Premier Division · Republic of Ireland 🕒 Friday 31st July, 19:45 BST

St Patrick's vs Derry City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

St Patrick's Home · 2nd 7W 1D 2L last 10 home

Derry City Away · 6th 1W 4D 5L last 10 away

Win Probability

St Patrick's 73% Draw 17% Derry City 10%

⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

St Patrick's vs Derry City Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

St Patrick's see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Derry City in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says

73% St Patrick's win 17% Draw 10% Derry City win 51% BTTS 61% Over 2.5 Goals 2-0 most likely score

Also worth a look

73% Over 8.5 Corners

St Patrick's sit 2nd in the table after 25 games, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Derry City are 6th after 25 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded on the road. St Patrick's have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Derry City side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals: St Patrick's in 80% of home games, Derry City in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Derry City regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (80%, 8/10). St Patrick's are lower at home (40%, 4/10). They've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. St Patrick's see 8+ in 90% of home games, Derry City in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

League Table

Where St Patrick's (2nd) and Derry City (6th) sit in the Premier Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
2	St Patrick's H	25	12	7	6	40:21	+19	43
6	Derry City A	25	6	11	8	32:31	+1	29

View the full Premier Division 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	25	15	5	5	40:22	+18	50
2	St Patrick's H	25	12	7	6	40:21	+19	43
3	Bohemians	25	12	7	6	40:27	+13	43
4	Dundalk	25	9	9	7	39:37	+2	36
5	Shelbourne	24	8	10	6	35:35	0	34
6	Derry City A	25	6	11	8	32:31	+1	29
7	Galway United	24	7	7	10	32:39	-7	28
8	Drogheda United	25	6	8	11	31:43	-12	26
9	Waterford United	25	4	10	11	33:47	-14	22
10	Sligo Rovers	25	5	6	14	22:42	-20	21

Team Form

St Patrick's have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Derry City's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H St Patrick's: last 10 home A Derry City: last 10 away

Won

7/10 (70%)

1/10 (10%)

Drawn

1/10 (10%)

4/10 (40%)

Lost

2/10 (20%)

5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Derry City regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while St Patrick's are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H St Patrick's: last 10 home A Derry City: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

4/10 (40%)

8/10 (80%)

Scored Themselves

8/10 (80%)

Conceded

6/10 (60%)

10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 51% · BTTS No 49%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (St Patrick's 80% at home, Derry City 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H St Patrick's: last 10 home A Derry City: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

8/10 (80%)

Over 2.5 Goals

5/10 (50%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 3.5 Goals

3/10 (30%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

10/10 (100%)

Under 0.5 Goals

0/10 (0%)

Under 1.5 Goals

2/10 (20%)

Under 2.5 Goals

5/10 (50%)

4/10 (40%)

Under 3.5 Goals

7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

St Patrick's have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Derry City in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

St Patrick's 2.2 scored · 0.6 conceded per home game Derry City 1.2 scored · 1.6 conceded per away game

H St Patrick's: last 10 home A Derry City: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

7/10 (70%)

4/10 (40%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

0/10 (0%)

5/10 (50%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

8/10 (80%)

Over 1.5 Scored

7/10 (70%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 2.5 Scored

4/10 (40%)

0/10 (0%)

Over 3.5 Scored

2/10 (20%)

0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

6/10 (60%)

10/10 (100%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

0/10 (0%)

5/10 (50%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

0/10 (0%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

0/10 (0%)

Season totals: St Patrick's 22 scored / 6 conceded at home · Derry City 12 scored / 16 conceded away

Match Corners

St Patrick's regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Derry City are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H St Patrick's: last 10 home A Derry City: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

8/10 (80%)

5/10 (50%)

Over 9.5 Corners

6/10 (60%)

5/10 (50%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

9/10 (90%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 10.5 Corners

5/10 (50%)

3/10 (30%)

Over 11.5 Corners

3/10 (30%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 12.5 Corners

3/10 (30%)

1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

St Patrick's win 6+ corners in 70% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Derry City have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H St Patrick's: last 10 home A Derry City: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

7/10 (70%)

2/10 (20%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

2/10 (20%)

5/10 (50%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

9/10 (90%)

4/10 (40%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

7/10 (70%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

7/10 (70%)

2/10 (20%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

4/10 (40%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

3/10 (30%)

1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

3/10 (30%)

6/10 (60%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

2/10 (20%)

5/10 (50%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

1/10 (10%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

0/10 (0%)

1/10 (10%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

0/10 (0%)

1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between St Patrick's and Derry City. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

22 May 2026

Derry City

0 – 0 HT: 0-0

St Patrick's

16 Mar 2026

St Patrick's

0 – 0 HT: 0-0

Derry City

29 Aug 2025

Derry City

2 – 2 HT: 0-1

St Patrick's

23 Jun 2025

St Patrick's

0 – 1 HT: 0-1

Derry City

Show 6 more meetings

05 May 2025

Derry City

1 – 0 HT: 0-0

St Patrick's

03 Mar 2025

St Patrick's

2 – 0 HT: 1-0

Derry City

25 Oct 2024

St Patrick's

1 – 0 HT: 1-0

Derry City

21 Jul 2024

Derry City

3 – 0 HT: 0-0

St Patrick's

17 May 2024

St Patrick's

0 – 1 HT: 0-0

Derry City

22 Apr 2024

Derry City

3 – 1 HT: 1-0

St Patrick's

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for St Patrick's vs Derry City across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value St Patrick's 1.76 Model: 73%

Draw 3.5 Model: 17%

Derry City 4.7 Model: 10%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.89 Model: 51%

No 1.81 Model: 49%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.28 Model: 82%

Value Over 2.5 2.03 Model: 61%

Value Over 3.5 3.44 Model: 38%

Under 1.5 3.12 Model: 18%

Under 2.5 1.76 Model: 39%

Under 3.5 1.23 Model: 62%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.4 Model: 85%

Over 1.5 3.04

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22 Model: 73%

Over 9.5 1.48 Model: 62%

Value Over 10.5 2.26 Model: 50%

Over 11.5 2.4 Model: 39%

More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value St Patrick's 2.38 Model: 53%

Draw 2.12 Model: 34%

Derry City 4.6 Model: 13%

Double Chance

Value St Patrick's or Draw 1.17 Model: 90%

Value St Patrick's or Derry City 1.26 Model: 84%

Draw or Derry City 1.88 Model: 27%

St Patrick's Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.16 Model: 91%

Value Over 1.5 1.84 Model: 68%

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 1.5 Model: 44%

Over 1.5 3.2 Model: 15%

St Patrick's vs Derry City Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for St Patrick's vs Derry City?

Over 1.5 Goals: St Patrick's see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Derry City in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, St Patrick's or Derry City?

St Patrick's hold a clear form advantage. They've won 70% of home games in Premier Division this season, while Derry City have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between St Patrick's and Derry City?

Possibly. Derry City regularly see both teams score away (80%), while St Patrick's are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between St Patrick's and Derry City?

Uncertain. St Patrick's have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Derry City in 60% of away games in Premier Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: St Patrick's or Derry City?

St Patrick's have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Derry City's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between St Patrick's and Derry City?

Possibly. St Patrick's regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Derry City are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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