Tercera - Group 7 · Spain 🕒 Saturday 31st January, 16:00 GMT

México vs Atletico Madrid III Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

México Home · 9th 3W 1D 6L last 10 home
VS
Atletico Madrid III Away · 4th 5W 3D 2L last 10 away
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No See why ↓

México vs Atletico Madrid III Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Medium confidence

At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with México at 30% BTTS in home games and Atletico Madrid III at 90% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

México sit 9th in the table, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per home match this season. Atletico Madrid III are 4th, averaging 2.5 scored and 1.6 conceded on the road. México have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Atletico Madrid III have won 5/10 on the road (50%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Atletico Madrid III have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). México are lower at home (50%, 5/10), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Atletico Madrid III regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (90%, 9/10). México are lower at home (30%, 3/10) — they've conceded in 80% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — México see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, Atletico Madrid III in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where México (9th) and Atletico Madrid III (4th) sit in the Tercera - Group 7 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Atletico Madrid III A 33 17 10 6 78:45 +33 61
12 México H 33 12 8 13 42:46 -4 44
View the full Tercera - Group 7 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Atletico Madrid III A 33 17 10 6 78:45 +33 61
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 +14 60
3 Torrejón 33 17 8 8 54:43 +11 59
4 Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 +16 56
5 Leganés II 34 15 9 10 63:33 +30 54
6 Unión Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 +6 53
7 Móstoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 +6 51
8 SS Reyes II 33 12 13 8 44:30 +14 49
9 Pozuelo Alarcón 34 12 12 10 40:33 +7 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 -5 46
11 Alcorcón II 34 11 11 12 37:34 +3 44
12 México H 33 12 8 13 42:46 -4 44
13 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 -6 44
14 Villaverde-Boetticher 34 10 13 11 32:44 -12 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 -6 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 -25 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 -37 27
18 Racing Madrid City 34 5 7 22 31:76 -45 22

Team Form

México have lost 60% of their home matches this season, while Atletico Madrid III have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

H México — last 10 home A Atletico Madrid III — last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atletico Madrid III regularly see both teams score in away matches (90%), while México are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H México — last 10 home A Atletico Madrid III — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Scored Themselves
H
5/10 (50%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Match Goals

Atletico Madrid III regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while México are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H México — last 10 home A Atletico Madrid III — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Team Goals

México have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Atletico Madrid III in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

México 0.7 scored · 1.7 conceded per home game Atletico Madrid III 2.5 scored · 1.6 conceded per away game
H México — last 10 home A Atletico Madrid III — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: México 7 scored / 17 conceded at home · Atletico Madrid III 25 scored / 16 conceded away

Match Corners

México have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Atletico Madrid III in 20% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H México — last 10 home A Atletico Madrid III — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

México have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atletico Madrid III have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

H México — last 10 home A Atletico Madrid III — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between México and Atletico Madrid III. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Sep 2025
Atletico Madrid III
3 – 2 HT: 0-0
México
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Mar 2015
Atletico Madrid III
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Alcobendas Sport
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Oct 2014
Alcobendas Sport
6 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atletico Madrid III
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 May 2014
Atletico Madrid III
4 – 1 HT: 0-0
Alcobendas Sport
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
05 Jan 2014
Alcobendas Sport
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atletico Madrid III
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Apr 2013
Atletico Madrid III
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Alcobendas Sport
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Dec 2012
Alcobendas Sport
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atletico Madrid III
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 May 2012
Atletico Madrid III
2 – 2 HT: 0-0
Alcobendas Sport
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Dec 2011
Alcobendas Sport
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atletico Madrid III
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Feb 2011
Alcobendas Sport
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atletico Madrid III
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for México vs Atletico Madrid III across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

México 3.4
Draw 3
Atletico Madrid III 1.9

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.26
Over 2.5 1.94
Over 3.5 2.85
Under 1.5 3.7
Under 2.5 1.64
Under 3.5 1.4

1st Half Goals

Over 1.5 2.6
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

México 3.75
Draw 2.2
Atletico Madrid III 2.5

Double Chance

México or Draw 1.72
México or Atletico Madrid III 1.25
Draw or Atletico Madrid III 1.25

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II 21:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Chicago Fire II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Inter Miami II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.91
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México vs Atletico Madrid III Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for México vs Atletico Madrid III?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No — At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with México at 30% BTTS in home games and Atletico Madrid III at 90% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, México or Atletico Madrid III?

Atletico Madrid III hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over México at home (30% wins) in Tercera - Group 7. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between México and Atletico Madrid III?

Possibly — Atletico Madrid III regularly see both teams score away (90%), while México are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between México and Atletico Madrid III?

Possibly — Atletico Madrid III regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while México are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: México or Atletico Madrid III?

Atletico Madrid III have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to México's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between México and Atletico Madrid III?

México have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Atletico Madrid III in 20% of away games in Tercera - Group 7. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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