Serie B · Italy 🕒 Friday 8th May, 19:30 BST

Cesena vs Calcio Padova Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Cesena Home · 9th 2W 3D 5L last 10 home
VS
Calcio Padova Away · 13th 2W 1D 7L last 10 away
Win Probability
Cesena 52% Draw 26% Calcio Padova 22%
⭐ Our Prediction No Standout Pick See why ↓

Cesena vs Calcio Padova Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

No Standout Pick

Low confidence

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

What the model says
52% Cesena win 26% Draw 22% Calcio Padova win 48% BTTS 44% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
77% Under 3.5 Goals 69% Over 1.5 Goals 65% Over 8.5 Corners

Cesena sit 9th in the table after 34 games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2 conceded per home match this season. Calcio Padova are 13th after 34 games, averaging 1 scored and 1.9 conceded on the road. The form figures are level. Cesena have won 20% of home games, Calcio Padova 20% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Cesena have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Calcio Padova are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 1 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home.

Cesena frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Calcio Padova are lower on the road (40%, 4/10). They've scored in 40% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Cesena see 8+ in 70% of home games, Calcio Padova in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Cesena (9th) and Calcio Padova (13th) sit in the Serie B table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
9 Calcio Padova A 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
10 Cesena H 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
View the full Serie B 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Monza 42 24 11 7 67:37 +30 83
2 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 +46 82
3 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 +42 81
4 Palermo 40 21 12 7 63:36 +27 75
5 Catanzaro 43 18 14 11 70:55 +15 68
6 Modena 39 15 10 14 49:37 +12 55
7 Juve Stabia 41 12 19 10 48:49 -1 55
8 Avellino 39 13 10 16 43:58 -15 49
9 Calcio Padova A 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
10 Cesena H 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
11 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
14 Südtirol 40 8 19 13 38:48 -10 43
15 Virtus Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
16 Bari 1908 40 10 12 18 38:60 -22 42
17 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
19 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
20 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35

Team Form

Cesena (20% home wins) and Calcio Padova (20% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Cesena: last 10 home A Calcio Padova: last 10 away
Won
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cesena frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Calcio Padova are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Cesena: last 10 home A Calcio Padova: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 48% · BTTS No 52%

Match Goals

Cesena frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Calcio Padova are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Cesena: last 10 home A Calcio Padova: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Cesena have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Calcio Padova in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Cesena 1.5 scored · 2 conceded per home game Calcio Padova 1 scored · 1.9 conceded per away game
H Cesena: last 10 home A Calcio Padova: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Cesena 15 scored / 20 conceded at home · Calcio Padova 10 scored / 19 conceded away

Match Corners

Cesena regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Calcio Padova are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Cesena: last 10 home A Calcio Padova: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Cesena have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Calcio Padova have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Cesena: last 10 home A Calcio Padova: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Cesena and Calcio Padova. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

08 Dec 2025
Calcio Padova
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Cesena
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Aug 2024
Cesena
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Calcio Padova
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Feb 2021
Calcio Padova
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Cesena
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Nov 2020
Cesena
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Calcio Padova
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
09 Feb 2020
Cesena
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Calcio Padova
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Sep 2019
Calcio Padova
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cesena
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 May 2014
Padova
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Cesena
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Dec 2013
Cesena
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Padova
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Mar 2013
Cesena
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Padova
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Nov 2012
Padova
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Cesena
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Cesena vs Calcio Padova across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Cesena 1.4 Model: 52%
Value Draw 5.25 Model: 26%
Value Calcio Padova 6.25 Model: 22%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.87 Model: 48%
Value No 2.1 Model: 52%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.2 Model: 69%
Over 2.5 1.61 Model: 44%
Over 3.5 2.5 Model: 23%
Value Under 1.5 5.6 Model: 31%
Value Under 2.5 2.25 Model: 56%
Value Under 3.5 1.5 Model: 77%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.28 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 2.43

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.3 Model: 65%
Over 9.5 1.37 Model: 53%
Over 10.5 2.13 Model: 41%
Over 11.5 2.14 Model: 30%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Cesena 1.98 Model: 36%
Value Draw 2.62 Model: 44%
Value Calcio Padova 6.19 Model: 20%

Double Chance

Cesena or Draw 1.09 Model: 78%
Cesena or Calcio Padova 1.17 Model: 74%
Value Draw or Calcio Padova 2.59 Model: 48%

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5 1.05 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 1.54 Model: 45%

Calcio Padova Goals

Over 0.5 1.59 Model: 56%
Over 1.5 3.92 Model: 22%

Cesena vs Calcio Padova Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Cesena vs Calcio Padova?

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Cesena or Calcio Padova?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. Cesena have won 20% of home games, Calcio Padova 20% away in Serie B. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Cesena and Calcio Padova?

Possibly. Cesena frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Calcio Padova are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Cesena and Calcio Padova?

Possibly. Cesena frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Calcio Padova are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Cesena or Calcio Padova?

Calcio Padova have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Cesena's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Cesena and Calcio Padova?

Possibly. Cesena regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Calcio Padova are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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