Bundesliga · Germany 🕒 Sunday 31st August, 14:30 BST

VfL Wolfsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

VfL Wolfsburg Home · 4th 1W 3D 6L last 10 home
VS
FSV Mainz 05 Away · 16th 5W 3D 2L last 10 away
Win Probability
VfL Wolfsburg 35% Draw 25% FSV Mainz 05 40%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

VfL Wolfsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

VfL Wolfsburg have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, FSV Mainz 05 in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
35% VfL Wolfsburg win 25% Draw 40% FSV Mainz 05 win 57% BTTS 56% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
79% Over 1.5 Goals 67% Over 8.5 Corners

VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th in the table, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. VfL Wolfsburg have won 1/10 home games (10%) this season; FSV Mainz 05 have won 5/10 on the road (50%). There's no dominant edge either way.

VfL Wolfsburg have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); FSV Mainz 05 in 50% away (5/10). VfL Wolfsburg average 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, FSV Mainz 05 1.2 and 1.3 on the road.

VfL Wolfsburg frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). FSV Mainz 05 are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

VfL Wolfsburg regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). FSV Mainz 05 are lower on the road (30%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where VfL Wolfsburg (4th) and FSV Mainz 05 (16th) sit in the Bundesliga table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
10 FSV Mainz 05 A 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
16 VfL Wolfsburg H 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
View the full Bundesliga 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 28 5 1 122:36 +86 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 22 7 5 70:34 +36 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 20 5 9 66:47 +19 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 18 8 8 71:49 +22 62
5 TSG Hoffenheim 34 18 7 9 65:52 +13 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 17 8 9 68:47 +21 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 A 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
11 FC Union Berlin 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
14 FC Köln 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
15 Werder Bremen 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg H 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
17 Heidenheim 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
18 St. Pauli 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26

Team Form

VfL Wolfsburg have lost 60% of their home matches this season, while FSV Mainz 05 have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H VfL Wolfsburg: last 10 home A FSV Mainz 05: last 10 away
Won
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

VfL Wolfsburg frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while FSV Mainz 05 are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H VfL Wolfsburg: last 10 home A FSV Mainz 05: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 57% · BTTS No 43%

Match Goals

VfL Wolfsburg have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H VfL Wolfsburg: last 10 home A FSV Mainz 05: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

VfL Wolfsburg have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, FSV Mainz 05 in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

VfL Wolfsburg 0.8 scored · 1.3 conceded per home game FSV Mainz 05 1.2 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game
H VfL Wolfsburg: last 10 home A FSV Mainz 05: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: VfL Wolfsburg 8 scored / 13 conceded at home · FSV Mainz 05 12 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Both VfL Wolfsburg (90% Over 8.5 at home) and FSV Mainz 05 (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H VfL Wolfsburg: last 10 home A FSV Mainz 05: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

VfL Wolfsburg win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

FSV Mainz 05 have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H VfL Wolfsburg: last 10 home A FSV Mainz 05: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between VfL Wolfsburg and FSV Mainz 05. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19th Apr, 2025
FSV Mainz 05
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
VfL Wolfsburg
Corners 7–5 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Dec, 2024
VfL Wolfsburg
4 – 3 HT: 1-2
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 3–5 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th May, 2024
VfL Wolfsburg
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 1–3 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Jan, 2024
FSV Mainz 05
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
VfL Wolfsburg
Corners 7–3 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
30th Apr, 2023
VfL Wolfsburg
3 – 0 HT: 3-0
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 3–5 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Nov, 2022
FSV Mainz 05
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
VfL Wolfsburg
Corners 9–4 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Apr, 2022
VfL Wolfsburg
5 – 0 HT: 5-0
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 2–3 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Dec, 2021
FSV Mainz 05
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
VfL Wolfsburg
Corners 6–5 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd May, 2021
VfL Wolfsburg
2 – 3 HT: 0-1
FSV Mainz 05
Corners 7–7 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Jan, 2021
FSV Mainz 05
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
VfL Wolfsburg
Corners 2–5 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for VfL Wolfsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

VfL Wolfsburg 2.28 Model: 35%
Draw 3.6 Model: 25%
Value FSV Mainz 05 3.1 Model: 40%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.61 Model: 57%
No 2.44 Model: 43%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.26 Model: 79%
Over 2.5 1.83 Model: 56%
Over 3.5 3 Model: 35%
Under 1.5 4.7 Model: 21%
Under 2.5 2.18 Model: 44%
Under 3.5 1.46 Model: 65%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.61

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26 Model: 67%
Over 9.5 1.36 Model: 55%
Over 10.5 1.96 Model: 43%
Over 11.5 2.2 Model: 32%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

VfL Wolfsburg 2.75 Model: 24%
Draw 2.4 Model: 41%
Value FSV Mainz 05 3.81 Model: 36%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw 1.36 Model: 60%
VfL Wolfsburg or FSV Mainz 05 1.28 Model: 75%
Value Draw or FSV Mainz 05 1.66 Model: 65%

VfL Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5 1.18 Model: 70%
Over 1.5 1.9 Model: 39%
Over 2.5 4

FSV Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 1.3 Model: 74%
Value Over 1.5 2.58 Model: 43%
Over 2.5 6.15

VfL Wolfsburg vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for VfL Wolfsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?

Under 3.5 Goals: VfL Wolfsburg have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, FSV Mainz 05 in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, VfL Wolfsburg or FSV Mainz 05?

FSV Mainz 05 hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over VfL Wolfsburg at home (10% wins) in Bundesliga. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between VfL Wolfsburg and FSV Mainz 05?

Mixed. VfL Wolfsburg have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Bundesliga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between VfL Wolfsburg and FSV Mainz 05?

Uncertain. VfL Wolfsburg have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 50% of away games in Bundesliga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: VfL Wolfsburg or FSV Mainz 05?

FSV Mainz 05 have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to VfL Wolfsburg's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between VfL Wolfsburg and FSV Mainz 05?

Yes. Both VfL Wolfsburg (90% Over 8.5 at home) and FSV Mainz 05 (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Bundesliga. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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