Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Wednesday 22nd July, 01:00 BST

Universidad Católica vs Barcelona Guayaquil Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Universidad Católica Home 5W 2D 3L last 10 home
VS
Barcelona Guayaquil Away 3W 1D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Universidad Católica 59% Draw 24% Barcelona Guayaquil 18%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Universidad Católica vs Barcelona Guayaquil Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Universidad Católica see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Barcelona Guayaquil in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
59% Universidad Católica win 24% Draw 18% Barcelona Guayaquil win 48% BTTS 48% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
74% Under 3.5 Goals

Universidad Católica average 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Barcelona Guayaquil average 1 scored and 1.8 conceded in away fixtures. Universidad Católica have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Barcelona Guayaquil have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Universidad Católica have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Barcelona Guayaquil are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 1 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Universidad Católica at 50% in home games (5/10), Barcelona Guayaquil at 40% away (4/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Universidad Católica see 8+ in 80% of home games, Barcelona Guayaquil in 90% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

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League Table

Where Universidad Católica and Barcelona Guayaquil sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
2 Barcelona Guayaquil A 17 8 5 4 20:13 +7 29
5 Universidad Católica H 17 7 5 5 28:17 +11 26
View the full Liga Pro 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 17 13 1 3 36:18 +18 40
2 Barcelona Guayaquil A 17 8 5 4 20:13 +7 29
3 LDU Quito 17 8 3 6 19:14 +5 27
4 Deportivo Cuenca 17 8 3 6 18:19 -1 27
5 Universidad Católica H 17 7 5 5 28:17 +11 26
6 Aucas 16 7 5 4 19:16 +3 26
7 Técnico Universitario 17 7 2 8 19:17 +2 23
8 Macará 17 6 5 6 16:18 -2 23
9 Emelec 17 6 5 6 14:17 -3 23
10 Orense 17 6 4 7 22:24 -2 22
11 Mushuc Runa 17 5 6 6 22:23 -1 21
12 Leones del Norte 17 5 5 7 18:19 -1 20
13 Guayaquil City 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
14 Delfin 17 4 5 8 9:16 -7 17
15 Libertad 17 4 5 8 17:25 -8 17
16 Manta 17 3 3 11 7:23 -16 12

Team Form

Barcelona Guayaquil have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Universidad Católica have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Universidad Católica: last 10 home A Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 away
Won
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Universidad Católica have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Barcelona Guayaquil in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Universidad Católica: last 10 home A Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 48% · BTTS No 52%

Match Goals

Universidad Católica frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Barcelona Guayaquil are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Universidad Católica: last 10 home A Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Universidad Católica have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Barcelona Guayaquil in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Universidad Católica 2.1 scored · 1.3 conceded per home game Barcelona Guayaquil 1 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game
H Universidad Católica: last 10 home A Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Universidad Católica 21 scored / 13 conceded at home · Barcelona Guayaquil 10 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Barcelona Guayaquil frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Universidad Católica are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Universidad Católica: last 10 home A Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Universidad Católica have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Barcelona Guayaquil have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Universidad Católica: last 10 home A Barcelona Guayaquil: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
9/10 (90%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Universidad Católica vs Barcelona Guayaquil Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Universidad Católica vs Barcelona Guayaquil?

Over 1.5 Goals: Universidad Católica see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Barcelona Guayaquil in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Universidad Católica or Barcelona Guayaquil?

Universidad Católica have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Barcelona Guayaquil on the road (30% wins) in Liga Pro. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Universidad Católica and Barcelona Guayaquil?

Mixed. Universidad Católica have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Barcelona Guayaquil in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Universidad Católica and Barcelona Guayaquil?

Possibly. Universidad Católica frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Barcelona Guayaquil are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Universidad Católica or Barcelona Guayaquil?

Universidad Católica have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Barcelona Guayaquil's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Universidad Católica and Barcelona Guayaquil?

Possibly. Barcelona Guayaquil frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Universidad Católica are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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