USL Championship · United States 🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:00 BST

Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Louisville City Home 6W 1D 3L last 10 home

VS

Hartford Athletic Away 6W 2D 2L last 10 away

Win Probability

Louisville City 61% Draw 21% Hartford Athletic 18%

⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Louisville City see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Hartford Athletic in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says

61% Louisville City win 21% Draw 18% Hartford Athletic win 52% BTTS 56% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score

Also worth a look

78% Over 1.5 Goals 68% Under 3.5 Goals

Louisville City average 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Hartford Athletic average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded in away fixtures. The form figures are level. Louisville City have won 60% of home games, Hartford Athletic 60% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Louisville City have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Hartford Athletic in 30% away (3/10). Louisville City average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, Hartford Athletic 1.4 and 0.6 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Louisville City at 50% in home games (5/10), Hartford Athletic at 20% away (2/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Louisville City regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Hartford Athletic are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

League Table

Where Louisville City and Hartford Athletic sit in the USL Championship table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
3	Louisville City H	14	6	3	5	24:22	+2	21
12	Hartford Athletic A	11	4	5	2	10:10	0	17

View the full USL Championship 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	13	8	4	1	21:8	+13	28
2	Detroit City	13	6	3	4	19:13	+6	21
3	Louisville City H	14	6	3	5	24:22	+2	21
4	San Antonio	13	5	6	2	18:16	+2	21
5	Charleston Battery	12	6	2	4	21:16	+5	20
6	Orange County	12	5	5	2	15:11	+4	20
7	Tulsa Roughnecks	12	5	4	3	16:14	+2	19
8	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	11	6	1	4	15:13	+2	19
9	Indy Eleven	11	5	3	3	16:12	+4	18
10	Oakland Roots	13	4	6	3	19:17	+2	18
11	Phoenix Rising	13	4	5	4	16:15	+1	17
12	Hartford Athletic A	11	4	5	2	10:10	0	17
13	Miami FC II	13	4	5	4	15:19	-4	17
14	Sacramento Republic	11	4	4	3	13:11	+2	16
15	El Paso Locomotive	12	4	4	4	23:22	+1	16
16	Rhode Island	11	4	3	4	21:15	+6	15
17	Lexington	12	4	3	5	17:15	+2	15
18	New Mexico United	11	4	3	4	12:13	-1	15
19	Las Vegas Lights	12	4	3	5	18:20	-2	15
20	Colorado Springs	11	3	4	4	18:18	0	13
21	Birmingham Legion	12	2	6	4	13:15	-2	12
22	Monterey Bay	13	3	2	8	13:22	-9	11
23	Loudoun United	11	1	6	4	13:21	-8	9
24	Brooklyn FC	12	2	3	7	13:22	-9	9
25	Sporting JAX	13	0	3	10	15:34	-19	3

Team Form

Louisville City (60% home wins) and Hartford Athletic (60% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The stats below suggest this could be a closely contested fixture.

H Louisville City: last 10 home A Hartford Athletic: last 10 away

Won

H

6/10 (60%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Drawn

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Lost

H

3/10 (30%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Louisville City have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Hartford Athletic in 20% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Louisville City: last 10 home A Hartford Athletic: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

5/10 (50%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Scored Themselves

H

7/10 (70%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Conceded

H

8/10 (80%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 52% · BTTS No 48%

Match Goals

Louisville City have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Hartford Athletic in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Louisville City: last 10 home A Hartford Athletic: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

9/10 (90%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

5/10 (50%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

10/10 (100%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

1/10 (10%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

5/10 (50%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Louisville City have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Hartford Athletic in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Louisville City 1.8 scored · 1.3 conceded per home game Hartford Athletic 1.4 scored · 0.6 conceded per away game

H Louisville City: last 10 home A Hartford Athletic: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

5/10 (50%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

7/10 (70%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

6/10 (60%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

3/10 (30%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

8/10 (80%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

5/10 (50%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Louisville City 18 scored / 13 conceded at home · Hartford Athletic 14 scored / 6 conceded away

Match Corners

Louisville City regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Hartford Athletic are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Louisville City: last 10 home A Hartford Athletic: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

9/10 (90%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

8/10 (80%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

10/10 (100%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

7/10 (70%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

7/10 (70%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Louisville City win 7+ corners in 80% of home games, regularly creating set-piece pressure from wide areas, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Hartford Athletic have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Louisville City: last 10 home A Hartford Athletic: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

9/10 (90%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

1/10 (10%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

9/10 (90%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

9/10 (90%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

9/10 (90%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

8/10 (80%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

7/10 (70%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

2/10 (20%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic?

Over 8.5 Corners: Louisville City see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Hartford Athletic in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Louisville City or Hartford Athletic?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form. Louisville City have won 60% of home games, Hartford Athletic 60% away in USL Championship. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Louisville City and Hartford Athletic?

Mixed. Louisville City have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Hartford Athletic in 20% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this USL Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Louisville City and Hartford Athletic?

Uncertain. Louisville City have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Hartford Athletic in 30% of away games in USL Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Louisville City or Hartford Athletic?

Louisville City have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Hartford Athletic's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Louisville City and Hartford Athletic?

Possibly. Louisville City regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Hartford Athletic are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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