Eredivisie · Netherlands 🕒 Friday 29th August, 19:00 BST

FC Groningen vs Heracles Almelo Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

FC Groningen Home · 11th 4W 2D 4L last 10 home
VS
Heracles Almelo Away · 18th 0W 1D 9L last 10 away
Win Probability
FC Groningen 63% Draw 23% Heracles Almelo 15%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

FC Groningen vs Heracles Almelo Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

FC Groningen have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Heracles Almelo in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says
63% FC Groningen win 23% Draw 15% Heracles Almelo win 44% BTTS 49% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
73% Over 1.5 Goals 72% Under 3.5 Goals

FC Groningen sit 11th in the table, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Heracles Almelo are 18th, averaging 0.9 scored and 3.2 conceded on the road. FC Groningen have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Heracles Almelo have won 0/10 on the road (0%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Goals look likely from both ends. FC Groningen have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home fixtures this season (8/10), and Heracles Almelo in 80% of away games (8/10). FC Groningen average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded at home; Heracles Almelo 0.9 and 3.2 on the road.

FC Groningen frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Heracles Almelo are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

FC Groningen regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Heracles Almelo are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where FC Groningen (11th) and Heracles Almelo (18th) sit in the Eredivisie table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
9 FC Groningen H 35 14 6 15 49:47 +2 48
18 Heracles Almelo A 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
View the full Eredivisie 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 PSV 34 27 3 4 101:45 +56 84
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 70:44 +26 65
3 Ajax 36 15 15 6 65:42 +23 60
4 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 77:53 +24 59
5 FC Twente 34 15 13 6 59:40 +19 58
6 FC Utrecht 36 16 9 11 59:45 +14 57
7 AZ 34 14 10 10 58:51 +7 52
8 SC Heerenveen 35 14 9 12 59:56 +3 51
9 FC Groningen H 35 14 6 15 49:47 +2 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
12 Go Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 54:53 +1 38
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
18 Heracles Almelo A 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19

Team Form

Heracles Almelo have lost 90% of their away matches this season, while FC Groningen have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H FC Groningen: last 10 home A Heracles Almelo: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

FC Groningen frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Heracles Almelo are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H FC Groningen: last 10 home A Heracles Almelo: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 44% · BTTS No 56%

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of FC Groningen's home games and 80% of Heracles Almelo's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

H FC Groningen: last 10 home A Heracles Almelo: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Goals

FC Groningen have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Heracles Almelo in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

FC Groningen 1.6 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Heracles Almelo 0.9 scored · 3.2 conceded per away game
H FC Groningen: last 10 home A Heracles Almelo: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Season totals: FC Groningen 16 scored / 11 conceded at home · Heracles Almelo 9 scored / 32 conceded away

Match Corners

Both FC Groningen (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Heracles Almelo (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H FC Groningen: last 10 home A Heracles Almelo: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Corners

FC Groningen have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Heracles Almelo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches. The home side can expect some set-piece chances.

H FC Groningen: last 10 home A Heracles Almelo: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between FC Groningen and Heracles Almelo. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23rd Apr, 2025
FC Groningen
4 – 1 HT: 2-1
Heracles Almelo
Corners 3–5 Cards 0–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Jan, 2025
Heracles Almelo
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
FC Groningen
Corners 5–1 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Aug, 2024
FC Groningen
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Heracles Almelo
Corners 2–11 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Apr, 2022
FC Groningen
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Heracles Almelo
Corners 1–2 Cards 0–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
18th Dec, 2021
Heracles Almelo
4 – 2 HT: 2-1
FC Groningen
Corners 9–0 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Jan, 2021
Heracles Almelo
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
FC Groningen
Corners 5–4 Cards 0–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Dec, 2020
FC Groningen
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Heracles Almelo
Corners 5–1 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Aug, 2020
FC Groningen
1 – 0 HT:
Heracles Almelo
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Aug, 2019
FC Groningen
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Heracles Almelo
Corners 5–5 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Jan, 2019
FC Groningen
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Heracles Almelo
Corners 5–1 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for FC Groningen vs Heracles Almelo across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

FC Groningen 1.61 Model: 63%
Draw 3.9 Model: 23%
Heracles Almelo 5 Model: 15%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8 Model: 44%
Value No 1.91 Model: 56%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22 Model: 73%
Over 2.5 1.78 Model: 49%
Over 3.5 2.9 Model: 28%
Value Under 1.5 4.24 Model: 27%
Value Under 2.5 2.13 Model: 51%
Under 3.5 1.36 Model: 72%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.71

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.25 Model: 61%
Over 9.5 1.47 Model: 49%
Over 10.5 2 Model: 38%
Over 11.5 2.18 Model: 28%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

FC Groningen 2.1 Model: 46%
Draw 2.47 Model: 37%
Heracles Almelo 5.53 Model: 18%

Double Chance

FC Groningen or Draw 1.15 Model: 85%
FC Groningen or Heracles Almelo 1.22 Model: 78%
Draw or Heracles Almelo 2.25 Model: 37%

FC Groningen Goals

Over 0.5 1.14 Model: 83%
Over 1.5 1.61 Model: 54%
Over 2.5 2.97

Heracles Almelo Goals

Over 0.5 1.61 Model: 47%
Over 1.5 3.76 Model: 16%
Over 2.5 10.2

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • GIF Sundsvall vs Öster 18:00 BST | Superettan, Sweden GIF Sundsvall have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Öster have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
    90% combined
  • Ranheim II vs Kvik Trondheim 18:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 2, Norway Ranheim II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Kvik Trondheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Staal Jørpeland vs Odd II 17:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 4, Norway Staal Jørpeland have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Odd II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    80% combined
  • Vänersborgs IF vs Herrestads 18:30 BST | Division 2: Norra Gotaland, Sweden Vänersborgs IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Herrestads have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    80% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.72
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FC Groningen vs Heracles Almelo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for FC Groningen vs Heracles Almelo?

Over 2.5 Goals: FC Groningen have seen 3+ goals in 80% of home games, Heracles Almelo in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, FC Groningen or Heracles Almelo?

FC Groningen have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Heracles Almelo on the road (0% wins) in Eredivisie. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between FC Groningen and Heracles Almelo?

Mixed. FC Groningen have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Heracles Almelo in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Eredivisie fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between FC Groningen and Heracles Almelo?

Yes, likely. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of FC Groningen's home games and 80% of Heracles Almelo's away games in Eredivisie. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: FC Groningen or Heracles Almelo?

FC Groningen have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Heracles Almelo's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between FC Groningen and Heracles Almelo?

Yes. Both FC Groningen (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Heracles Almelo (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Eredivisie. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

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"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

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