jalgpallikool 17 6 1 10 21:30 -9 19
9 Kuressaare 16 5 2 9 17:26 -9 17
10 JK Trans Narva 16 3 1 12 11:39 -28 10

Team Form

Vaprus have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Paide have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Paide: last 10 home A Vaprus: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Paide have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Vaprus in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Paide: last 10 home A Vaprus: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 58% · BTTS No 42%

Match Goals

Paide have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Vaprus in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Paide: last 10 home A Vaprus: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Paide have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Vaprus in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Paide 1.2 scored · 1.3 conceded per home game Vaprus 0.8 scored · 2 conceded per away game
H Paide: last 10 home A Vaprus: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Paide 12 scored / 13 conceded at home · Vaprus 8 scored / 20 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Paide (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Vaprus (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Paide: last 10 home A Vaprus: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Paide have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Vaprus have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches. The home side can expect some set-piece chances.

H Paide: last 10 home A Vaprus: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Paide vs Vaprus Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Paide vs Vaprus?

Over 8.5 Corners: Paide see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Vaprus in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Paide or Vaprus?

Paide have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Vaprus on the road (30% wins) in Meistriliiga. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Paide and Vaprus?

Mixed. Paide have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Vaprus in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Meistriliiga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Paide and Vaprus?

Uncertain. Paide have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Vaprus in 60% of away games in Meistriliiga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Paide or Vaprus?

Paide have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Vaprus's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Paide and Vaprus?

Yes. Both Paide (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Vaprus (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Meistriliiga. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Kuressaare vs Flora

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Nõmme United vs Nõmme Kalju

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Paide vs Vaprus

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