K League 1 · South Korea 🕒 Saturday 11th July, 11:30 BST

Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Gwangju Home 3W 2D 5L last 10 home
VS
Pohang Steelers Away 4W 2D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Gwangju 22% Draw 27% Pohang Steelers 51%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Gwangju have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Pohang Steelers in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

What the model says
22% Gwangju win 27% Draw 51% Pohang Steelers win 42% BTTS 39% Over 2.5 Goals 0-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
82% Under 3.5 Goals 65% Over 1.5 Goals

Gwangju average 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per home match this season. Pohang Steelers average 1 scored and 1 conceded in away fixtures. Gwangju have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Pohang Steelers have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Gwangju have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Pohang Steelers in 20% away. Gwangju average 1 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, Pohang Steelers 1 and 1 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Gwangju have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); Pohang Steelers in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Gwangju see 8+ in 60% of home games, Pohang Steelers in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

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League Table

Where Gwangju and Pohang Steelers sit in the K League 1 table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
5 Pohang Steelers A 15 6 4 5 12:12 0 22
12 Gwangju H 15 1 4 10 7:37 -30 7
View the full K League 1 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Seoul 15 10 2 3 27:12 +15 32
2 Jeonbuk Motors 15 7 5 3 21:12 +9 26
3 Ulsan HD 15 8 2 5 22:20 +2 26
4 Gangwon 15 6 6 3 19:10 +9 24
5 Pohang Steelers A 15 6 4 5 12:12 0 22
6 Incheon United 15 6 3 6 21:17 +4 21
7 Anyang 15 4 8 3 19:16 +3 20
8 Jeju United 15 5 3 7 13:16 -3 18
9 Bucheon 1995 15 4 5 6 11:15 -4 17
10 Daejeon Citizen 15 4 4 7 17:16 +1 16
11 Gimcheon Sangmu 15 2 8 5 15:21 -6 14
12 Gwangju H 15 1 4 10 7:37 -30 7

Team Form

Gwangju have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Pohang Steelers have been more resilient on the road (40% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H Gwangju: last 10 home A Pohang Steelers: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Gwangju (30% BTTS at home) and Pohang Steelers (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Gwangju: last 10 home A Pohang Steelers: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 42% · BTTS No 58%

Match Goals

Gwangju have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Pohang Steelers in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Gwangju: last 10 home A Pohang Steelers: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Gwangju have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Pohang Steelers in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Gwangju 1 scored · 1.6 conceded per home game Pohang Steelers 1 scored · 1 conceded per away game
H Gwangju: last 10 home A Pohang Steelers: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Gwangju 10 scored / 16 conceded at home · Pohang Steelers 10 scored / 10 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Gwangju (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Pohang Steelers (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Gwangju: last 10 home A Pohang Steelers: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Gwangju have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Pohang Steelers have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Gwangju: last 10 home A Pohang Steelers: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Gwangju vs Pohang Steelers?

Under 2.5 Goals: Gwangju have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Pohang Steelers in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Gwangju or Pohang Steelers?

Pohang Steelers hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Gwangju at home (30% wins) in K League 1. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Gwangju and Pohang Steelers?

Unlikely. Gwangju (30% BTTS at home) and Pohang Steelers (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in K League 1. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Gwangju and Pohang Steelers?

Uncertain. Gwangju have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Pohang Steelers in 20% of away games in K League 1. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Gwangju or Pohang Steelers?

Gwangju have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Pohang Steelers's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Gwangju and Pohang Steelers?

Gwangju have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Pohang Steelers in 40% of away games in K League 1. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Match Stats

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