Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Sunday 19th July, 01:00 BST

Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Católica Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Deportivo Cuenca Home 3W 5D 2L last 10 home
VS
Universidad Católica Away 4W 3D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
Deportivo Cuenca 36% Draw 27% Universidad Católica 37%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Católica Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Deportivo Cuenca have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Universidad Católica in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
36% Deportivo Cuenca win 27% Draw 37% Universidad Católica win 53% BTTS 48% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Under 3.5 Goals 72% Over 1.5 Goals

Deportivo Cuenca average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Universidad Católica average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded in away fixtures. Deportivo Cuenca have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Universidad Católica have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Deportivo Cuenca have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Universidad Católica in 30% away. Deportivo Cuenca average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, Universidad Católica 1.2 and 0.8 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Deportivo Cuenca frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Universidad Católica are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Deportivo Cuenca see 8+ in 70% of home games, Universidad Católica in 90% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

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League Table

Where Deportivo Cuenca and Universidad Católica sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Deportivo Cuenca H 16 8 3 5 18:17 +1 27
4 Universidad Católica A 16 7 5 4 26:14 +12 26
View the full Liga Pro 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 17 13 1 3 36:18 +18 40
2 LDU Quito 16 8 3 5 19:13 +6 27
3 Deportivo Cuenca H 16 8 3 5 18:17 +1 27
4 Universidad Católica A 16 7 5 4 26:14 +12 26
5 Barcelona Guayaquil 16 7 5 4 18:13 +5 26
6 Aucas 16 7 5 4 19:16 +3 26
7 Orense 16 6 4 6 21:22 -1 22
8 Emelec 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 22
9 Técnico Universitario 16 6 2 8 17:16 +1 20
10 Macará 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
11 Guayaquil City 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
12 Mushuc Runa 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
13 Leones del Norte 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
14 Libertad 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
15 Delfin 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
16 Manta 17 3 3 11 7:23 -16 12

Team Form

Universidad Católica have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while Deportivo Cuenca have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 home A Universidad Católica: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Deportivo Cuenca frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Universidad Católica are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 home A Universidad Católica: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 53% · BTTS No 47%

Match Goals

Deportivo Cuenca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Universidad Católica in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 home A Universidad Católica: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Deportivo Cuenca have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Universidad Católica in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Deportivo Cuenca 1.2 scored · 1.2 conceded per home game Universidad Católica 1.2 scored · 0.8 conceded per away game
H Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 home A Universidad Católica: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Deportivo Cuenca 12 scored / 12 conceded at home · Universidad Católica 12 scored / 8 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Deportivo Cuenca (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Universidad Católica (90% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 home A Universidad Católica: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Deportivo Cuenca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Universidad Católica have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Deportivo Cuenca: last 10 home A Universidad Católica: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Católica Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Universidad Católica?

Under 2.5 Goals: Deportivo Cuenca have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Universidad Católica in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Deportivo Cuenca or Universidad Católica?

Universidad Católica hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Deportivo Cuenca at home (30% wins) in Liga Pro. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Deportivo Cuenca and Universidad Católica?

Possibly. Deportivo Cuenca frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Universidad Católica are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Deportivo Cuenca and Universidad Católica?

Uncertain. Deportivo Cuenca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Universidad Católica in 30% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Deportivo Cuenca or Universidad Católica?

Universidad Católica have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Deportivo Cuenca's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Deportivo Cuenca and Universidad Católica?

Deportivo Cuenca have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Universidad Católica in 60% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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