USL Championship · United States 🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:30 BST

Tulsa Roughnecks vs Sacramento Republic Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Tulsa Roughnecks Home 4W 4D 2L last 10 home

VS

Sacramento Republic Away 3W 4D 3L last 10 away

Win Probability

Tulsa Roughnecks 38% Draw 32% Sacramento Republic 30%

⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Tulsa Roughnecks vs Sacramento Republic Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Tulsa Roughnecks have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says

38% Tulsa Roughnecks win 32% Draw 30% Sacramento Republic win 44% BTTS 35% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score

Also worth a look

85% Under 3.5 Goals

Tulsa Roughnecks average 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Sacramento Republic average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded in away fixtures. Tulsa Roughnecks have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Sacramento Republic have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Tulsa Roughnecks have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Sacramento Republic in 40% away. Tulsa Roughnecks average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Sacramento Republic 1.3 and 1.1 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Tulsa Roughnecks at 40% in home games (4/10), Sacramento Republic at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Tulsa Roughnecks see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 20% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

League Table

Where Tulsa Roughnecks and Sacramento Republic sit in the USL Championship table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
7	Tulsa Roughnecks H	12	5	4	3	16:14	+2	19
14	Sacramento Republic A	11	4	4	3	13:11	+2	16

View the full USL Championship 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	13	8	4	1	21:8	+13	28
2	Detroit City	13	6	3	4	19:13	+6	21
3	Louisville City	14	6	3	5	24:22	+2	21
4	San Antonio	13	5	6	2	18:16	+2	21
5	Charleston Battery	12	6	2	4	21:16	+5	20
6	Orange County	12	5	5	2	15:11	+4	20
7	Tulsa Roughnecks H	12	5	4	3	16:14	+2	19
8	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	11	6	1	4	15:13	+2	19
9	Indy Eleven	11	5	3	3	16:12	+4	18
10	Oakland Roots	13	4	6	3	19:17	+2	18
11	Phoenix Rising	13	4	5	4	16:15	+1	17
12	Hartford Athletic	11	4	5	2	10:10	0	17
13	Miami FC II	13	4	5	4	15:19	-4	17
14	Sacramento Republic A	11	4	4	3	13:11	+2	16
15	El Paso Locomotive	12	4	4	4	23:22	+1	16
16	Rhode Island	11	4	3	4	21:15	+6	15
17	Lexington	12	4	3	5	17:15	+2	15
18	New Mexico United	11	4	3	4	12:13	-1	15
19	Las Vegas Lights	12	4	3	5	18:20	-2	15
20	Colorado Springs	11	3	4	4	18:18	0	13
21	Birmingham Legion	12	2	6	4	13:15	-2	12
22	Monterey Bay	13	3	2	8	13:22	-9	11
23	Loudoun United	11	1	6	4	13:21	-8	9
24	Brooklyn FC	12	2	3	7	13:22	-9	9
25	Sporting JAX	13	0	3	10	15:34	-19	3

Team Form

Sacramento Republic have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while Tulsa Roughnecks have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Tulsa Roughnecks: last 10 home A Sacramento Republic: last 10 away

Won

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Drawn

H

4/10 (40%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Lost

H

2/10 (20%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Tulsa Roughnecks have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Tulsa Roughnecks: last 10 home A Sacramento Republic: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Scored Themselves

H

7/10 (70%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Conceded

H

5/10 (50%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 44% · BTTS No 56%

Match Goals

Tulsa Roughnecks have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Tulsa Roughnecks: last 10 home A Sacramento Republic: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

1/10 (10%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

8/10 (80%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

9/10 (90%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Tulsa Roughnecks have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Sacramento Republic in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Tulsa Roughnecks 1.3 scored · 0.7 conceded per home game Sacramento Republic 1.3 scored · 1.1 conceded per away game

H Tulsa Roughnecks: last 10 home A Sacramento Republic: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

7/10 (70%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

5/10 (50%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

2/10 (20%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Tulsa Roughnecks 13 scored / 7 conceded at home · Sacramento Republic 13 scored / 11 conceded away

Match Corners

Tulsa Roughnecks have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Tulsa Roughnecks: last 10 home A Sacramento Republic: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

5/10 (50%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

1/10 (10%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Tulsa Roughnecks have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Sacramento Republic have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

H Tulsa Roughnecks: last 10 home A Sacramento Republic: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

1/10 (10%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

3/10 (30%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

1/10 (10%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

5/10 (50%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Tulsa Roughnecks vs Sacramento Republic Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tulsa Roughnecks vs Sacramento Republic?

Under 2.5 Goals: Tulsa Roughnecks have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Tulsa Roughnecks or Sacramento Republic?

Tulsa Roughnecks have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Sacramento Republic on the road (30% wins) in USL Championship. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Tulsa Roughnecks and Sacramento Republic?

Mixed. Tulsa Roughnecks have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this USL Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tulsa Roughnecks and Sacramento Republic?

Uncertain. Tulsa Roughnecks have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 40% of away games in USL Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tulsa Roughnecks or Sacramento Republic?

Tulsa Roughnecks have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Sacramento Republic's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tulsa Roughnecks and Sacramento Republic?

Tulsa Roughnecks have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Sacramento Republic in 40% of away games in USL Championship. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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