USL Championship · United States 🕒 Saturday 4th July, 23:00 BST

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Tampa Bay Rowdies Home 6W 3D 1L last 10 home

VS

Lexington Away 1W 3D 6L last 10 away

Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rowdies 59% Draw 22% Lexington 18%

⭐ Our Prediction Tampa Bay Rowdies Over 1.5 Team Goals See why ↓

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Tampa Bay Rowdies Over 1.5 Team Goals

Medium confidence

Tampa Bay Rowdies have scored 2+ goals in 70% of home games, while Lexington have conceded 2+ in 60% of away games. A strong case for the home side to score freely.

What the model says

59% Tampa Bay Rowdies win 22% Draw 18% Lexington win 52% BTTS 53% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score

Also worth a look

77% Over 1.5 Goals 70% Under 3.5 Goals

Tampa Bay Rowdies average 2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Lexington average 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded in away fixtures. Tampa Bay Rowdies have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Lexington side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals: Tampa Bay Rowdies in 80% of home games, Lexington in 90% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Lexington regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Tampa Bay Rowdies are lower at home (50%, 5/10). They've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Tampa Bay Rowdies see 8+ in 70% of home games, Lexington in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

League Table

Where Tampa Bay Rowdies and Lexington sit in the USL Championship table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies H	13	8	4	1	21:8	+13	28
17	Lexington A	12	4	3	5	17:15	+2	15

View the full USL Championship 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies H	13	8	4	1	21:8	+13	28
2	Detroit City	13	6	3	4	19:13	+6	21
3	Louisville City	14	6	3	5	24:22	+2	21
4	San Antonio	13	5	6	2	18:16	+2	21
5	Charleston Battery	12	6	2	4	21:16	+5	20
6	Orange County	12	5	5	2	15:11	+4	20
7	Tulsa Roughnecks	12	5	4	3	16:14	+2	19
8	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	11	6	1	4	15:13	+2	19
9	Indy Eleven	11	5	3	3	16:12	+4	18
10	Oakland Roots	13	4	6	3	19:17	+2	18
11	Phoenix Rising	13	4	5	4	16:15	+1	17
12	Hartford Athletic	11	4	5	2	10:10	0	17
13	Miami FC II	13	4	5	4	15:19	-4	17
14	Sacramento Republic	11	4	4	3	13:11	+2	16
15	El Paso Locomotive	12	4	4	4	23:22	+1	16
16	Rhode Island	11	4	3	4	21:15	+6	15
17	Lexington A	12	4	3	5	17:15	+2	15
18	New Mexico United	11	4	3	4	12:13	-1	15
19	Las Vegas Lights	12	4	3	5	18:20	-2	15
20	Colorado Springs	11	3	4	4	18:18	0	13
21	Birmingham Legion	12	2	6	4	13:15	-2	12
22	Monterey Bay	13	3	2	8	13:22	-9	11
23	Loudoun United	11	1	6	4	13:21	-8	9
24	Brooklyn FC	12	2	3	7	13:22	-9	9
25	Sporting JAX	13	0	3	10	15:34	-19	3

Team Form

Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Lexington have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Tampa Bay Rowdies: last 10 home A Lexington: last 10 away

Won

H

6/10 (60%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Drawn

H

3/10 (30%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Lost

H

1/10 (10%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Lexington regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Tampa Bay Rowdies are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Tampa Bay Rowdies: last 10 home A Lexington: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

5/10 (50%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Scored Themselves

H

9/10 (90%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Conceded

H

6/10 (60%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 52% · BTTS No 48%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Tampa Bay Rowdies 80% at home, Lexington 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H Tampa Bay Rowdies: last 10 home A Lexington: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

8/10 (80%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

10/10 (100%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Tampa Bay Rowdies have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Lexington in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Tampa Bay Rowdies 2 scored · 0.9 conceded per home game Lexington 0.9 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game

H Tampa Bay Rowdies: last 10 home A Lexington: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

9/10 (90%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

7/10 (70%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

6/10 (60%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

3/10 (30%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Tampa Bay Rowdies 20 scored / 9 conceded at home · Lexington 9 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Tampa Bay Rowdies (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Lexington (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Tampa Bay Rowdies: last 10 home A Lexington: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

7/10 (70%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Tampa Bay Rowdies have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Lexington have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Tampa Bay Rowdies: last 10 home A Lexington: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

7/10 (70%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

6/10 (60%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

5/10 (50%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington?

Tampa Bay Rowdies Over 1.5 Team Goals: Tampa Bay Rowdies have scored 2+ goals in 70% of home games, while Lexington have conceded 2+ in 60% of away games. A strong case for the home side to score freely.

Which team is likely to win, Tampa Bay Rowdies or Lexington?

Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in USL Championship this season, while Lexington have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Lexington?

Mixed. Tampa Bay Rowdies have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Lexington in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this USL Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Lexington?

Uncertain. Tampa Bay Rowdies have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Lexington in 60% of away games in USL Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tampa Bay Rowdies or Lexington?

Tampa Bay Rowdies have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Lexington's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Lexington?

Tampa Bay Rowdies have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Lexington in 60% of away games in USL Championship. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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