USL League One · United States 🕒 Saturday 4th July, 00:30 BST

Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Richmond Kickers Home 5W 1D 4L last 10 home

VS

Sarasota Paradise Away 3W 1D 6L last 10 away

Win Probability

Richmond Kickers 38% Draw 27% Sarasota Paradise 35%

⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Richmond Kickers see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Sarasota Paradise in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says

38% Richmond Kickers win 27% Draw 35% Sarasota Paradise win 52% BTTS 48% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score

Also worth a look

74% Under 3.5 Goals

Richmond Kickers average 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Sarasota Paradise average 2.3 scored and 1.5 conceded in away fixtures. Richmond Kickers have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Sarasota Paradise have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Richmond Kickers have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Sarasota Paradise in 30% away (3/10). Richmond Kickers average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, Sarasota Paradise 2.3 and 1.5 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Richmond Kickers have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Sarasota Paradise in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Richmond Kickers regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Sarasota Paradise are lower on the road (0%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

League Table

Where Richmond Kickers and Sarasota Paradise sit in the USL League One table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
10	Sarasota Paradise A	15	5	1	9	16:24	-8	16
14	Richmond Kickers H	11	3	2	6	11:17	-6	11

View the full USL League One 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Union Omaha	14	9	1	4	22:16	+6	28
2	Charlotte Independence	12	8	2	2	31:16	+15	26
3	One Knoxville	12	7	3	2	20:11	+9	24
4	Alta	12	5	5	2	19:13	+6	20
5	Spokane Velocity	11	6	2	3	15:12	+3	20
6	Fort Wayne	12	4	6	2	15:12	+3	18
7	Athletic Club Boise	13	5	3	5	20:21	-1	18
8	Forward Madison	11	5	2	4	18:13	+5	17
9	Naples	14	5	2	7	16:22	-6	17
10	Sarasota Paradise A	15	5	1	9	16:24	-8	16
11	Portland Hearts of Pine	12	3	5	4	15:16	-1	14
12	Chattanooga Red Wolves	9	4	1	4	18:13	+5	13
13	Westchester SC	11	3	2	6	17:17	0	11
14	Richmond Kickers H	11	3	2	6	11:17	-6	11
15	Corpus Christi	12	2	5	5	13:22	-9	11
16	Greenville Triumph	10	3	1	6	10:19	-9	10
17	NY Cosmos	11	2	1	8	15:27	-12	7
18	Tormenta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Team Form

Sarasota Paradise have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Richmond Kickers have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Richmond Kickers: last 10 home A Sarasota Paradise: last 10 away

Won

H

5/10 (50%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Drawn

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Lost

H

4/10 (40%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Richmond Kickers (40% BTTS at home) and Sarasota Paradise (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Richmond Kickers: last 10 home A Sarasota Paradise: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Scored Themselves

H

7/10 (70%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Conceded

H

7/10 (70%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 52% · BTTS No 48%

Match Goals

Richmond Kickers have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Sarasota Paradise in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Richmond Kickers: last 10 home A Sarasota Paradise: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

10/10 (100%)

A

10/10 (100%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Richmond Kickers have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Sarasota Paradise in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Richmond Kickers 1.4 scored · 1.4 conceded per home game Sarasota Paradise 2.3 scored · 1.5 conceded per away game

H Richmond Kickers: last 10 home A Sarasota Paradise: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

7/10 (70%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

7/10 (70%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

4/10 (40%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

2/10 (20%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Richmond Kickers 14 scored / 14 conceded at home · Sarasota Paradise 23 scored / 15 conceded away

Match Corners

Richmond Kickers regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Sarasota Paradise are lower on the road (20%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Richmond Kickers: last 10 home A Sarasota Paradise: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

9/10 (90%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

8/10 (80%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

10/10 (100%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Richmond Kickers have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Sarasota Paradise have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Richmond Kickers: last 10 home A Sarasota Paradise: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

5/10 (50%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

8/10 (80%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

6/10 (60%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

5/10 (50%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

5/10 (50%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise?

Over 1.5 Goals: Richmond Kickers see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Sarasota Paradise in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Richmond Kickers or Sarasota Paradise?

Richmond Kickers have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Sarasota Paradise on the road (30% wins) in USL League One. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Richmond Kickers and Sarasota Paradise?

Unlikely. Richmond Kickers (40% BTTS at home) and Sarasota Paradise (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in USL League One. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Richmond Kickers and Sarasota Paradise?

Uncertain. Richmond Kickers have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Sarasota Paradise in 30% of away games in USL League One. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Richmond Kickers or Sarasota Paradise?

Sarasota Paradise have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Richmond Kickers's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Richmond Kickers and Sarasota Paradise?

Possibly. Richmond Kickers regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Sarasota Paradise are lower on the road (20%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats

View more stats