Veikkausliiga · Finland 🕒 Saturday 4th July, 16:00 BST

VPS vs Mariehamn Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

VPS Home 4W 3D 3L last 10 home
VS
Mariehamn Away 2W 2D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
VPS 57% Draw 23% Mariehamn 20%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

VPS vs Mariehamn Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

VPS have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Mariehamn in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says
57% VPS win 23% Draw 20% Mariehamn win 57% BTTS 58% Over 2.5 Goals 2-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
80% Over 1.5 Goals 70% Over 8.5 Corners

VPS average 2.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Mariehamn average 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded in away fixtures. VPS have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Mariehamn have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

VPS have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Mariehamn are lower on the road (60%, 6/10), averaging 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home.

VPS frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Mariehamn are lower on the road (40%, 4/10). They've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Both teams see 9+ corners in the majority of their games: VPS at 70% at home (7/10), Mariehamn at 70% away (7/10). Over 8.5 Corners is well supported by the data.

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League Table

Where VPS and Mariehamn sit in the Veikkausliiga table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
6 VPS H 11 4 5 2 11:9 +2 17
12 Mariehamn A 11 0 4 7 6:19 -13 4
View the full Veikkausliiga 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Inter Turku 13 7 5 1 20:11 +9 26
2 Oulu 12 8 1 3 18:9 +9 25
3 KuPS 13 6 6 1 19:12 +7 24
4 HJK 12 5 4 3 21:13 +8 19
5 Gnistan 11 5 2 4 17:15 +2 17
6 VPS H 11 4 5 2 11:9 +2 17
7 TPS 11 4 3 4 12:11 +1 15
8 Ilves 12 4 3 5 19:21 -2 15
9 Lahti 11 3 2 6 14:14 0 11
10 SJK 11 2 3 6 12:18 -6 9
11 Jaro 12 1 4 7 10:27 -17 7
12 Mariehamn A 11 0 4 7 6:19 -13 4

Team Form

Mariehamn have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while VPS have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H VPS: last 10 home A Mariehamn: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

VPS frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Mariehamn are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H VPS: last 10 home A Mariehamn: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 57% · BTTS No 43%

Match Goals

VPS frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Mariehamn are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H VPS: last 10 home A Mariehamn: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

VPS have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Mariehamn in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

VPS 2.1 scored · 1.4 conceded per home game Mariehamn 1.1 scored · 1.5 conceded per away game
H VPS: last 10 home A Mariehamn: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: VPS 21 scored / 14 conceded at home · Mariehamn 11 scored / 15 conceded away

Match Corners

Both VPS (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Mariehamn (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H VPS: last 10 home A Mariehamn: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

VPS have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Mariehamn have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

H VPS: last 10 home A Mariehamn: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

VPS vs Mariehamn Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for VPS vs Mariehamn?

Over 2.5 Goals: VPS have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Mariehamn in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, VPS or Mariehamn?

VPS have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Mariehamn on the road (20% wins) in Veikkausliiga. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between VPS and Mariehamn?

Possibly. VPS frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Mariehamn are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between VPS and Mariehamn?

Possibly. VPS frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Mariehamn are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: VPS or Mariehamn?

VPS have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Mariehamn's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between VPS and Mariehamn?

Yes. Both VPS (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Mariehamn (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Veikkausliiga. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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