MLS Next Pro · United States 🕒 Sunday 12th July, 01:00 BST

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

San Jose Earthquakes II Home 6W 0D 4L last 10 home
VS
Tacoma Defiance Away 3W 1D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
San Jose Earthquakes II 54% Draw 22% Tacoma Defiance 24%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

San Jose Earthquakes II have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Tacoma Defiance in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says
54% San Jose Earthquakes II win 22% Draw 24% Tacoma Defiance win 62% BTTS 65% Over 2.5 Goals 2-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
84% Over 1.5 Goals 67% Over 8.5 Corners

San Jose Earthquakes II average 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Tacoma Defiance average 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded in away fixtures. San Jose Earthquakes II have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Tacoma Defiance side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Goals look likely from both ends. San Jose Earthquakes II have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home fixtures this season (7/10), and Tacoma Defiance in 70% of away games (7/10). San Jose Earthquakes II average 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded at home; Tacoma Defiance 0.9 and 1.8 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: San Jose Earthquakes II at 50% in home games (5/10), Tacoma Defiance at 40% away (4/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

San Jose Earthquakes II regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 90% of fixtures, 9/10). Tacoma Defiance are lower on the road (60%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

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League Table

Where San Jose Earthquakes II and Tacoma Defiance sit in the MLS Next Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
16 San Jose Earthquakes II H 13 6 3 4 28:15 +13 21
21 Tacoma Defiance A 15 5 3 7 16:20 -4 18
View the full MLS Next Pro 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Austin II 14 10 3 1 29:11 +18 33
2 Columbus Crew II 16 9 3 4 29:25 +4 30
3 Houston Dynamo FC II 13 9 2 2 30:10 +20 29
4 Crown Legacy 14 8 4 2 37:18 +19 28
5 Portland Timbers II 15 8 4 3 19:19 0 28
6 New York RB II 15 8 3 4 32:22 +10 27
7 St. Louis City II 15 7 5 3 28:23 +5 26
8 Orlando City II 15 7 4 4 34:28 +6 25
9 New England II 14 7 4 3 18:13 +5 25
10 Chattanooga 15 7 3 5 30:26 +4 24
11 New York City II 15 7 3 5 24:23 +1 24
12 Atlanta United II 14 7 2 5 30:22 +8 23
13 Ventura County 16 6 5 5 27:23 +4 23
14 Minnesota United II 16 7 2 7 23:23 0 23
15 Los Angeles FC 2 14 6 4 4 23:25 -2 22
16 San Jose Earthquakes II H 13 6 3 4 28:15 +13 21
17 Toronto II 15 6 3 6 24:28 -4 21
18 Philadelphia Union II 15 6 2 7 17:16 +1 20
19 Chicago Fire II 14 5 4 5 20:20 0 19
20 Real Monarchs 15 5 3 7 24:25 -1 18
21 Tacoma Defiance A 15 5 3 7 16:20 -4 18
22 Huntsville City 14 5 3 6 27:32 -5 18
23 North Texas 14 4 5 5 23:20 +3 17
24 Connecticut United 15 5 2 8 25:28 -3 17
25 Carolina Core 16 2 6 8 19:28 -9 12
26 Whitecaps FC II 16 3 3 10 21:35 -14 12
27 Sporting Kansas City II 17 3 3 11 22:44 -22 12
28 FC Cincinnati II 14 3 0 11 12:27 -15 9
29 Colorado Rapids II 15 0 5 10 12:32 -20 5
30 Inter Miami II 13 0 4 9 13:35 -22 4

Team Form

San Jose Earthquakes II hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Tacoma Defiance have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H San Jose Earthquakes II: last 10 home A Tacoma Defiance: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

San Jose Earthquakes II have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Tacoma Defiance in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H San Jose Earthquakes II: last 10 home A Tacoma Defiance: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 62% · BTTS No 38%

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of San Jose Earthquakes II's home games and 70% of Tacoma Defiance's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

H San Jose Earthquakes II: last 10 home A Tacoma Defiance: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

San Jose Earthquakes II have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Tacoma Defiance in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

San Jose Earthquakes II 2.2 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Tacoma Defiance 0.9 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H San Jose Earthquakes II: last 10 home A Tacoma Defiance: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: San Jose Earthquakes II 22 scored / 11 conceded at home · Tacoma Defiance 9 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Both San Jose Earthquakes II (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Tacoma Defiance (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H San Jose Earthquakes II: last 10 home A Tacoma Defiance: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

San Jose Earthquakes II have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Tacoma Defiance have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H San Jose Earthquakes II: last 10 home A Tacoma Defiance: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance?

Over 2.5 Goals: San Jose Earthquakes II have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Tacoma Defiance in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, San Jose Earthquakes II or Tacoma Defiance?

San Jose Earthquakes II hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in MLS Next Pro this season, while Tacoma Defiance have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between San Jose Earthquakes II and Tacoma Defiance?

Mixed. San Jose Earthquakes II have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Tacoma Defiance in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this MLS Next Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between San Jose Earthquakes II and Tacoma Defiance?

Yes, likely. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of San Jose Earthquakes II's home games and 70% of Tacoma Defiance's away games in MLS Next Pro. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: San Jose Earthquakes II or Tacoma Defiance?

San Jose Earthquakes II have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Tacoma Defiance's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between San Jose Earthquakes II and Tacoma Defiance?

Yes. Both San Jose Earthquakes II (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Tacoma Defiance (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in MLS Next Pro. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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