Ekstraklasa · Poland 🕒 Sunday 1st February, 16:30 GMT

Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Legia Warszawa Home · 17th 6W 2D 2L last 10 home
VS
Korona Kielce Away · 9th 3W 2D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Legia Warszawa 41% Draw 27% Korona Kielce 32%
⭐ Our Prediction No Standout Pick See why ↓

Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

No Standout Pick

Low confidence

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

What the model says
41% Legia Warszawa win 27% Draw 32% Korona Kielce win 56% BTTS 53% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
76% Over 1.5 Goals 71% Under 3.5 Goals

Legia Warszawa sit 17th in the table after 18 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Korona Kielce are 9th after 18 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded on the road. Legia Warszawa have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Korona Kielce side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Legia Warszawa have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Korona Kielce in 40% away. Legia Warszawa average 1.6 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Korona Kielce 1.2 and 1.5 on the road. The numbers point toward a tight game.

Korona Kielce regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Legia Warszawa are lower at home (50%, 5/10). They've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Legia Warszawa see 8+ in 70% of home games, Korona Kielce in 90% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Legia Warszawa (17th) and Korona Kielce (9th) sit in the Ekstraklasa table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
6 Legia Warszawa H 34 12 13 9 42:37 +5 49
11 Korona Kielce A 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
View the full Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Lech Poznań 34 16 12 6 62:45 +17 60
2 Jagiellonia Białystok 34 15 11 8 56:41 +15 56
3 Górnik Zabrze 34 16 8 10 50:38 +12 56
4 Raków Częstochowa 34 16 7 11 51:40 +11 55
5 Katowice 34 14 8 12 51:45 +6 50
6 Legia Warszawa H 34 12 13 9 42:37 +5 49
7 Zagłębie Lubin 34 13 9 12 45:38 +7 48
8 Wisła Płock 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
9 Pogoń Szczecin 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
10 Radomiak Radom 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
11 Korona Kielce A 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
12 Lechia Gdańsk 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 43
13 Motor Lublin 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
14 Widzew Lodz 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
15 Cracovia Kraków 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
16 Piast Gliwice 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
17 Arka Gdynia 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
18 Nieciecza 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34

Team Form

Legia Warszawa hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Korona Kielce have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Legia Warszawa: last 10 home A Korona Kielce: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Korona Kielce regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Legia Warszawa are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Legia Warszawa: last 10 home A Korona Kielce: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 56% · BTTS No 44%

Match Goals

Legia Warszawa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Korona Kielce in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Legia Warszawa: last 10 home A Korona Kielce: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Legia Warszawa have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Korona Kielce in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Legia Warszawa 1.6 scored · 0.7 conceded per home game Korona Kielce 1.2 scored · 1.5 conceded per away game
H Legia Warszawa: last 10 home A Korona Kielce: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Legia Warszawa 16 scored / 7 conceded at home · Korona Kielce 12 scored / 15 conceded away

Match Corners

Korona Kielce frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Legia Warszawa are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Legia Warszawa: last 10 home A Korona Kielce: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Legia Warszawa have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Korona Kielce have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Legia Warszawa: last 10 home A Korona Kielce: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Legia Warszawa and Korona Kielce. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27 Jul 2025
Korona Kielce
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Legia Warszawa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Feb 2025
Legia Warszawa
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Korona Kielce
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Jul 2024
Korona Kielce
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Legia Warszawa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Feb 2024
Korona Kielce
3 – 3 HT: 1-2
Legia Warszawa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
06 Dec 2023
Korona Kielce
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Legia Warszawa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Aug 2023
Legia Warszawa
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Korona Kielce
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Jan 2023
Legia Warszawa
3 – 2 HT: 2-0
Korona Kielce
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Jul 2022
Korona Kielce
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Legia Warszawa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Nov 2019
Legia Warszawa
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Korona Kielce
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Jul 2019
Korona Kielce
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Legia Warszawa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Legia Warszawa 1.84 Model: 41%
Draw 3.6 Model: 27%
Value Korona Kielce 4.35 Model: 32%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 1.93 Model: 56%
No 1.84 Model: 44%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.38 Model: 76%
Value Over 2.5 2.05 Model: 53%
Value Over 3.5 3.95 Model: 29%
Under 1.5 3.15 Model: 24%
Under 2.5 1.83 Model: 47%
Under 3.5 1.33 Model: 71%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.37 Model: 79%
Over 1.5 3.01

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.4 Model: 63%
Over 9.5 1.66 Model: 51%
Over 10.5 2.1 Model: 40%
Over 11.5 1.96 Model: 30%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Legia Warszawa 2.53 Model: 31%
Draw 2.27 Model: 45%
Korona Kielce 4.5 Model: 24%

Double Chance

Legia Warszawa or Draw 1.24 Model: 68%
Legia Warszawa or Korona Kielce 1.25 Model: 73%
Value Draw or Korona Kielce 1.98 Model: 59%

Legia Warszawa Goals

Over 0.5 1.18 Model: 74%
Over 1.5 2.01 Model: 42%

Korona Kielce Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.54 Model: 69%
Value Over 1.5 3.54 Model: 35%

Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?

No single market stands out for this fixture. Browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Legia Warszawa or Korona Kielce?

Legia Warszawa hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Ekstraklasa this season, while Korona Kielce have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Legia Warszawa and Korona Kielce?

Mixed. Legia Warszawa have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Korona Kielce in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Ekstraklasa fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Legia Warszawa and Korona Kielce?

Uncertain. Legia Warszawa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Korona Kielce in 40% of away games in Ekstraklasa. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Legia Warszawa or Korona Kielce?

Legia Warszawa have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Korona Kielce's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Legia Warszawa and Korona Kielce?

Possibly. Korona Kielce frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Legia Warszawa are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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