Premier League · Egypt 🕒 Thursday 29th January, 18:00 GMT

Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Geish Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Ghazl El Mehalla Home · 14th 3W 6D 1L last 10 home
VS
El Geish Away · 18th 1W 4D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Ghazl El Mehalla 42% Draw 35% El Geish 22%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Geish Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Ghazl El Mehalla have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, El Geish in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
42% Ghazl El Mehalla win 35% Draw 22% El Geish win 35% BTTS 26% Over 2.5 Goals 0-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
89% Under 3.5 Goals

Ghazl El Mehalla sit 14th in the table after 13 games, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. El Geish are 18th after 14 games, averaging 0.4 scored and 1 conceded on the road. Ghazl El Mehalla have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; El Geish have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Ghazl El Mehalla have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; El Geish in 30% away. Ghazl El Mehalla average 0.9 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, El Geish 0.4 and 1 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Ghazl El Mehalla have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); El Geish in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

El Geish are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Ghazl El Mehalla are lower at home (10%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Ghazl El Mehalla (14th) and El Geish (18th) sit in the Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
11 Ghazl El Mehalla H 33 6 20 7 27:26 +1 38
14 El Geish A 33 9 10 14 21:34 -13 37
View the full Premier League 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Zamalek 26 17 5 4 39:17 +22 56
2 Pyramids FC 26 16 6 4 43:21 +22 54
3 Al Ahly 26 15 8 3 44:24 +20 53
4 Wadi Degla 33 13 14 6 42:29 +13 53
5 ZED FC 33 12 13 8 39:31 +8 49
6 National Bank of Egypt 33 11 15 7 38:30 +8 48
7 El Gounah 33 10 16 7 26:24 +2 46
8 Petrojet 33 10 15 8 39:38 +1 45
9 Ceramica Cleopatra 26 12 8 6 34:21 +13 44
10 Al Masry 26 10 10 6 35:29 +6 40
11 Ghazl El Mehalla H 33 6 20 7 27:26 +1 38
12 Arab Contractors FC 33 7 17 9 28:31 -3 38
13 Modern Sport FC 33 7 16 10 26:34 -8 37
14 El Geish A 33 9 10 14 21:34 -13 37
15 ENPPI 26 8 12 6 27:25 +2 36
16 Al Ittihad 33 9 9 15 29:38 -9 36
17 Kahraba Ismailia 33 7 11 15 35:53 -18 32
18 Smouha 26 8 7 11 23:23 0 31
19 Haras El Hodood 33 5 11 17 26:48 -22 26
20 Pharco 33 4 13 16 15:35 -20 25
21 Ismaily 33 4 8 21 15:40 -25 20

Team Form

El Geish have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Ghazl El Mehalla have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Ghazl El Mehalla: last 10 home A El Geish: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Ghazl El Mehalla (40% BTTS at home) and El Geish (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Ghazl El Mehalla: last 10 home A El Geish: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 35% · BTTS No 65%

Match Goals

Ghazl El Mehalla (20% Over 2.5 at home) and El Geish (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

H Ghazl El Mehalla: last 10 home A El Geish: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Ghazl El Mehalla have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, El Geish in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Ghazl El Mehalla 0.9 scored · 0.7 conceded per home game El Geish 0.4 scored · 1 conceded per away game
H Ghazl El Mehalla: last 10 home A El Geish: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Ghazl El Mehalla 9 scored / 7 conceded at home · El Geish 4 scored / 10 conceded away

Match Corners

El Geish frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Ghazl El Mehalla are lower at home (20%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Ghazl El Mehalla: last 10 home A El Geish: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Ghazl El Mehalla have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

El Geish have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Ghazl El Mehalla: last 10 home A El Geish: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Ghazl El Mehalla and El Geish. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30 Dec 2025
El Geish
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Ghazl El Mehalla
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 May 2025
El Geish
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Ghazl El Mehalla
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Nov 2024
Ghazl El Mehalla
2 – 3 HT: 0-1
El Geish
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Apr 2023
El Geish
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Ghazl El Mehalla
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
14 Dec 2022
Ghazl El Mehalla
3 – 2 HT: 1-2
El Geish
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 May 2022
Ghazl El Mehalla
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
El Geish
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Jan 2022
El Geish
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Ghazl El Mehalla
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Nov 2021
El Geish
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Ghazl El Mehalla
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 May 2021
El Geish
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Ghazl El Mehalla
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Dec 2020
Ghazl El Mehalla
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
El Geish
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Geish across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Ghazl El Mehalla 4.5 Model: 42%
Draw 2.7 Model: 35%
El Geish 2.38 Model: 22%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.7 Model: 35%
No 1.55 Model: 65%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.78 Model: 51%
Over 2.5 3.55 Model: 26%
Over 3.5 8 Model: 11%
Value Under 1.5 2.2 Model: 49%
Under 2.5 1.37 Model: 74%
Under 3.5 1.11 Model: 89%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.69 Model: 62%
Over 1.5 4.35

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.43 Model: 39%
Over 9.5 1.76 Model: 28%
Over 10.5 2.62 Model: 20%
Over 11.5 2.88 Model: 13%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Ghazl El Mehalla 4.5 Model: 26%
Draw 1.79 Model: 57%
El Geish 3.25 Model: 16%

Double Chance

Value Ghazl El Mehalla or Draw 1.61 Model: 78%
Ghazl El Mehalla or El Geish 1.41 Model: 65%
Draw or El Geish 1.2 Model: 58%

Ghazl El Mehalla Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.72 Model: 64%
Value Over 1.5 4.33 Model: 27%

El Geish Goals

Over 0.5 1.47 Model: 49%
Over 1.5 3 Model: 15%

Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Geish Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Geish?

Under 2.5 Goals: Ghazl El Mehalla have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, El Geish in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Ghazl El Mehalla or El Geish?

Ghazl El Mehalla have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over El Geish on the road (10% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Ghazl El Mehalla and El Geish?

Unlikely. Ghazl El Mehalla (40% BTTS at home) and El Geish (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Ghazl El Mehalla and El Geish?

Unlikely. Ghazl El Mehalla (20% Over 2.5 at home) and El Geish (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Premier League. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Ghazl El Mehalla or El Geish?

Ghazl El Mehalla have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to El Geish's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Ghazl El Mehalla and El Geish?

Possibly. El Geish frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Ghazl El Mehalla are lower at home (20%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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