Segunda Division · Uruguay 🕒 Sunday 28th June, 16:00 BST

River Plate vs La Luz Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

River Plate Home 3W 3D 4L last 10 home
VS
La Luz Away 2W 7D 1L last 10 away
Win Probability
River Plate 36% Draw 28% La Luz 36%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

River Plate vs La Luz Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

River Plate have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, La Luz in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
36% River Plate win 28% Draw 36% La Luz win 49% BTTS 43% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Under 3.5 Goals 69% Over 1.5 Goals

River Plate average 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per home match this season. La Luz average 0.8 scored and 0.9 conceded in away fixtures. River Plate have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; La Luz have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. River Plate have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; La Luz in 20% away. River Plate average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded at home, La Luz 0.8 and 0.9 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

River Plate frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). La Luz are lower on the road (40%, 4/10). They've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. River Plate see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, La Luz in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

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League Table

Where River Plate and La Luz sit in the Segunda Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
10 River Plate H 12 4 2 6 17:24 -7 14
13 La Luz A 12 2 7 3 9:13 -4 13
View the full Segunda Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Fénix 13 6 5 2 22:13 +9 23
2 Plaza Colonia 12 6 4 2 15:7 +8 22
3 Oriental 13 6 4 3 18:13 +5 22
4 Cerrito 12 5 5 2 21:19 +2 20
5 Huracán 12 4 7 1 15:12 +3 19
6 Atenas 12 5 1 6 17:17 0 16
7 Colón 12 3 5 4 12:12 0 14
8 Miramar Misiones 12 3 5 4 13:14 -1 14
9 Rentistas 12 3 5 4 10:14 -4 14
10 River Plate H 12 4 2 6 17:24 -7 14
11 Uruguay Montevideo 12 3 4 5 13:15 -2 13
12 Tacuarembó 12 3 4 5 12:15 -3 13
13 La Luz A 12 2 7 3 9:13 -4 13
14 Paysandu FC 12 2 2 8 11:17 -6 8

Team Form

River Plate have lost 40% of their home matches this season, while La Luz have been more resilient on the road (10% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H River Plate: last 10 home A La Luz: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

River Plate frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while La Luz are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H River Plate: last 10 home A La Luz: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 49% · BTTS No 51%

Match Goals

River Plate have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, La Luz in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H River Plate: last 10 home A La Luz: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

River Plate have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, La Luz in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

River Plate 1.5 scored · 1.7 conceded per home game La Luz 0.8 scored · 0.9 conceded per away game
H River Plate: last 10 home A La Luz: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: River Plate 15 scored / 17 conceded at home · La Luz 8 scored / 9 conceded away

Match Corners

River Plate have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, La Luz in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H River Plate: last 10 home A La Luz: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

River Plate have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

La Luz have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H River Plate: last 10 home A La Luz: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

River Plate vs La Luz Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for River Plate vs La Luz?

Under 2.5 Goals: River Plate have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, La Luz in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, River Plate or La Luz?

River Plate have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over La Luz on the road (20% wins) in Segunda Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between River Plate and La Luz?

Possibly. River Plate frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while La Luz are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between River Plate and La Luz?

Uncertain. River Plate have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, La Luz in 20% of away games in Segunda Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: River Plate or La Luz?

La Luz have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to River Plate's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between River Plate and La Luz?

River Plate have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, La Luz in 50% of away games in Segunda Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

Miramar Misiones vs Huracán

📍 Segunda Division, Uruguay

🕒 Friday 19th June, 22:00 BST

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Colón vs River Plate

📍 Segunda Division, Uruguay

🕒 Saturday 20th June, 14:00 BST

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Fénix vs Oriental

📍 Segunda Division, Uruguay

🕒 Saturday 20th June, 17:00 BST

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Tacuarembó vs Paysandu FC

📍 Segunda Division, Uruguay

🕒 Saturday 20th June, 20:00 BST

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Plaza Colonia vs Atenas

📍 Segunda Division, Uruguay

🕒 Saturday 20th June, 23:00 BST

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La Luz vs Cerrito

📍 Segunda Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 21st June, 16:30 BST

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Rentistas vs Uruguay Montevideo

📍 Segunda Division, Uruguay

🕒 Sunday 21st June, 19:30 BST

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Atenas vs Tacuarembó

📍 Segunda Division, Uruguay

🕒 Saturday 27th June, 14:00 BST

Match Stats

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