K League 1 · South Korea 🕒 Tuesday 12th May, 11:30 BST

Gwangju vs Seoul Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Gwangju Home · 12th 3W 2D 5L last 10 home
VS
Seoul Away · 1st 7W 1D 2L last 10 away
Win Probability
Gwangju 19% Draw 25% Seoul 56%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No See why ↓

Gwangju vs Seoul Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Medium confidence

At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Gwangju at 30% BTTS in home games and Seoul at 80% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

What the model says
19% Gwangju win 25% Draw 56% Seoul win 46% BTTS 43% Over 2.5 Goals 0-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
78% Under 3.5 Goals 69% Over 1.5 Goals

Gwangju sit 12th in the table after 8 games, averaging 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per home match this season. Seoul are 1st after 9 games, averaging 1.7 scored and 1 conceded on the road. Seoul carry the better away form into this fixture (7/10, 70%), while Gwangju have won 3/10 at home (30%).

Seoul have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Gwangju are lower at home (40%, 4/10), averaging 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Seoul regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (80%, 8/10). Gwangju are lower at home (30%, 3/10). They've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Seoul are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 80% of away fixtures, 8/10). Gwangju are lower at home (30%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Gwangju (12th) and Seoul (1st) sit in the K League 1 table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Seoul A 15 10 2 3 27:12 +15 32
12 Gwangju H 15 1 4 10 7:37 -30 7
View the full K League 1 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Seoul A 15 10 2 3 27:12 +15 32
2 Jeonbuk Motors 15 7 5 3 21:12 +9 26
3 Ulsan HD 15 8 2 5 22:20 +2 26
4 Gangwon 15 6 6 3 19:10 +9 24
5 Pohang Steelers 15 6 4 5 12:12 0 22
6 Incheon United 15 6 3 6 21:17 +4 21
7 Anyang 15 4 8 3 19:16 +3 20
8 Jeju United 15 5 3 7 13:16 -3 18
9 Bucheon 1995 15 4 5 6 11:15 -4 17
10 Daejeon Citizen 15 4 4 7 17:16 +1 16
11 Gimcheon Sangmu 15 2 8 5 15:21 -6 14
12 Gwangju H 15 1 4 10 7:37 -30 7

Team Form

Seoul have been outstanding on the road this season, winning 70% of away games compared to Gwangju's 30% at home. The visitors arrive as the stronger side on current form.

H Gwangju: last 10 home A Seoul: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Seoul regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while Gwangju are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Gwangju: last 10 home A Seoul: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Scored Themselves
H
5/10 (50%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 46% · BTTS No 54%

Match Goals

Seoul regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Gwangju are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Gwangju: last 10 home A Seoul: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Gwangju have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Seoul in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Gwangju 1 scored · 1.6 conceded per home game Seoul 1.7 scored · 1 conceded per away game
H Gwangju: last 10 home A Seoul: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Gwangju 10 scored / 16 conceded at home · Seoul 17 scored / 10 conceded away

Match Corners

Seoul frequently reach high corner counts away from home (100%), while Gwangju are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Gwangju: last 10 home A Seoul: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Gwangju have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Seoul have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Gwangju: last 10 home A Seoul: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Gwangju and Seoul. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

22 Mar 2026
Seoul
5 – 0 HT: 1-0
Gwangju
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Sep 2025
Seoul
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
Gwangju
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Jun 2025
Gwangju
1 – 3 HT: 0-1
Seoul
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Apr 2025
Seoul
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Gwangju
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
06 Oct 2024
Gwangju
3 – 1 HT: 0-0
Seoul
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Jun 2024
Seoul
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Gwangju
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Mar 2024
Gwangju
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Seoul
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Sep 2023
Seoul
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Gwangju
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 May 2023
Seoul
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Gwangju
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Mar 2023
Gwangju
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Seoul
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Gwangju vs Seoul across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Gwangju 7 Model: 19%
Draw 4 Model: 25%
Seoul 1.45 Model: 56%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.98 Model: 46%
No 1.72 Model: 54%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3 Model: 69%
Over 2.5 1.85 Model: 43%
Over 3.5 3.1 Model: 22%
Value Under 1.5 4.1 Model: 31%
Value Under 2.5 1.95 Model: 57%
Under 3.5 1.29 Model: 78%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.35 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 2.73

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.51 Model: 50%
Over 9.5 1.88 Model: 37%
Over 10.5 2.35 Model: 27%
Over 11.5 2.91 Model: 18%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Gwangju 7.43 Model: 15%
Value Draw 2.49 Model: 42%
Seoul 1.98 Model: 42%

Double Chance

Value Gwangju or Draw 2.75 Model: 44%
Gwangju or Seoul 1.2 Model: 75%
Draw or Seoul 1.08 Model: 81%

Gwangju Goals

Over 0.5 1.82 Model: 52%
Over 1.5 5.3 Model: 18%

Seoul Goals

Over 0.5 1.07 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 1.58 Model: 47%

Gwangju vs Seoul Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Gwangju vs Seoul?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No: At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Gwangju at 30% BTTS in home games and Seoul at 80% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Gwangju or Seoul?

Seoul arrive in the better form. Winning 70% of away games in K League 1 this season compared to Gwangju's 30% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Gwangju and Seoul?

Possibly. Seoul regularly see both teams score away (80%), while Gwangju are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Gwangju and Seoul?

Possibly. Seoul regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Gwangju are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Gwangju or Seoul?

Seoul have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Gwangju's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Gwangju and Seoul?

Possibly. Seoul frequently reach high corner counts away (100%), while Gwangju are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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