Champions League · Europe 🕒 Wednesday 22nd July, 01:00 BST

Sturm Graz vs Hearts Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Sturm Graz Home 5W 4D 1L last 10 home
VS
Hearts Away 3W 2D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Sturm Graz 39% Draw 25% Hearts 37%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Sturm Graz vs Hearts Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Sturm Graz see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Hearts in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
39% Sturm Graz win 25% Draw 37% Hearts win 55% BTTS 53% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Over 1.5 Goals 70% Under 3.5 Goals

Sturm Graz average 1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per home match this season. Hearts average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded in away fixtures. Sturm Graz have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Hearts have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Sturm Graz have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 0% of home games this season (0/10); Hearts in 60% away (6/10). Sturm Graz average 1 scored and 0.4 conceded at home, Hearts 1.4 and 1.6 on the road.

Hearts regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Sturm Graz are lower at home (30%, 3/10). They've conceded in 40% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Hearts are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Sturm Graz are lower at home (50%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

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League Table

Where Sturm Graz and Hearts sit in the Champions League table for the 2026/2027 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
29 Sturm Graz H 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
30 Hearts A 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
View the full Champions League 2026/2027 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Lincoln Red Imps 1 1 0 0 3:1 +2 3
2 Ararat-Armenia 1 1 0 0 2:0 +2 3
3 Sabah 1 1 0 0 2:0 +2 3
4 KuPS 1 1 0 0 2:0 +2 3
5 Kauno Žalgiris 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
6 Drita 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
7 ML Vitebsk 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
8 Universitatea Craiova 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
9 Győri ETO 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
10 Víkingur Reykjavík 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
11 Dinamo Zagreb 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
12 Thun 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
13 Kairat 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
14 Sutjeska 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
15 Borac Banja Luka 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
16 Levski Sofia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
17 FC Iberia 1999 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
18 Flora 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
19 AGF 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
20 Lech Poznań 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
21 Petrocub 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
22 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
23 Shamrock Rovers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
24 Floriana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
25 KÍ 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
26 Atert Bissen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
27 Fenerbahçe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
28 Górnik Zabrze 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
29 Sturm Graz H 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
30 Hearts A 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
31 Larne 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
32 Tre Fiori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
33 Inter Club d'Escaldes 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
34 Riga 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
35 The New Saints 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
36 Vardar 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0

Team Form

Hearts have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Sturm Graz have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Sturm Graz: last 10 home A Hearts: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Hearts regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Sturm Graz are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Sturm Graz: last 10 home A Hearts: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 55% · BTTS No 45%

Match Goals

Sturm Graz have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 0% of home games, Hearts in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Sturm Graz: last 10 home A Hearts: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Sturm Graz have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Hearts in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Sturm Graz 1 scored · 0.4 conceded per home game Hearts 1.4 scored · 1.6 conceded per away game
H Sturm Graz: last 10 home A Hearts: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Sturm Graz 10 scored / 4 conceded at home · Hearts 14 scored / 16 conceded away

Match Corners

Hearts frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Sturm Graz are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Sturm Graz: last 10 home A Hearts: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Sturm Graz have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Hearts have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Sturm Graz: last 10 home A Hearts: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Sturm Graz vs Hearts Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Sturm Graz vs Hearts?

Over 8.5 Corners: Sturm Graz see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Hearts in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Sturm Graz or Hearts?

Sturm Graz have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Hearts on the road (30% wins) in Champions League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Sturm Graz and Hearts?

Mixed. Sturm Graz have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Hearts in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Champions League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Sturm Graz and Hearts?

Uncertain. Sturm Graz have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 0% of home games, Hearts in 60% of away games in Champions League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Sturm Graz or Hearts?

Hearts have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Sturm Graz's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Sturm Graz and Hearts?

Possibly. Hearts frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Sturm Graz are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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