NWSL · United States 🕒 Saturday 11th July, 01:00 BST

Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Racing Louisville W Home 4W 3D 3L last 10 home
VS
Bay FC W Away 2W 2D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Racing Louisville W 42% Draw 26% Bay FC W 32%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Racing Louisville W see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Bay FC W in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
42% Racing Louisville W win 26% Draw 32% Bay FC W win 52% BTTS 48% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
74% Under 3.5 Goals

Racing Louisville W average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Bay FC W average 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded in away fixtures. Racing Louisville W have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Bay FC W have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Racing Louisville W have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Bay FC W in 50% away (5/10). Racing Louisville W average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, Bay FC W 0.9 and 1.6 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: Racing Louisville W in 70% of home games (7/10), Bay FC W in 60% away (6/10). Racing Louisville W have scored in 90% of home fixtures; Bay FC W in 70% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Racing Louisville W see 8+ in 70% of home games, Bay FC W in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

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League Table

Where Racing Louisville W and Bay FC W sit in the NWSL table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
13 Bay FC W A 11 3 2 6 9:17 -8 11
16 Racing Louisville W H 11 2 1 8 15:20 -5 7
View the full NWSL 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 San Diego Wave W 13 8 1 4 19:13 +6 25
2 Utah Royals W 12 7 3 2 18:10 +8 24
3 Portland Thorns W 13 7 3 3 20:14 +6 24
4 Washington Spirit W 11 6 3 2 18:9 +9 21
5 Gotham FC W 11 6 3 2 12:5 +7 21
6 Kansas City Current W 12 7 0 5 18:17 +1 21
7 North Carolina Courage W 11 5 3 3 17:13 +4 18
8 Orlando Pride W 12 5 2 5 18:17 +1 17
9 Denver Summit W 11 4 3 4 17:13 +4 15
10 Seattle Reign W 11 4 2 5 10:13 -3 14
11 Houston Dash W 12 4 2 6 14:19 -5 14
12 Angel City W 11 4 1 6 16:14 +2 13
13 Bay FC W A 11 3 2 6 9:17 -8 11
14 Boston Legacy W 12 2 3 7 11:19 -8 9
15 Chicago Stars W 12 3 0 9 5:24 -19 9
16 Racing Louisville W H 11 2 1 8 15:20 -5 7

Team Form

Bay FC W have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Racing Louisville W have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Racing Louisville W: last 10 home A Bay FC W: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Racing Louisville W have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Bay FC W in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H Racing Louisville W: last 10 home A Bay FC W: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 52% · BTTS No 48%

Match Goals

Racing Louisville W have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Bay FC W in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Racing Louisville W: last 10 home A Bay FC W: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Racing Louisville W have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Bay FC W in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Racing Louisville W 1.4 scored · 1.2 conceded per home game Bay FC W 0.9 scored · 1.6 conceded per away game
H Racing Louisville W: last 10 home A Bay FC W: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Racing Louisville W 14 scored / 12 conceded at home · Bay FC W 9 scored / 16 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Racing Louisville W (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Bay FC W (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Racing Louisville W: last 10 home A Bay FC W: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Corners

Racing Louisville W have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Bay FC W have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Racing Louisville W: last 10 home A Bay FC W: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Racing Louisville W vs Bay FC W?

Over 1.5 Goals: Racing Louisville W see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Bay FC W in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Racing Louisville W or Bay FC W?

Racing Louisville W have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Bay FC W on the road (20% wins) in NWSL. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Racing Louisville W and Bay FC W?

Possibly. Racing Louisville W frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Bay FC W are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Racing Louisville W and Bay FC W?

Uncertain. Racing Louisville W have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Bay FC W in 50% of away games in NWSL. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Racing Louisville W or Bay FC W?

Racing Louisville W have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Bay FC W's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Racing Louisville W and Bay FC W?

Racing Louisville W have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Bay FC W in 50% of away games in NWSL. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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