Ligue 1 · Tunisia 🕒 Saturday 31st January, 13:00 GMT

Ben Guerdane vs ES Zarzis Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Ben Guerdane Home · 9th 4W 2D 4L last 10 home
VS
ES Zarzis Away · 6th 2W 4D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Ben Guerdane 41% Draw 30% ES Zarzis 28%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Ben Guerdane vs ES Zarzis Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Ben Guerdane have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, ES Zarzis in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
41% Ben Guerdane win 30% Draw 28% ES Zarzis win 43% BTTS 34% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
84% Under 3.5 Goals

Ben Guerdane sit 9th in the table after 16 games, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per home match this season. ES Zarzis are 6th after 16 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 1 conceded on the road. Ben Guerdane have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; ES Zarzis have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Ben Guerdane have seen 3+ goals in only 0% of home fixtures; ES Zarzis in 30% away. Ben Guerdane average 0.6 scored and 0.4 conceded at home, ES Zarzis 0.7 and 1 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Ben Guerdane have seen BTTS in only 0% of home games (0/10); ES Zarzis in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Ben Guerdane see 9+ corners in 10% of home games, ES Zarzis in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Ben Guerdane (9th) and ES Zarzis (6th) sit in the Ligue 1 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
6 ES Zarzis A 30 11 8 11 30:28 +2 41
10 Ben Guerdane H 30 8 11 11 18:22 -4 35
View the full Ligue 1 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 ES Tunis 30 18 9 3 45:11 +34 63
2 Club Africain 29 18 9 2 41:10 +31 63
3 CS Sfaxien 29 17 8 4 42:13 +29 59
4 Stade Tunisien 30 13 12 5 31:14 +17 51
5 US Monastir 29 11 12 6 28:17 +11 45
6 ES Zarzis A 30 11 8 11 30:28 +2 41
7 Etoile du Sahel 30 11 8 11 28:30 -2 41
8 ES Métlaoui 30 9 13 8 19:25 -6 40
9 JS Omrane 30 10 6 14 24:33 -9 36
10 Ben Guerdane H 30 8 11 11 18:22 -4 35
11 AS Marsa 30 11 2 17 26:33 -7 35
12 CA Bizertin 29 8 9 12 18:27 -9 33
13 Kairouan 30 9 4 17 20:41 -21 31
14 Olympique Béja 30 8 5 17 18:42 -24 29
15 AS Slimane 30 6 9 15 15:31 -16 27
16 AS Gabès 30 3 9 18 11:37 -26 18

Team Form

Ben Guerdane have won 40% of home games this season, ES Zarzis 20% away. The breakdown below gives the full picture heading into this match.

H Ben Guerdane — last 10 home A ES Zarzis — last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Ben Guerdane (0% BTTS at home) and ES Zarzis (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Ben Guerdane — last 10 home A ES Zarzis — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 43% · BTTS No 57%

Match Goals

Ben Guerdane (0% Over 2.5 at home) and ES Zarzis (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

H Ben Guerdane — last 10 home A ES Zarzis — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Ben Guerdane have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, ES Zarzis in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Ben Guerdane 0.6 scored · 0.4 conceded per home game ES Zarzis 0.7 scored · 1 conceded per away game
H Ben Guerdane — last 10 home A ES Zarzis — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Ben Guerdane 6 scored / 4 conceded at home · ES Zarzis 7 scored / 10 conceded away

Match Corners

Ben Guerdane have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 10% of home games, ES Zarzis in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Ben Guerdane — last 10 home A ES Zarzis — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Ben Guerdane have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

ES Zarzis have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Ben Guerdane — last 10 home A ES Zarzis — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Ben Guerdane and ES Zarzis. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

28 Aug 2025
ES Zarzis
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Ben Guerdane
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 May 2025
Ben Guerdane
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
ES Zarzis
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Dec 2024
ES Zarzis
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
Ben Guerdane
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Dec 2017
Zarzis
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Ben Guerdane
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 5 more meetings
16 Aug 2017
Ben Guerdane
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Zarzis
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Dec 2016
Zarzis
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Ben Guerdane
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Oct 2016
Ben Guerdane
3 – 1 HT: 0-1
Zarzis
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Mar 2016
Ben Guerdane
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Zarzis
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Oct 2015
Zarzis
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Ben Guerdane
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Ben Guerdane vs ES Zarzis across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Ben Guerdane 2.25 Model: 41%
Draw 2.5 Model: 30%
ES Zarzis 3.75 Model: 28%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 2.5 Model: 43%
No 1.44 Model: 57%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.71 Model: 61%
Value Over 2.5 3.25 Model: 34%
Over 3.5 6.1 Model: 16%
Under 1.5 2.08 Model: 39%
Under 2.5 1.3 Model: 66%
Under 3.5 1.06 Model: 84%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.73 Model: 73%
Over 1.5 4.15
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Ben Guerdane 3.1 Model: 32%
Draw 1.8 Model: 47%
ES Zarzis 5.13 Model: 21%

Double Chance

Ben Guerdane or Draw 1.19 Model: 72%
Ben Guerdane or ES Zarzis 1.45 Model: 70%
Draw or ES Zarzis 1.53 Model: 59%

Ben Guerdane Goals

Over 0.5 1.41 Model: 68%
Over 1.5 2.98 Model: 31%

ES Zarzis Goals

Over 0.5 1.72 Model: 58%
Over 1.5 4.65 Model: 22%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Ben Guerdane vs ES Zarzis Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Ben Guerdane vs ES Zarzis?

Under 2.5 Goals — Ben Guerdane have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, ES Zarzis in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Ben Guerdane or ES Zarzis?

Ben Guerdane have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over ES Zarzis on the road (20% wins) in Ligue 1. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Ben Guerdane and ES Zarzis?

Unlikely — Ben Guerdane (0% BTTS at home) and ES Zarzis (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Ligue 1. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Ben Guerdane and ES Zarzis?

Unlikely — Ben Guerdane (0% Over 2.5 at home) and ES Zarzis (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Ligue 1. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Ben Guerdane or ES Zarzis?

ES Zarzis have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Ben Guerdane's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Ben Guerdane and ES Zarzis?

Ben Guerdane have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 10% of home games, ES Zarzis in 50% of away games in Ligue 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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