World Cup · World 🕒 Friday 10th July, 20:00 BST

Spain vs Belgium Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain Home · 1st 7W 3D 0L last 10 home
VS
Belgium Away · 2nd 4W 3D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
Spain 47% Draw 24% Belgium 28%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Spain vs Belgium Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

Spain have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Belgium in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says
47% Spain win 24% Draw 28% Belgium win 56% BTTS 54% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look

Spain sit 1st in the table, averaging 2.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Belgium are 2nd, averaging 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. Spain have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Belgium side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

Spain have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). Belgium are lower on the road (60%, 6/10), averaging 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home.

Belgium regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Spain are lower at home (40%, 4/10). They've conceded in 40% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Belgium are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 80% of away fixtures, 8/10). Spain are lower at home (50%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

Team Form

Spain have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Belgium's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Spain: last 10 home A Belgium: last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Belgium regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Spain are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Spain: last 10 home A Belgium: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 56% · BTTS No 44%

Match Goals

Spain frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Belgium are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Spain: last 10 home A Belgium: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Goals

Spain have scored 2+ goals in 70% of home games this season, Belgium in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Spain 2.9 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Belgium 2.4 scored · 1.4 conceded per away game
H Spain: last 10 home A Belgium: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Spain 29 scored / 11 conceded at home · Belgium 24 scored / 14 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Spain (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Belgium (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Spain: last 10 home A Belgium: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Spain have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Belgium win 6+ corners in 60% of away games, generating consistent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

H Spain: last 10 home A Belgium: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Spain and Belgium. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

01 Sep 2016
Belgium
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Spain
05 Sep 2009
Spain
5 – 0 HT: 1-0
Belgium
15 Oct 2008
Belgium
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Spain
08 Oct 2005
Belgium
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Spain
Show 1 more meeting
09 Oct 2004
Spain
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Belgium

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Spain vs Belgium across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Spain 1.62 Model: 47%
Draw 4 Model: 24%
Value Belgium 5.5 Model: 28%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8 Model: 56%
No 1.95 Model: 44%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3 Model: 77%
Over 2.5 1.83 Model: 54%
Over 3.5 3.25 Model: 32%
Under 1.5 4.12 Model: 23%
Under 2.5 2.03 Model: 46%
Under 3.5 1.41 Model: 68%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.82

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.34
Over 9.5 1.62
Over 10.5 2.37
Over 11.5 2.63
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Spain 2.22
Draw 2.35
Belgium 5.9

Double Chance

Spain or Draw 1.12 Model: 72%
Spain or Belgium 1.25 Model: 76%
Value Draw or Belgium 2.25 Model: 53%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5 1.14 Model: 78%
Over 1.5 1.69 Model: 47%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 1.57 Model: 64%
Value Over 1.5 3.9 Model: 32%

Spain vs Belgium Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Spain vs Belgium?

Over 2.5 Goals: Spain have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Belgium in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Spain or Belgium?

Spain hold a clear form advantage. They've won 70% of home games in World Cup this season, while Belgium have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Spain and Belgium?

Possibly. Belgium regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Spain are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Spain and Belgium?

Possibly. Spain frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Belgium are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Spain or Belgium?

Spain have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 70% of home games compared to Belgium's 40% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Spain and Belgium?

Yes. Both Spain (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Belgium (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in World Cup. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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