Serie B · Brazil 🕒 Saturday 11th July, 00:00 BST

Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Sport Recife Home 5W 3D 2L last 10 home
VS
Botafogo SP Away 3W 2D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Sport Recife 51% Draw 27% Botafogo SP 22%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Sport Recife have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Botafogo SP in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
51% Sport Recife win 27% Draw 22% Botafogo SP win 49% BTTS 45% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
77% Under 3.5 Goals 71% Over 1.5 Goals 68% Over 8.5 Corners

Sport Recife average 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Botafogo SP average 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded in away fixtures. Sport Recife have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Botafogo SP have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Sport Recife have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Botafogo SP in 10% away. Sport Recife average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Botafogo SP 0.6 and 0.8 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Sport Recife have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Botafogo SP in 20% away (2/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Botafogo SP are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Sport Recife are lower at home (60%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

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League Table

Where Sport Recife and Botafogo SP sit in the Serie B table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Sport Recife H 14 6 7 1 17:9 +8 25
15 Botafogo SP A 14 4 4 6 14:13 +1 16
View the full Serie B 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Vila Nova 14 8 4 2 22:15 +7 28
2 São Bernardo 14 7 4 3 20:11 +9 25
3 Sport Recife H 14 6 7 1 17:9 +8 25
4 Novorizontino 14 6 6 2 22:13 +9 24
5 Criciúma 14 6 6 2 16:11 +5 24
6 Juventude 14 6 4 4 14:8 +6 22
7 Operário PR 14 6 4 4 18:17 +1 22
8 Fortaleza 14 6 4 4 16:15 +1 22
9 Náutico 14 6 2 6 21:18 +3 20
10 Cuiabá 15 4 8 3 11:9 +2 20
11 Athletic Club 14 4 7 3 15:15 0 19
12 Atlético GO 14 4 6 4 16:16 0 18
13 Goiás 14 5 3 6 13:21 -8 18
14 Ceará 14 4 5 5 15:16 -1 17
15 Botafogo SP A 14 4 4 6 14:13 +1 16
16 CRB 14 4 4 6 23:24 -1 16
17 Londrina 15 4 3 8 19:24 -5 15
18 Avaí 14 3 4 7 15:20 -5 13
19 Ponte Preta 14 2 2 10 10:27 -17 8
20 América Mineiro 14 1 3 10 10:25 -15 6

Team Form

Botafogo SP have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Sport Recife have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Sport Recife: last 10 home A Botafogo SP: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Sport Recife (40% BTTS at home) and Botafogo SP (20% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Sport Recife: last 10 home A Botafogo SP: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 49% · BTTS No 51%

Match Goals

Sport Recife (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Botafogo SP (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

H Sport Recife: last 10 home A Botafogo SP: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Team Goals

Sport Recife have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Botafogo SP in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Sport Recife 1.6 scored · 0.8 conceded per home game Botafogo SP 0.6 scored · 0.8 conceded per away game
H Sport Recife: last 10 home A Botafogo SP: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Sport Recife 16 scored / 8 conceded at home · Botafogo SP 6 scored / 8 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Sport Recife (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Botafogo SP (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Sport Recife: last 10 home A Botafogo SP: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Corners

Sport Recife have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Botafogo SP have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Sport Recife: last 10 home A Botafogo SP: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?

Under 2.5 Goals: Sport Recife have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Botafogo SP in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Sport Recife or Botafogo SP?

Sport Recife have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Botafogo SP on the road (30% wins) in Serie B. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Sport Recife and Botafogo SP?

Unlikely. Sport Recife (40% BTTS at home) and Botafogo SP (20% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Serie B. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Sport Recife and Botafogo SP?

Unlikely. Sport Recife (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Botafogo SP (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Serie B. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Sport Recife or Botafogo SP?

Sport Recife have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Botafogo SP's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Sport Recife and Botafogo SP?

Yes. Both Sport Recife (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Botafogo SP (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Serie B. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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