USL League One · United States 🕒 Thursday 9th July, 00:00 BST

Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Greenville Triumph Home 5W 1D 4L last 10 home

VS

Sarasota Paradise Away 3W 0D 7L last 10 away

Win Probability

Greenville Triumph 48% Draw 26% Sarasota Paradise 26%

⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Greenville Triumph see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Sarasota Paradise in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says

48% Greenville Triumph win 26% Draw 26% Sarasota Paradise win 54% BTTS 51% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score

Also worth a look

72% Under 3.5 Goals

Greenville Triumph average 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per home match this season. Sarasota Paradise average 2.3 scored and 1.8 conceded in away fixtures. Greenville Triumph have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Sarasota Paradise have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Greenville Triumph have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). Sarasota Paradise are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home.

Greenville Triumph frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Sarasota Paradise are lower on the road (30%, 3/10). They've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Greenville Triumph see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Sarasota Paradise in 0% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

League Table

Where Greenville Triumph and Sarasota Paradise sit in the USL League One table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
11	Sarasota Paradise A	16	5	1	10	17:28	-11	16
16	Greenville Triumph H	11	3	1	7	11:21	-10	10

View the full USL League One 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Union Omaha	15	9	1	5	22:17	+5	28
2	One Knoxville	13	8	3	2	24:11	+13	27
3	Charlotte Independence	12	8	2	2	31:16	+15	26
4	Alta	13	6	5	2	21:14	+7	23
5	Fort Wayne	13	5	6	2	17:12	+5	21
6	Athletic Club Boise	14	6	3	5	21:21	0	21
7	Forward Madison	12	6	2	4	21:14	+7	20
8	Spokane Velocity	12	6	2	4	15:16	-1	20
9	Naples	15	5	2	8	16:23	-7	17
10	Chattanooga Red Wolves	10	5	1	4	19:13	+6	16
11	Sarasota Paradise A	16	5	1	10	17:28	-11	16
12	Westchester SC	12	4	2	6	22:18	+4	14
13	Portland Hearts of Pine	13	3	5	5	16:21	-5	14
14	Corpus Christi	13	3	5	5	17:23	-6	14
15	Richmond Kickers	12	3	2	7	11:19	-8	11
16	Greenville Triumph H	11	3	1	7	11:21	-10	10
17	NY Cosmos	12	2	1	9	16:30	-14	7
18	Tormenta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Team Form

Sarasota Paradise have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Greenville Triumph have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Greenville Triumph: last 10 home A Sarasota Paradise: last 10 away

Won

H

5/10 (50%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Drawn

H

1/10 (10%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Lost

H

4/10 (40%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Greenville Triumph frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Sarasota Paradise are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Greenville Triumph: last 10 home A Sarasota Paradise: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

6/10 (60%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Scored Themselves

H

8/10 (80%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Conceded

H

7/10 (70%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 54% · BTTS No 46%

Match Goals

Greenville Triumph frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Sarasota Paradise are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Greenville Triumph: last 10 home A Sarasota Paradise: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

8/10 (80%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

8/10 (80%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

9/10 (90%)

A

10/10 (100%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

1/10 (10%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Greenville Triumph have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Sarasota Paradise in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Greenville Triumph 1.7 scored · 1.6 conceded per home game Sarasota Paradise 2.3 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game

H Greenville Triumph: last 10 home A Sarasota Paradise: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

8/10 (80%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

7/10 (70%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

6/10 (60%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

2/10 (20%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Season totals: Greenville Triumph 17 scored / 16 conceded at home · Sarasota Paradise 23 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Greenville Triumph have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Sarasota Paradise in 20% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Greenville Triumph: last 10 home A Sarasota Paradise: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

5/10 (50%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

7/10 (70%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Greenville Triumph have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Sarasota Paradise have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Greenville Triumph: last 10 home A Sarasota Paradise: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

3/10 (30%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

1/10 (10%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

5/10 (50%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

4/10 (40%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

3/10 (30%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

2/10 (20%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Greenville Triumph vs Sarasota Paradise?

Over 1.5 Goals: Greenville Triumph see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Sarasota Paradise in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Greenville Triumph or Sarasota Paradise?

Greenville Triumph have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Sarasota Paradise on the road (30% wins) in USL League One. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Greenville Triumph and Sarasota Paradise?

Mixed. Greenville Triumph have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Sarasota Paradise in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this USL League One fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Greenville Triumph and Sarasota Paradise?

Possibly. Greenville Triumph frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Sarasota Paradise are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Greenville Triumph or Sarasota Paradise?

Greenville Triumph have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Sarasota Paradise's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Greenville Triumph and Sarasota Paradise?

Greenville Triumph have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Sarasota Paradise in 20% of away games in USL League One. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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