Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Sunday 19th July, 01:00 BST

LDU Quito vs Leones del Norte Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

LDU Quito Home 7W 2D 1L last 10 home
VS
Leones del Norte Away 2W 3D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
LDU Quito 70% Draw 20% Leones del Norte 10%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

LDU Quito vs Leones del Norte Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

LDU Quito have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Leones del Norte in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
70% LDU Quito win 20% Draw 10% Leones del Norte win 42% BTTS 48% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
73% Over 1.5 Goals

LDU Quito average 1.5 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Leones del Norte average 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded in away fixtures. LDU Quito have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Leones del Norte side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

LDU Quito have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games this season (3/10); Leones del Norte in 50% away (5/10). LDU Quito average 1.5 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, Leones del Norte 0.8 and 1.4 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: LDU Quito at 30% in home games (3/10), Leones del Norte at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. LDU Quito see 8+ in 80% of home games, Leones del Norte in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

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League Table

Where LDU Quito and Leones del Norte sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
2 LDU Quito H 16 8 3 5 19:13 +6 27
13 Leones del Norte A 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
View the full Liga Pro 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 17 13 1 3 36:18 +18 40
2 LDU Quito H 16 8 3 5 19:13 +6 27
3 Deportivo Cuenca 16 8 3 5 18:17 +1 27
4 Universidad Católica 16 7 5 4 26:14 +12 26
5 Barcelona Guayaquil 16 7 5 4 18:13 +5 26
6 Aucas 16 7 5 4 19:16 +3 26
7 Orense 16 6 4 6 21:22 -1 22
8 Emelec 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 22
9 Técnico Universitario 16 6 2 8 17:16 +1 20
10 Macará 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
11 Guayaquil City 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
12 Mushuc Runa 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
13 Leones del Norte A 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
14 Libertad 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
15 Delfin 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
16 Manta 17 3 3 11 7:23 -16 12

Team Form

LDU Quito have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Leones del Norte's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

LDU Quito have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Leones del Norte in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 42% · BTTS No 58%

Match Goals

LDU Quito have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Leones del Norte in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

LDU Quito have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Leones del Norte in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

LDU Quito 1.5 scored · 0.6 conceded per home game Leones del Norte 0.8 scored · 1.4 conceded per away game
H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: LDU Quito 15 scored / 6 conceded at home · Leones del Norte 8 scored / 14 conceded away

Match Corners

Both LDU Quito (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Leones del Norte (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

LDU Quito have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Leones del Norte have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Leones del Norte: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

LDU Quito vs Leones del Norte Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for LDU Quito vs Leones del Norte?

Under 3.5 Goals: LDU Quito have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Leones del Norte in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, LDU Quito or Leones del Norte?

LDU Quito hold a clear form advantage. They've won 70% of home games in Liga Pro this season, while Leones del Norte have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between LDU Quito and Leones del Norte?

Mixed. LDU Quito have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Leones del Norte in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between LDU Quito and Leones del Norte?

Uncertain. LDU Quito have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Leones del Norte in 50% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: LDU Quito or Leones del Norte?

LDU Quito have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Leones del Norte's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between LDU Quito and Leones del Norte?

LDU Quito have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Leones del Norte in 60% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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