La Liga · Spain 🕒 Saturday 7th February, 13:00 GMT

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Rayo Vallecano Home · 15th 6W 3D 1L last 10 home
VS
Real Oviedo Away · 20th 1W 2D 7L last 10 away
Win Probability
Rayo Vallecano 54% Draw 27% Real Oviedo 19%
⭐ Our Prediction Rayo Vallecano to Win See why ↓

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Rayo Vallecano to Win

High confidence

Rayo Vallecano have won 6/10 home games this season (60%), while Real Oviedo have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

What the model says
54% Rayo Vallecano win 27% Draw 19% Real Oviedo win 42% BTTS 40% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
80% Under 3.5 Goals

Rayo Vallecano sit 15th in the table after 20 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Real Oviedo are 20th after 20 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 2.5 conceded on the road. Rayo Vallecano have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Real Oviedo side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

Real Oviedo have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their away fixtures (8/10). Rayo Vallecano are lower at home (30%, 3/10), averaging 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Rayo Vallecano have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); Real Oviedo in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Rayo Vallecano regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Real Oviedo are lower on the road (40%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Rayo Vallecano (15th) and Real Oviedo (20th) sit in the La Liga table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
8 Rayo Vallecano H 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
20 Real Oviedo A 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
View the full La Liga 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 38 31 1 6 95:36 +59 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 77:35 +42 86
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72:46 +26 72
4 Atlético de Madrid 38 21 6 11 62:44 +18 69
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 59:48 +11 60
6 Celta de Vigo 38 14 12 12 53:48 +5 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
8 Rayo Vallecano H 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
13 Elche 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
14 Deportivo Alavés 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
15 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
16 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
17 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
18 Levante 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
20 Real Oviedo A 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29

Team Form

Rayo Vallecano hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Real Oviedo have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Rayo Vallecano: last 10 home A Real Oviedo: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Rayo Vallecano (30% BTTS at home) and Real Oviedo (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Rayo Vallecano: last 10 home A Real Oviedo: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 42% · BTTS No 58%

Match Goals

Real Oviedo regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Rayo Vallecano are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Rayo Vallecano: last 10 home A Real Oviedo: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Rayo Vallecano have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Real Oviedo in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Rayo Vallecano 1.6 scored · 0.6 conceded per home game Real Oviedo 1.1 scored · 2.5 conceded per away game
H Rayo Vallecano: last 10 home A Real Oviedo: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Rayo Vallecano 16 scored / 6 conceded at home · Real Oviedo 11 scored / 25 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Rayo Vallecano (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Real Oviedo (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Rayo Vallecano: last 10 home A Real Oviedo: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Rayo Vallecano have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Real Oviedo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Rayo Vallecano: last 10 home A Real Oviedo: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Rayo Vallecano and Real Oviedo. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23 Nov 2025
Real Oviedo
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 May 2021
Rayo Vallecano
4 – 1 HT: 3-1
Real Oviedo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Oct 2020
Real Oviedo
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Feb 2020
Rayo Vallecano
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Real Oviedo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
01 Dec 2019
Real Oviedo
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Rayo Vallecano
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Jan 2018
Rayo Vallecano
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Real Oviedo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Aug 2017
Real Oviedo
2 – 3 HT: 1-2
Rayo Vallecano
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Mar 2017
Rayo Vallecano
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Real Oviedo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Oct 2016
Real Oviedo
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Rayo Vallecano
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Sep 2005
Rayo Vallecano
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Real Oviedo
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Rayo Vallecano 1.79 Model: 54%
Draw 3.7 Model: 27%
Real Oviedo 5.6 Model: 19%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.18 Model: 42%
Value No 1.83 Model: 58%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.44 Model: 65%
Over 2.5 2.33 Model: 40%
Over 3.5 4.5 Model: 20%
Value Under 1.5 3.22 Model: 35%
Value Under 2.5 1.74 Model: 60%
Under 3.5 1.27 Model: 80%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 78%
Over 1.5 3.18

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22 Model: 63%
Over 9.5 1.72 Model: 52%
Over 10.5 1.67 Model: 40%
Over 11.5 2.04 Model: 30%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Rayo Vallecano 2.32 Model: 42%
Draw 2.21 Model: 41%
Real Oviedo 5.76 Model: 17%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano or Draw 1.16 Model: 81%
Rayo Vallecano or Real Oviedo 1.28 Model: 73%
Draw or Real Oviedo 2.21 Model: 46%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 1.19 Model: 76%
Over 1.5 2 Model: 43%

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5 1.74 Model: 50%
Over 1.5 4.1 Model: 18%

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo?

Rayo Vallecano to Win: Rayo Vallecano have won 6/10 home games this season (60%), while Real Oviedo have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Rayo Vallecano or Real Oviedo?

Rayo Vallecano hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in La Liga this season, while Real Oviedo have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Rayo Vallecano and Real Oviedo?

Unlikely. Rayo Vallecano (30% BTTS at home) and Real Oviedo (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in La Liga. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Rayo Vallecano and Real Oviedo?

Possibly. Real Oviedo regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Rayo Vallecano are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Rayo Vallecano or Real Oviedo?

Rayo Vallecano have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Real Oviedo's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Rayo Vallecano and Real Oviedo?

Yes. Both Rayo Vallecano (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Real Oviedo (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in La Liga. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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