Championship · England 🕒 Saturday 31st January, 12:30 GMT

Stoke City vs Southampton Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Stoke City Home · 11th 3W 3D 4L last 10 home
VS
Southampton Away · 15th 7W 2D 1L last 10 away
Win Probability
Stoke City 35% Draw 26% Southampton 39%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes See why ↓

Stoke City vs Southampton Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

High confidence

Stoke City see both teams score in 80% of home games, Southampton in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

What the model says
35% Stoke City win 26% Draw 39% Southampton win 57% BTTS 52% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Over 1.5 Goals 70% Under 3.5 Goals

Stoke City sit 11th in the table after 26 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per home match this season. Southampton are 15th after 26 games, averaging 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded on the road. Southampton carry the better away form into this fixture (7/10, 70%), while Stoke City have won 3/10 at home (30%).

Goals look likely from both ends. Stoke City have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home fixtures this season (7/10), and Southampton in 70% of away games (7/10). Stoke City average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded at home; Southampton 2.2 and 1.1 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Stoke City in 80% of home games (8/10), Southampton in 80% away (8/10). Stoke City have scored in 90% of home fixtures; Southampton in 90% of away games.

Southampton are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 80% of away fixtures, 8/10). Stoke City are lower at home (60%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Stoke City (11th) and Southampton (15th) sit in the Championship table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Southampton A 48 23 15 10 84:57 +27 84
17 Stoke City H 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
View the full Championship 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Coventry City 46 28 11 7 97:45 +52 95
2 Ipswich Town 46 23 15 8 80:47 +33 84
3 Southampton A 48 23 15 10 84:57 +27 84
4 Millwall 48 24 12 12 64:51 +13 84
5 Middlesbrough 49 22 15 12 73:50 +23 81
6 Hull City 49 23 11 15 73:66 +7 80
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 +4 71
8 Derby County 46 20 9 17 67:59 +8 69
9 Norwich City 46 19 8 19 63:56 +7 65
10 Birmingham City 46 17 13 16 57:56 +1 64
11 Swansea City 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
13 Sheffield United 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
14 Preston North End 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
15 Queens Park Rangers 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
17 Stoke City H 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
19 West Bromwich Albion 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 53
20 Charlton Athletic 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
21 Leicester City 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 52
22 Blackburn Rovers 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
23 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 18

Team Form

Southampton have been outstanding on the road this season, winning 70% of away games compared to Stoke City's 30% at home. The visitors arrive as the stronger side on current form.

H Stoke City — last 10 home A Southampton — last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Stoke City have seen both teams score in 80% of home games this season, Southampton in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

H Stoke City — last 10 home A Southampton — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 57% · BTTS No 43%

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Stoke City's home games and 70% of Southampton's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

H Stoke City — last 10 home A Southampton — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Stoke City have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Southampton in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Stoke City 1.6 scored · 1.8 conceded per home game Southampton 2.2 scored · 1.1 conceded per away game
H Stoke City — last 10 home A Southampton — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Stoke City 16 scored / 18 conceded at home · Southampton 22 scored / 11 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Stoke City (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Southampton (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Stoke City — last 10 home A Southampton — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Team Corners

Stoke City have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Southampton have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

H Stoke City — last 10 home A Southampton — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Stoke City and Southampton. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23 Aug 2025
Southampton
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Stoke City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Oct 2024
Southampton
3 – 2 HT: 2-1
Stoke City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Apr 2024
Southampton
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Stoke City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Oct 2023
Stoke City
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Southampton
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
03 Mar 2018
Southampton
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Stoke City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Sep 2017
Stoke City
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Southampton
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 May 2017
Southampton
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Stoke City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Dec 2016
Stoke City
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Southampton
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Mar 2016
Stoke City
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
Southampton
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Nov 2015
Southampton
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Stoke City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Stoke City vs Southampton across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Stoke City 2.62 Model: 35%
Draw 3.25 Model: 26%
Value Southampton 2.72 Model: 39%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.74 Model: 57%
No 2.15 Model: 43%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.34 Model: 76%
Value Over 2.5 2.06 Model: 52%
Value Over 3.5 3.65 Model: 30%
Under 1.5 3.75 Model: 24%
Under 2.5 1.87 Model: 48%
Under 3.5 1.35 Model: 70%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.41 Model: 79%
Over 1.5 2.98

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.11 Model: 62%
Over 9.5 1.29 Model: 50%
Over 10.5 1.66 Model: 38%
Over 11.5 2.04 Model: 28%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Stoke City 3.4 Model: 27%
Draw 2.19 Model: 43%
Southampton 3.1 Model: 30%

Double Chance

Stoke City or Draw 1.5 Model: 61%
Stoke City or Southampton 1.35 Model: 74%
Draw or Southampton 1.5 Model: 65%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 1.31 Model: 70%
Over 1.5 2.57 Model: 37%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 1.27 Model: 72%
Over 1.5 2.56 Model: 39%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Stoke City vs Southampton Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Southampton?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes — Stoke City see both teams score in 80% of home games, Southampton in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, Stoke City or Southampton?

Southampton arrive in the better form — winning 70% of away games in Championship this season compared to Stoke City's 30% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Stoke City and Southampton?

Yes — both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Stoke City have seen BTTS in 80% of home games, Southampton in 80% of away games in Championship. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Stoke City and Southampton?

Yes, likely — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Stoke City's home games and 70% of Southampton's away games in Championship. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Stoke City or Southampton?

Southampton have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Stoke City's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Stoke City and Southampton?

Yes — both Stoke City (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Southampton (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Championship. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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