USL Championship · United States 🕒 Sunday 5th July, 03:30 BST

Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Las Vegas Lights Home 3W 5D 2L last 10 home

VS

El Paso Locomotive Away 4W 2D 4L last 10 away

Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights 34% Draw 28% El Paso Locomotive 38%

⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Las Vegas Lights see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, El Paso Locomotive in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says

34% Las Vegas Lights win 28% Draw 38% El Paso Locomotive win 54% BTTS 49% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score

Also worth a look

74% Under 3.5 Goals

Las Vegas Lights average 1.1 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. El Paso Locomotive average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded in away fixtures. Las Vegas Lights have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; El Paso Locomotive have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

El Paso Locomotive have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their away fixtures (8/10). Las Vegas Lights are lower at home (30%, 3/10), averaging 1.1 scored and 1 conceded.

El Paso Locomotive regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Las Vegas Lights are lower at home (50%, 5/10). They've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Las Vegas Lights see 9+ corners in 10% of home games, El Paso Locomotive in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

League Table

Where Las Vegas Lights and El Paso Locomotive sit in the USL Championship table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
17	El Paso Locomotive A	13	4	4	5	23:23	0	16
20	Las Vegas Lights H	13	4	3	6	20:23	-3	15

View the full USL Championship 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	14	9	4	1	23:8	+15	31
2	Charleston Battery	13	7	2	4	26:18	+8	23
3	Orange County	13	6	5	2	18:13	+5	23
4	Detroit City	13	6	3	4	19:13	+6	21
5	Oakland Roots	14	5	6	3	23:20	+3	21
6	Louisville City	14	6	3	5	24:22	+2	21
7	San Antonio	13	5	6	2	18:16	+2	21
8	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	12	6	2	4	15:13	+2	20
9	Tulsa Roughnecks	13	5	4	4	17:16	+1	19
10	Indy Eleven	11	5	3	3	16:12	+4	18
11	New Mexico United	12	5	3	4	13:13	0	18
12	Hartford Athletic	12	4	6	2	10:10	0	18
13	Phoenix Rising	14	4	5	5	19:19	0	17
14	Miami FC II	13	4	5	4	15:19	-4	17
15	Colorado Springs	12	4	4	4	20:19	+1	16
16	Sacramento Republic	12	4	4	4	13:12	+1	16
17	El Paso Locomotive A	13	4	4	5	23:23	0	16
18	Rhode Island	11	4	3	4	21:15	+6	15
19	Lexington	12	4	3	5	17:15	+2	15
20	Las Vegas Lights H	13	4	3	6	20:23	-3	15
21	Monterey Bay	14	4	2	8	14:22	-8	14
22	Birmingham Legion	13	2	7	4	14:16	-2	13
23	Loudoun United	12	1	7	4	14:22	-8	10
24	Brooklyn FC	13	2	3	8	13:24	-11	9
25	Sporting JAX	14	0	3	11	17:39	-22	3

Team Form

El Paso Locomotive have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Las Vegas Lights have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Las Vegas Lights: last 10 home A El Paso Locomotive: last 10 away

Won

H

3/10 (30%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Drawn

H

5/10 (50%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Lost

H

2/10 (20%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

El Paso Locomotive regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Las Vegas Lights are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Las Vegas Lights: last 10 home A El Paso Locomotive: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

5/10 (50%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Scored Themselves

H

7/10 (70%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Conceded

H

6/10 (60%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 54% · BTTS No 46%

Match Goals

El Paso Locomotive regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Las Vegas Lights are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Las Vegas Lights: last 10 home A El Paso Locomotive: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

8/10 (80%)

A

10/10 (100%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

8/10 (80%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Las Vegas Lights have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, El Paso Locomotive in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Las Vegas Lights 1.1 scored · 1 conceded per home game El Paso Locomotive 1.8 scored · 1.4 conceded per away game

H Las Vegas Lights: last 10 home A El Paso Locomotive: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

7/10 (70%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

6/10 (60%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

3/10 (30%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Las Vegas Lights 11 scored / 10 conceded at home · El Paso Locomotive 18 scored / 14 conceded away

Match Corners

Las Vegas Lights have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, El Paso Locomotive in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Las Vegas Lights: last 10 home A El Paso Locomotive: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

1/10 (10%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

5/10 (50%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Las Vegas Lights have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

El Paso Locomotive have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Las Vegas Lights: last 10 home A El Paso Locomotive: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

3/10 (30%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

3/10 (30%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

4/10 (40%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

2/10 (20%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?

Over 1.5 Goals: Las Vegas Lights see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, El Paso Locomotive in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Las Vegas Lights or El Paso Locomotive?

El Paso Locomotive hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Las Vegas Lights at home (30% wins) in USL Championship. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Las Vegas Lights and El Paso Locomotive?

Possibly. El Paso Locomotive regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Las Vegas Lights are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Las Vegas Lights and El Paso Locomotive?

Possibly. El Paso Locomotive regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Las Vegas Lights are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Las Vegas Lights or El Paso Locomotive?

El Paso Locomotive have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Las Vegas Lights's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Las Vegas Lights and El Paso Locomotive?

Las Vegas Lights have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, El Paso Locomotive in 40% of away games in USL Championship. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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