Primera Division · Peru 🕒 Friday 17th July, 21:15 BST

Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Sporting Cristal Home 6W 1D 3L last 10 home
VS
Deportivo Garcilaso Away 1W 3D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Sporting Cristal 67% Draw 20% Deportivo Garcilaso 12%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Sporting Cristal have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Deportivo Garcilaso in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
67% Sporting Cristal win 20% Draw 12% Deportivo Garcilaso win 47% BTTS 52% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Over 1.5 Goals

Sporting Cristal average 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Deportivo Garcilaso average 0.5 scored and 1.3 conceded in away fixtures. Sporting Cristal have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Deportivo Garcilaso side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

Sporting Cristal have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Deportivo Garcilaso in 30% away (3/10). Sporting Cristal average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, Deportivo Garcilaso 0.5 and 1.3 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Sporting Cristal at 50% in home games (5/10), Deportivo Garcilaso at 40% away (4/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Sporting Cristal regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Deportivo Garcilaso are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

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League Table

Where Sporting Cristal and Deportivo Garcilaso sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
7 Deportivo Garcilaso A 17 7 5 5 21:18 +3 26
12 Sporting Cristal H 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 +22 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 +4 34
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 34:22 +12 33
4 Universitario 17 8 5 4 24:15 +9 29
5 Melgar 17 8 4 5 29:20 +9 28
6 Cusco FC 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso A 17 7 5 5 21:18 +3 26
8 Alianza Atlético 17 5 6 6 20:18 +2 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
10 ADT 17 5 5 7 22:21 +1 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
12 Sporting Cristal H 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
13 UTC Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
14 UCV Moquegua 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
16 Atlético Grau 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
18 ADC Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16

Team Form

Sporting Cristal hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Deportivo Garcilaso have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Sporting Cristal: last 10 home A Deportivo Garcilaso: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Sporting Cristal have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Deportivo Garcilaso in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Sporting Cristal: last 10 home A Deportivo Garcilaso: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 47% · BTTS No 53%

Match Goals

Sporting Cristal have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Deportivo Garcilaso in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Sporting Cristal: last 10 home A Deportivo Garcilaso: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Sporting Cristal have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Deportivo Garcilaso in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Sporting Cristal 1.7 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Deportivo Garcilaso 0.5 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game
H Sporting Cristal: last 10 home A Deportivo Garcilaso: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Sporting Cristal 17 scored / 11 conceded at home · Deportivo Garcilaso 5 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Sporting Cristal (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Deportivo Garcilaso (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Sporting Cristal: last 10 home A Deportivo Garcilaso: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Sporting Cristal win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Deportivo Garcilaso have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Sporting Cristal: last 10 home A Deportivo Garcilaso: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Sporting Cristal 1.36 Model: 67%
Draw 4.5 Model: 20%
Deportivo Garcilaso 7 Model: 12%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.67 Model: 47%
Value No 2.1 Model: 53%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.15 Model: 76%
Over 2.5 1.47 Model: 52%
Over 3.5 2.12 Model: 29%
Value Under 1.5 4.65 Model: 24%
Value Under 2.5 2.5 Model: 48%
Value Under 3.5 1.65 Model: 71%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.22 Model: 81%
Over 1.5 2.1
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Sporting Cristal 1.8 Model: 49%
Draw 2.75 Model: 38%
Deportivo Garcilaso 6.5 Model: 13%

Double Chance

Sporting Cristal or Draw 1.08 Model: 88%
Sporting Cristal or Deportivo Garcilaso 1.16 Model: 80%
Draw or Deportivo Garcilaso 2.75 Model: 33%

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5 1.06 Model: 87%
Over 1.5 1.36 Model: 59%

Deportivo Garcilaso Goals

Over 0.5 1.53 Model: 46%
Over 1.5 3.75 Model: 15%

Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Under 3.5 Goals: Sporting Cristal have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Deportivo Garcilaso in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Sporting Cristal or Deportivo Garcilaso?

Sporting Cristal hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Primera Division this season, while Deportivo Garcilaso have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Sporting Cristal and Deportivo Garcilaso?

Mixed. Sporting Cristal have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Deportivo Garcilaso in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Sporting Cristal and Deportivo Garcilaso?

Uncertain. Sporting Cristal have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Deportivo Garcilaso in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Sporting Cristal or Deportivo Garcilaso?

Sporting Cristal have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Deportivo Garcilaso's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Sporting Cristal and Deportivo Garcilaso?

Yes. Both Sporting Cristal (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Deportivo Garcilaso (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Primera Division. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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