World Cup · World 🕒 Sunday 28th June, 20:00 BST

South Africa vs Canada Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

South Africa Home · 1st 6W 3D 1L last 10 home
VS
Canada Away · 2nd 2W 1D 2L last 5 away
Win Probability
South Africa 31% Draw 29% Canada 41%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

South Africa vs Canada Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

South Africa have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Canada in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
31% South Africa win 29% Draw 41% Canada win 45% BTTS 39% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
65% Over 1.5 Goals

South Africa sit 1st in the table, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Canada are 2nd, averaging 0.8 scored and 1 conceded on the road. South Africa have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Canada side who've won 2/5 away (40%).

South Africa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Canada in 20% away (1/5). South Africa average 1.8 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Canada 0.8 and 1 on the road.

South Africa frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Canada are lower on the road (40%, 2/5). They've scored in 80% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. South Africa see 8+ in 80% of home games, Canada in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

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Team Form

South Africa hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Canada have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H South Africa: last 10 home A Canada: last 5 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/5 (40%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/5 (20%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/5 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

South Africa frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Canada are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H South Africa: last 10 home A Canada: last 5 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/5 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/5 (80%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/5 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 45% · BTTS No 55%

Match Goals

South Africa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Canada in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H South Africa: last 10 home A Canada: last 5 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/5 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/5 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/5 (0%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/5 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/5 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/5 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/5 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/5 (100%)

Team Goals

South Africa have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Canada in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

South Africa 1.8 scored · 0.9 conceded per home game Canada 0.8 scored · 1 conceded per away game
H South Africa: last 10 home A Canada: last 5 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
0/5 (0%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/5 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/5 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
0/5 (0%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/5 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/5 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/5 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/5 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/5 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/5 (0%)

Season totals: South Africa 18 scored / 9 conceded at home · Canada 4 scored / 5 conceded away

Match Corners

Both South Africa (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Canada (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H South Africa: last 10 home A Canada: last 5 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/5 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/5 (20%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/5 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/5 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/5 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/5 (0%)

Team Corners

South Africa have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Canada have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H South Africa: last 10 home A Canada: last 5 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/5 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/5 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/5 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/5 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/5 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/5 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/5 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/5 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/5 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/5 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/5 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/5 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between South Africa and Canada. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19 Nov 2007
South Africa
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Canada
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for South Africa vs Canada across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value South Africa 5 Model: 31%
Draw 3.6 Model: 29%
Canada 1.7 Model: 41%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.05 Model: 45%
No 1.7 Model: 55%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.43 Model: 65%
Over 2.5 2.28 Model: 39%
Over 3.5 4.44 Model: 19%
Value Under 1.5 3.2 Model: 35%
Value Under 2.5 1.73 Model: 61%
Value Under 3.5 1.27 Model: 81%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.49
Over 1.5 3.18

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.33
Over 9.5 1.62
Over 10.5 1.94
Over 11.5 2.48
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

South Africa 6.12
Draw 2.24
Canada 2.3

Double Chance

Value South Africa or Draw 2.12 Model: 59%
South Africa or Canada 1.32 Model: 71%
Draw or Canada 1.14 Model: 69%

South Africa Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.68 Model: 62%
Value Over 1.5 4.5 Model: 26%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5 1.18 Model: 69%
Over 1.5 1.98 Model: 34%

South Africa vs Canada Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for South Africa vs Canada?

Under 3.5 Goals: South Africa have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Canada in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, South Africa or Canada?

South Africa hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in World Cup this season, while Canada have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between South Africa and Canada?

Mixed. South Africa have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Canada in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this World Cup fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between South Africa and Canada?

Uncertain. South Africa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Canada in 20% of away games in World Cup. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: South Africa or Canada?

South Africa have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Canada's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between South Africa and Canada?

South Africa have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Canada in 40% of away games in World Cup. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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