Primera B Nacional · Argentina 🕒 Sunday 5th July, 19:30 BST

Patronato vs San Martín de Tucumán Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Patronato Home 4W 4D 2L last 10 home

VS

San Martín de Tucumán Away 1W 5D 4L last 10 away

Win Probability

Patronato 44% Draw 34% San Martín de Tucumán 22%

⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Patronato vs San Martín de Tucumán Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Patronato have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, San Martín de Tucumán in 100% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says

44% Patronato win 34% Draw 22% San Martín de Tucumán win 34% BTTS 25% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score

Also worth a look

90% Under 3.5 Goals

Patronato average 0.9 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. San Martín de Tucumán average 0.6 scored and 1.1 conceded in away fixtures. Patronato have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; San Martín de Tucumán have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Patronato have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; San Martín de Tucumán in 0% away. Patronato average 0.9 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, San Martín de Tucumán 0.6 and 1.1 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Patronato have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); San Martín de Tucumán in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Patronato see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, San Martín de Tucumán in 0% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

League Table

Where Patronato and San Martín de Tucumán sit in the Primera B Nacional table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
18	San Martín de Tucumán A	18	5	8	5	15:15	0	23
27	Patronato H	17	4	8	5	11:14	-3	20

View the full Primera B Nacional 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Morón	17	10	4	3	26:14	+12	34
2	Atlanta	18	10	3	5	23:13	+10	33
3	Gimnasia Jujuy	17	10	3	4	27:19	+8	33
4	Club Ferro Carril Oeste	17	9	4	4	19:13	+6	31
5	Los Andes	17	7	8	2	15:4	+11	29
6	Club Atletico Colón	18	7	8	3	21:14	+7	29
7	Tristán Suárez	17	7	8	2	16:10	+6	29
8	Ciudad de Bolívar	18	6	9	3	15:12	+3	27
9	Temperley	18	6	9	3	18:17	+1	27
10	Atlético Rafaela	17	7	5	5	14:12	+2	26
11	Estudiantes de Buenos Aires	18	7	5	6	14:15	-1	26
12	Deportivo Madryn	17	6	7	4	22:17	+5	25
13	Godoy Cruz	17	6	7	4	18:13	+5	25
14	Midland	17	7	4	6	18:13	+5	25
15	San Miguel	18	5	9	4	16:19	-3	24
16	San Martín San Juan	17	6	5	6	18:18	0	23
17	Colegiales	18	6	5	7	17:17	0	23
18	San Martín de Tucumán A	18	5	8	5	15:15	0	23
19	Almirante Brown	17	6	5	6	10:11	-1	23
20	Almagro	18	6	4	8	15:19	-4	22
21	Deportivo Maipú	17	6	3	8	22:20	+2	21
22	Quilmes Atlético Club	18	5	6	7	16:14	+2	21
23	Nueva Chicago	16	5	6	5	15:16	-1	21
24	San Telmo	18	4	8	6	14:16	-2	20
25	Gimnasia y Tiro de Salta	17	5	5	7	16:19	-3	20
26	Defensores de Belgrano	17	4	8	5	12:15	-3	20
27	Patronato H	17	4	8	5	11:14	-3	20
28	Racing de Córdoba	18	5	5	8	16:21	-5	20
29	Güemes	17	5	4	8	17:27	-10	19
30	Club Atlético Chacarita Juniors	17	5	3	9	14:20	-6	18
31	Acassuso	18	5	3	10	12:19	-7	18
32	Agropecuario Argentino	18	4	6	8	14:22	-8	18
33	CA Mitre	17	3	8	6	17:20	-3	17
34	All Boys	17	3	7	7	10:18	-8	16
35	Central Norte de Salta	17	3	6	8	10:16	-6	15
36	Chaco For Ever	18	2	6	10	13:24	-11	12

Team Form

San Martín de Tucumán have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Patronato have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Patronato: last 10 home A San Martín de Tucumán: last 10 away

Won

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Drawn

H

4/10 (40%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Lost

H

2/10 (20%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Patronato (30% BTTS at home) and San Martín de Tucumán (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Patronato: last 10 home A San Martín de Tucumán: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

3/10 (30%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Scored Themselves

H

6/10 (60%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Conceded

H

4/10 (40%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 34% · BTTS No 66%

Match Goals

Patronato (20% Over 2.5 at home) and San Martín de Tucumán (0% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

H Patronato: last 10 home A San Martín de Tucumán: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

8/10 (80%)

A

10/10 (100%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

10/10 (100%)

A

10/10 (100%)

Team Goals

Patronato have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, San Martín de Tucumán in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Patronato 0.9 scored · 0.6 conceded per home game San Martín de Tucumán 0.6 scored · 1.1 conceded per away game

H Patronato: last 10 home A San Martín de Tucumán: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

6/10 (60%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

4/10 (40%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

2/10 (20%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Patronato 9 scored / 6 conceded at home · San Martín de Tucumán 6 scored / 11 conceded away

Match Corners

Patronato have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, San Martín de Tucumán in 10% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Patronato: last 10 home A San Martín de Tucumán: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

7/10 (70%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Patronato have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

San Martín de Tucumán have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

H Patronato: last 10 home A San Martín de Tucumán: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

7/10 (70%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

5/10 (50%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

3/10 (30%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Patronato vs San Martín de Tucumán Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Patronato vs San Martín de Tucumán?

Under 2.5 Goals: Patronato have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, San Martín de Tucumán in 100% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Patronato or San Martín de Tucumán?

Patronato have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over San Martín de Tucumán on the road (10% wins) in Primera B Nacional. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Patronato and San Martín de Tucumán?

Unlikely. Patronato (30% BTTS at home) and San Martín de Tucumán (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Primera B Nacional. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Patronato and San Martín de Tucumán?

Unlikely. Patronato (20% Over 2.5 at home) and San Martín de Tucumán (0% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Primera B Nacional. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Patronato or San Martín de Tucumán?

San Martín de Tucumán have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Patronato's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Patronato and San Martín de Tucumán?

Patronato have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, San Martín de Tucumán in 10% of away games in Primera B Nacional. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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