Premier League · Azerbaijan 🕒 Friday 30th January, 10:30 GMT

Karvan vs Sumqayıt Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Karvan Home · 12th 2W 1D 7L last 10 home
VS
Sumqayıt Away · 6th 2W 1D 7L last 10 away
Win Probability
Karvan 20% Draw 25% Sumqayıt 55%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Karvan vs Sumqayıt Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Karvan have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Sumqayıt in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
20% Karvan win 25% Draw 55% Sumqayıt win 49% BTTS 48% Over 2.5 Goals 0-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
72% Over 1.5 Goals

Karvan sit 12th in the table after 16 games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per home match this season. Sumqayıt are 6th after 15 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 1.6 conceded on the road. The form figures are level. Karvan have won 20% of home games, Sumqayıt 20% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals: Karvan in 80% of home games, Sumqayıt in 90% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Karvan at 40% in home games (4/10), Sumqayıt at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Karvan see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Sumqayıt in 50% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Karvan (12th) and Sumqayıt (6th) sit in the Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
7 Sumqayıt A 33 11 5 17 42:50 -8 38
12 Karvan H 33 3 6 24 23:66 -43 15
View the full Premier League 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Sabah 33 24 6 3 75:25 +50 78
2 Qarabağ 33 21 6 6 71:27 +44 69
3 Neftçi 33 16 11 6 57:32 +25 59
4 Turan Tovuz 33 17 8 8 44:27 +17 59
5 Zira 33 13 14 6 43:36 +7 53
6 Araz 33 13 7 13 44:58 -14 46
7 Sumqayıt A 33 11 5 17 42:50 -8 38
8 Şamaxı FK 33 9 11 13 31:40 -9 38
9 İmişli FK 33 8 13 12 24:40 -16 37
10 Qabala 33 7 6 20 32:49 -17 27
11 Kapaz 33 8 3 22 25:61 -36 27
12 Karvan H 33 3 6 24 23:66 -43 15

Team Form

Karvan (20% home wins) and Sumqayıt (20% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Karvan: last 10 home A Sumqayıt: last 10 away
Won
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Karvan have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Sumqayıt in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Karvan: last 10 home A Sumqayıt: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 49% · BTTS No 51%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Karvan 80% at home, Sumqayıt 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H Karvan: last 10 home A Sumqayıt: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Karvan have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Sumqayıt in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Karvan 0.8 scored · 1.7 conceded per home game Sumqayıt 0.9 scored · 1.6 conceded per away game
H Karvan: last 10 home A Sumqayıt: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Karvan 8 scored / 17 conceded at home · Sumqayıt 9 scored / 16 conceded away

Match Corners

Sumqayıt frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Karvan are lower at home (20%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Karvan: last 10 home A Sumqayıt: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Karvan have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Sumqayıt have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Karvan: last 10 home A Sumqayıt: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Karvan and Sumqayıt. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

18 Oct 2025
Sumqayıt
4 – 1 HT: 1-1
Karvan
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Dec 2023
Sumqayıt
3 – 1 HT: 0-0
Karvan
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Mar 2011
Karvan
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Sumqayıt
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Oct 2010
Sumqayıt
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Karvan
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
26 Apr 2008
Sumqayıt
3 – 1 HT: 0-0
Karvan
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Sep 2007
Karvan
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Sumqayıt
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 May 2007
Sumqayıt
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Karvan
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Sep 2006
Karvan
3 – 2 HT: 0-0
Sumqayıt
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Apr 2006
Karvan
3 – 1 HT: 0-0
Sumqayıt
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Nov 2005
Sumqayıt
0 – 3 HT: 0-0
Karvan
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Karvan vs Sumqayıt across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Karvan 5.9 Model: 20%
Draw 3.8 Model: 25%
Sumqayıt 1.71 Model: 55%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.05 Model: 49%
No 1.83 Model: 51%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.39 Model: 72%
Value Over 2.5 2.32 Model: 48%
Over 3.5 4.5 Model: 24%
Under 1.5 3.15 Model: 28%
Under 2.5 1.73 Model: 52%
Under 3.5 1.16 Model: 76%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.48 Model: 77%
Over 1.5 3.2

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.66 Model: 37%
Over 9.5 2.12 Model: 27%
Over 10.5 3.74 Model: 18%
Over 11.5 4.13 Model: 12%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Karvan 5.5 Model: 18%
Draw 2.1 Model: 45%
Sumqayıt 2.25 Model: 37%

Double Chance

Karvan or Draw 1.85 Model: 45%
Karvan or Sumqayıt 1.33 Model: 75%
Draw or Sumqayıt 1.2 Model: 80%

Karvan Goals

Over 0.5 1.62 Model: 55%
Over 1.5 4.15 Model: 20%

Sumqayıt Goals

Over 0.5 1.22 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 2.14 Model: 48%

Karvan vs Sumqayıt Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Karvan vs Sumqayıt?

Under 3.5 Goals: Karvan have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Sumqayıt in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Karvan or Sumqayıt?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. Karvan have won 20% of home games, Sumqayıt 20% away in Premier League. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Karvan and Sumqayıt?

Mixed. Karvan have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Sumqayıt in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Karvan and Sumqayıt?

Uncertain. Karvan have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Sumqayıt in 50% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Karvan or Sumqayıt?

Karvan have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Sumqayıt's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Karvan and Sumqayıt?

Possibly. Sumqayıt frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Karvan are lower at home (20%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

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"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

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