Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Wednesday 1st July, 01:00 BST

Libertad vs Leones del Norte Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Libertad Home 4W 3D 3L last 10 home

VS

Leones del Norte Away 2W 3D 5L last 10 away

Win Probability

Libertad 37% Draw 29% Leones del Norte 34%

⭐ Our Prediction No Standout Pick See why ↓

Libertad vs Leones del Norte Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

No Standout Pick

Low confidence

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

What the model says

37% Libertad win 29% Draw 34% Leones del Norte win 47% BTTS 40% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score

Also worth a look

80% Under 3.5 Goals 66% Over 1.5 Goals

Libertad average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Leones del Norte average 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded in away fixtures. Libertad have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Leones del Norte have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Libertad have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Leones del Norte in 50% away (5/10). Libertad average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, Leones del Norte 0.8 and 1.4 on the road.

Libertad frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Leones del Norte are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Libertad see 8+ in 70% of home games, Leones del Norte in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

League Table

Where Libertad and Leones del Norte sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
13	Leones del Norte A	16	4	5	7	15:18	-3	17
14	Libertad H	16	4	5	7	16:22	-6	17

View the full Liga Pro 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	16	12	1	3	32:18	+14	37
2	Deportivo Cuenca	16	8	3	5	18:17	+1	27
3	Universidad Católica	16	7	5	4	26:14	+12	26
4	Barcelona Guayaquil	16	7	5	4	18:13	+5	26
5	Aucas	16	7	5	4	19:16	+3	26
6	LDU Quito	15	7	3	5	16:13	+3	24
7	Orense	15	6	4	5	21:19	+2	22
8	Emelec	16	6	4	6	13:16	-3	22
9	Técnico Universitario	16	6	2	8	17:16	+1	20
10	Macará	16	5	5	6	15:18	-3	20
11	Guayaquil City	16	5	4	7	14:19	-5	19
12	Mushuc Runa	16	4	6	6	19:21	-2	18
13	Leones del Norte A	16	4	5	7	15:18	-3	17
14	Libertad H	16	4	5	7	16:22	-6	17
15	Delfin	16	4	4	8	8:15	-7	16
16	Manta	16	3	3	10	7:19	-12	12

Team Form

Leones del Norte have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Libertad have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Libertad: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away

Won

H

4/10 (40%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Drawn

H

3/10 (30%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Lost

H

3/10 (30%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Libertad frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Leones del Norte are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Libertad: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

6/10 (60%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Scored Themselves

H

7/10 (70%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Conceded

H

8/10 (80%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 47% · BTTS No 53%

Match Goals

Libertad have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Leones del Norte in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Libertad: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

5/10 (50%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

9/10 (90%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

5/10 (50%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Libertad have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Leones del Norte in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Libertad 1.2 scored · 1.2 conceded per home game Leones del Norte 0.8 scored · 1.4 conceded per away game

H Libertad: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

7/10 (70%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

8/10 (80%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

3/10 (30%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Libertad 12 scored / 12 conceded at home · Leones del Norte 8 scored / 14 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Libertad (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Leones del Norte (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Libertad: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

7/10 (70%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Libertad have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Leones del Norte have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H Libertad: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

1/10 (10%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

5/10 (50%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

5/10 (50%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Libertad vs Leones del Norte Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Libertad vs Leones del Norte?

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Libertad or Leones del Norte?

Libertad have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Leones del Norte on the road (20% wins) in Liga Pro. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Libertad and Leones del Norte?

Mixed. Libertad have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Leones del Norte in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Libertad and Leones del Norte?

Uncertain. Libertad have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Leones del Norte in 50% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Libertad or Leones del Norte?

Leones del Norte have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Libertad's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Libertad and Leones del Norte?

Libertad have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Leones del Norte in 60% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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