Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Sunday 19th July, 01:00 BST

Independiente del Valle vs Emelec Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Independiente del Valle Home 7W 1D 2L last 10 home
VS
Emelec Away 2W 3D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Independiente del Valle 64% Draw 23% Emelec 14%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Independiente del Valle vs Emelec Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Independiente del Valle see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Emelec in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
64% Independiente del Valle win 23% Draw 14% Emelec win 44% BTTS 47% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
75% Under 3.5 Goals 71% Over 1.5 Goals

Independiente del Valle average 2.1 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. Emelec average 0.4 scored and 1.3 conceded in away fixtures. Independiente del Valle have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Emelec side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Independiente del Valle have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Emelec in 10% away (1/10). Independiente del Valle average 2.1 scored and 1 conceded at home, Emelec 0.4 and 1.3 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Independiente del Valle at 50% in home games (5/10), Emelec at 20% away (2/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Independiente del Valle regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Emelec are lower on the road (20%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

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League Table

Where Independiente del Valle and Emelec sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle H 17 13 1 3 36:18 +18 40
8 Emelec A 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 22
View the full Liga Pro 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle H 17 13 1 3 36:18 +18 40
2 LDU Quito 16 8 3 5 19:13 +6 27
3 Deportivo Cuenca 16 8 3 5 18:17 +1 27
4 Universidad Católica 16 7 5 4 26:14 +12 26
5 Barcelona Guayaquil 16 7 5 4 18:13 +5 26
6 Aucas 16 7 5 4 19:16 +3 26
7 Orense 16 6 4 6 21:22 -1 22
8 Emelec A 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 22
9 Técnico Universitario 16 6 2 8 17:16 +1 20
10 Macará 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
11 Guayaquil City 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
12 Mushuc Runa 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
13 Leones del Norte 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
14 Libertad 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
15 Delfin 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
16 Manta 17 3 3 11 7:23 -16 12

Team Form

Independiente del Valle have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Emelec's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Independiente del Valle: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Independiente del Valle have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Emelec in 20% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Independiente del Valle: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 44% · BTTS No 56%

Match Goals

Independiente del Valle have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Emelec in 10% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Independiente del Valle: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Independiente del Valle have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Emelec in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Independiente del Valle 2.1 scored · 1 conceded per home game Emelec 0.4 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game
H Independiente del Valle: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Independiente del Valle 21 scored / 10 conceded at home · Emelec 4 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Independiente del Valle regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Emelec are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Independiente del Valle: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Independiente del Valle win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Emelec have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Independiente del Valle: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
9/10 (90%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Independiente del Valle vs Emelec Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Emelec?

Over 8.5 Corners: Independiente del Valle see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Emelec in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Independiente del Valle or Emelec?

Independiente del Valle hold a clear form advantage. They've won 70% of home games in Liga Pro this season, while Emelec have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Independiente del Valle and Emelec?

Mixed. Independiente del Valle have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Emelec in 20% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Independiente del Valle and Emelec?

Uncertain. Independiente del Valle have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Emelec in 10% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Independiente del Valle or Emelec?

Independiente del Valle have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Emelec's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Independiente del Valle and Emelec?

Possibly. Independiente del Valle regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Emelec are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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