Serie B · Brazil 🕒 Sunday 12th July, 20:00 BST

São Bernardo vs Cuiabá Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

São Bernardo Home 2W 4D 4L last 10 home
VS
Cuiabá Away 2W 3D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
São Bernardo 39% Draw 32% Cuiabá 29%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

São Bernardo vs Cuiabá Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

São Bernardo have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Cuiabá in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
39% São Bernardo win 32% Draw 29% Cuiabá win 42% BTTS 34% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
84% Under 3.5 Goals

São Bernardo average 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Cuiabá average 0.4 scored and 0.9 conceded in away fixtures. The form figures are level. São Bernardo have won 20% of home games, Cuiabá 20% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. São Bernardo have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Cuiabá in 20% away. São Bernardo average 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Cuiabá 0.4 and 0.9 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. São Bernardo have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Cuiabá in 10% away (1/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. São Bernardo see 8+ in 80% of home games, Cuiabá in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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League Table

Where São Bernardo and Cuiabá sit in the Serie B table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
4 São Bernardo H 15 7 4 4 20:12 +8 25
10 Cuiabá A 15 4 8 3 11:9 +2 20
View the full Serie B 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Vila Nova 15 8 4 3 23:17 +6 28
2 Novorizontino 15 7 6 2 24:14 +10 27
3 Criciúma 15 7 6 2 17:11 +6 27
4 São Bernardo H 15 7 4 4 20:12 +8 25
5 Sport Recife 14 6 7 1 17:9 +8 25
6 Operário PR 15 7 4 4 19:17 +2 25
7 Juventude 14 6 4 4 14:8 +6 22
8 Fortaleza 14 6 4 4 16:15 +1 22
9 Náutico 14 6 2 6 21:18 +3 20
10 Cuiabá A 15 4 8 3 11:9 +2 20
11 Athletic Club 14 4 7 3 15:15 0 19
12 Atlético GO 14 4 6 4 16:16 0 18
13 Goiás 14 5 3 6 13:21 -8 18
14 Ceará 14 4 5 5 15:16 -1 17
15 Botafogo SP 14 4 4 6 14:13 +1 16
16 CRB 14 4 4 6 23:24 -1 16
17 Londrina 15 4 3 8 19:24 -5 15
18 Avaí 14 3 4 7 15:20 -5 13
19 Ponte Preta 14 2 2 10 10:27 -17 8
20 América Mineiro 15 1 3 11 10:26 -16 6

Team Form

São Bernardo (20% home wins) and Cuiabá (20% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H São Bernardo: last 10 home A Cuiabá: last 10 away
Won
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

São Bernardo (40% BTTS at home) and Cuiabá (10% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H São Bernardo: last 10 home A Cuiabá: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Scored Themselves
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 42% · BTTS No 58%

Match Goals

São Bernardo (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Cuiabá (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

H São Bernardo: last 10 home A Cuiabá: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

São Bernardo have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Cuiabá in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

São Bernardo 0.8 scored · 0.8 conceded per home game Cuiabá 0.4 scored · 0.9 conceded per away game
H São Bernardo: last 10 home A Cuiabá: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: São Bernardo 8 scored / 8 conceded at home · Cuiabá 4 scored / 9 conceded away

Match Corners

Both São Bernardo (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Cuiabá (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H São Bernardo: last 10 home A Cuiabá: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

São Bernardo have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Cuiabá have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H São Bernardo: last 10 home A Cuiabá: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

São Bernardo vs Cuiabá Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for São Bernardo vs Cuiabá?

Under 2.5 Goals: São Bernardo have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Cuiabá in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, São Bernardo or Cuiabá?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. São Bernardo have won 20% of home games, Cuiabá 20% away in Serie B. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between São Bernardo and Cuiabá?

Unlikely. São Bernardo (40% BTTS at home) and Cuiabá (10% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Serie B. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between São Bernardo and Cuiabá?

Unlikely. São Bernardo (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Cuiabá (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Serie B. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: São Bernardo or Cuiabá?

São Bernardo have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Cuiabá's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between São Bernardo and Cuiabá?

São Bernardo have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Cuiabá in 40% of away games in Serie B. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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