3. Liga · Germany 🕒 Sunday 1st February, 12:30 GMT

Ulm vs MSV Duisburg Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Ulm Home · 19th 3W 1D 6L last 10 home
VS
MSV Duisburg Away · 2nd 3W 2D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Ulm 31% Draw 24% MSV Duisburg 44%
⭐ Our Prediction No Standout Pick See why ↓

Ulm vs MSV Duisburg Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

No Standout Pick

Low confidence

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

What the model says
31% Ulm win 24% Draw 44% MSV Duisburg win 53% BTTS 56% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
77% Over 1.5 Goals 67% Under 3.5 Goals

Ulm sit 19th in the table after 19 games, averaging 1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per home match this season. MSV Duisburg are 2nd after 19 games, averaging 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. The form figures are level. Ulm have won 30% of home games, MSV Duisburg 30% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Ulm have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); MSV Duisburg in 50% away (5/10). Ulm average 1 scored and 1.7 conceded at home, MSV Duisburg 1.3 and 1.8 on the road.

Ulm frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). MSV Duisburg are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Ulm see 8+ in 80% of home games, MSV Duisburg in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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League Table

Where Ulm (19th) and MSV Duisburg (2nd) sit in the 3. Liga table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
4 MSV Duisburg A 38 19 11 8 66:49 +17 68
19 Ulm H 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
View the full 3. Liga 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Osnabrück 38 24 8 6 66:34 +32 80
2 Energie Cottbus 38 21 9 8 72:51 +21 72
3 Rot-Weiss Essen 38 20 10 8 78:66 +12 70
4 MSV Duisburg A 38 19 11 8 66:49 +17 68
5 Hansa Rostock 38 18 13 7 74:49 +25 67
6 Verl 38 18 10 10 82:48 +34 64
7 Alemannia Aachen 38 19 7 12 76:57 +19 64
8 1860 München 38 15 11 12 54:53 +1 56
9 Wehen Wiesbaden 38 15 8 15 54:52 +2 53
10 Waldhof Mannheim 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
11 Viktoria Köln 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
12 Ingolstadt 38 13 10 15 65:56 +9 49
13 Jahn Regensburg 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
14 Stuttgart II 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
15 Saarbrücken 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
16 Hoffenheim II 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
17 Havelse 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
18 Erzgebirge Aue 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
19 Ulm H 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
20 Schweinfurt 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21

Team Form

Ulm (30% home wins) and MSV Duisburg (30% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Ulm: last 10 home A MSV Duisburg: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Ulm frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while MSV Duisburg are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Ulm: last 10 home A MSV Duisburg: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 53% · BTTS No 47%

Match Goals

Ulm have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, MSV Duisburg in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Ulm: last 10 home A MSV Duisburg: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Team Goals

Ulm have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, MSV Duisburg in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Ulm 1 scored · 1.7 conceded per home game MSV Duisburg 1.3 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H Ulm: last 10 home A MSV Duisburg: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: Ulm 10 scored / 17 conceded at home · MSV Duisburg 13 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Ulm regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while MSV Duisburg are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Ulm: last 10 home A MSV Duisburg: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Ulm have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

MSV Duisburg have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Ulm: last 10 home A MSV Duisburg: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Ulm and MSV Duisburg. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23 Aug 2025
MSV Duisburg
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Ulm
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Jan 2024
Ulm
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
MSV Duisburg
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Aug 2023
MSV Duisburg
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Ulm
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Ulm vs MSV Duisburg across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Ulm 3.35 Model: 31%
Draw 3.5 Model: 24%
MSV Duisburg 1.91 Model: 44%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.74 Model: 53%
No 2.18 Model: 47%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.33 Model: 77%
Value Over 2.5 2.01 Model: 56%
Value Over 3.5 3.6 Model: 33%
Under 1.5 3.85 Model: 23%
Under 2.5 1.96 Model: 45%
Under 3.5 1.36 Model: 67%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.36 Model: 81%
Over 1.5 2.92

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.14 Model: 37%
Over 9.5 1.48 Model: 27%
Over 10.5 2.02 Model: 20%
Over 11.5 2.25 Model: 14%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Ulm 3.94 Model: 26%
Draw 2.23 Model: 40%
MSV Duisburg 2.75 Model: 35%

Double Chance

Ulm or Draw 1.66 Model: 56%
Ulm or MSV Duisburg 1.23 Model: 76%
Draw or MSV Duisburg 1.34 Model: 69%

Ulm Goals

Over 0.5 1.35 Model: 66%
Over 1.5 2.88 Model: 34%

MSV Duisburg Goals

Over 0.5 1.25 Model: 76%
Over 1.5 2.19 Model: 45%

Ulm vs MSV Duisburg Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Ulm vs MSV Duisburg?

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Ulm or MSV Duisburg?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. Ulm have won 30% of home games, MSV Duisburg 30% away in 3. Liga. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Ulm and MSV Duisburg?

Mixed. Ulm have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, MSV Duisburg in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this 3. Liga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Ulm and MSV Duisburg?

Uncertain. Ulm have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, MSV Duisburg in 50% of away games in 3. Liga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Ulm or MSV Duisburg?

MSV Duisburg have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Ulm's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Ulm and MSV Duisburg?

Possibly. Ulm regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while MSV Duisburg are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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