3. Liga · Germany 🕒 Saturday 4th October, 13:00 BST

Ingolstadt vs Ulm Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Ingolstadt Home · 17th 3W 2D 5L last 10 home
VS
Ulm Away · 9th 1W 4D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Ingolstadt 43% Draw 24% Ulm 33%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes See why ↓

Ingolstadt vs Ulm Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

High confidence

Ingolstadt see both teams score in 70% of home games, Ulm in 90% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

What the model says
43% Ingolstadt win 24% Draw 33% Ulm win 63% BTTS 61% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
82% Over 1.5 Goals

Ingolstadt sit 17th in the table after 5 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per home match this season. Ulm are 9th after 5 games, averaging 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded on the road. Ingolstadt have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Ulm have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Ingolstadt have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Ulm are lower on the road (60%, 6/10), averaging 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season: Ingolstadt in 70% of home games (7/10), Ulm in 90% away (9/10). Ingolstadt have scored in 70% of home fixtures; Ulm in 100% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Ingolstadt see 8+ in 70% of home games, Ulm in 90% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Ingolstadt (17th) and Ulm (9th) sit in the 3. Liga table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
12 Ingolstadt H 38 13 10 15 65:56 +9 49
19 Ulm A 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
View the full 3. Liga 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Osnabrück 38 24 8 6 66:34 +32 80
2 Energie Cottbus 38 21 9 8 72:51 +21 72
3 Rot-Weiss Essen 38 20 10 8 78:66 +12 70
4 MSV Duisburg 38 19 11 8 66:49 +17 68
5 Hansa Rostock 38 18 13 7 74:49 +25 67
6 Verl 38 18 10 10 82:48 +34 64
7 Alemannia Aachen 38 19 7 12 76:57 +19 64
8 1860 München 38 15 11 12 54:53 +1 56
9 Wehen Wiesbaden 38 15 8 15 54:52 +2 53
10 Waldhof Mannheim 38 15 7 16 59:72 -13 52
11 Viktoria Köln 38 15 6 17 51:53 -2 51
12 Ingolstadt H 38 13 10 15 65:56 +9 49
13 Jahn Regensburg 38 14 7 17 54:58 -4 49
14 Stuttgart II 38 13 7 18 57:69 -12 46
15 Saarbrücken 38 10 14 14 51:57 -6 44
16 Hoffenheim II 38 12 7 19 65:71 -6 43
17 Havelse 38 9 8 21 57:89 -32 35
18 Erzgebirge Aue 38 7 13 18 51:70 -19 34
19 Ulm A 38 9 6 23 49:78 -29 33
20 Schweinfurt 38 5 6 27 38:87 -49 21

Team Form

Ingolstadt have won 30% of home games this season, Ulm 10% away. The breakdown below gives the full picture heading into this match.

H Ingolstadt: last 10 home A Ulm: last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Ingolstadt have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Ulm in 90% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net. The stats support a goal at each end.

H Ingolstadt: last 10 home A Ulm: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 63% · BTTS No 37%

Match Goals

Ingolstadt frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Ulm are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Ingolstadt: last 10 home A Ulm: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Ingolstadt have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Ulm in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Ingolstadt 1.6 scored · 1.6 conceded per home game Ulm 1.4 scored · 1.9 conceded per away game
H Ingolstadt: last 10 home A Ulm: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Ingolstadt 16 scored / 16 conceded at home · Ulm 14 scored / 19 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Ingolstadt (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Ulm (90% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Ingolstadt: last 10 home A Ulm: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Ingolstadt have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Ulm have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Ingolstadt: last 10 home A Ulm: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Ingolstadt and Ulm. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27th Jul, 2024
Ingolstadt
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Ulm
Corners 1–2 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Feb, 2024
Ulm
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Ingolstadt
Corners 1–7 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Sep, 2023
Ingolstadt
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Ulm
Corners 1–3 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Jul, 2022
Ingolstadt
2 – 2 HT: 0-0
Ulm
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Ingolstadt vs Ulm across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Ingolstadt 2.52 Model: 43%
Draw 3.95 Model: 24%
Ulm 2.76 Model: 33%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.55 Model: 63%
No 2.6 Model: 37%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.19 Model: 82%
Over 2.5 1.53 Model: 61%
Over 3.5 2.5 Model: 38%
Under 1.5 5.6 Model: 18%
Under 2.5 2.68 Model: 39%
Under 3.5 1.65 Model: 62%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.24
Over 1.5 2.31

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.14 Model: 62%
Over 9.5 1.35 Model: 51%
Over 10.5 1.98 Model: 40%
Over 11.5 2.1 Model: 31%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Ingolstadt 2.98 Model: 35%
Draw 2.49 Model: 36%
Ulm 3.16 Model: 28%

Double Chance

Ingolstadt or Draw 1.51 Model: 67%
Ingolstadt or Ulm 1.28 Model: 76%
Draw or Ulm 1.55 Model: 57%

Ingolstadt Goals

Over 0.5 1.12 Model: 78%
Over 1.5 1.98 Model: 48%

Ulm Goals

Over 0.5 1.19 Model: 71%
Over 1.5 2.06 Model: 39%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • GIF Sundsvall vs Öster 18:00 BST | Superettan, Sweden GIF Sundsvall have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Öster have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
    90% combined
  • Ranheim II vs Kvik Trondheim 18:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 2, Norway Ranheim II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Kvik Trondheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Staal Jørpeland vs Odd II 17:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 4, Norway Staal Jørpeland have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Odd II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    80% combined
  • Vänersborgs IF vs Herrestads 18:30 BST | Division 2: Norra Gotaland, Sweden Vänersborgs IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Herrestads have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    80% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.72
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Ingolstadt vs Ulm Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Ingolstadt vs Ulm?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes: Ingolstadt see both teams score in 70% of home games, Ulm in 90% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, Ingolstadt or Ulm?

Ingolstadt have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Ulm on the road (10% wins) in 3. Liga. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Ingolstadt and Ulm?

Yes. Both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Ingolstadt have seen BTTS in 70% of home games, Ulm in 90% of away games in 3. Liga. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Ingolstadt and Ulm?

Possibly. Ingolstadt frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Ulm are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Ingolstadt or Ulm?

Ingolstadt have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Ulm's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Ingolstadt and Ulm?

Ingolstadt have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Ulm in 60% of away games in 3. Liga. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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