Primera Division · Peru 🕒 Friday 30th January, 00:00 GMT

Melgar vs Cienciano Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Melgar Home · 13th 7W 1D 2L last 10 home
VS
Cienciano Away · 6th 3W 3D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Melgar 64% Draw 21% Cienciano 15%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 2.5 Goals See why ↓

Melgar vs Cienciano Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

High confidence

Melgar have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Cienciano in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

What the model says
64% Melgar win 21% Draw 15% Cienciano win 50% BTTS 54% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
77% Over 1.5 Goals 69% Under 3.5 Goals

Melgar sit 13th in the table, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Cienciano are 6th, averaging 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. Melgar have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Cienciano side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Cienciano have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Melgar are lower at home (60%, 6/10), averaging 2.1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Cienciano regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Melgar are lower at home (50%, 5/10) — they've conceded in 50% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Melgar see 8+ in 80% of home games, Cienciano in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Melgar (13th) and Cienciano (6th) sit in the Primera Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Cienciano A 17 10 3 4 34:22 +12 33
5 Melgar H 17 8 4 5 29:20 +9 28
View the full Primera Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 +22 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 +4 34
3 Cienciano A 17 10 3 4 34:22 +12 33
4 Universitario 17 8 5 4 24:15 +9 29
5 Melgar H 17 8 4 5 29:20 +9 28
6 Cusco FC 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21:18 +3 26
8 Alianza Atlético 17 5 6 6 20:18 +2 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
10 ADT 17 5 5 7 22:21 +1 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
13 UTC Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
14 UCV Moquegua 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
16 Atlético Grau 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
18 ADC Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16

Team Form

Melgar have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Cienciano's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Melgar — last 10 home A Cienciano — last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cienciano regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Melgar are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Melgar — last 10 home A Cienciano — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Scored Themselves
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 50% · BTTS No 50%

Match Goals

Cienciano regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Melgar are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Melgar — last 10 home A Cienciano — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Melgar have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Cienciano in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Melgar 2.1 scored · 0.8 conceded per home game Cienciano 1.3 scored · 1.7 conceded per away game
H Melgar — last 10 home A Cienciano — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Melgar 21 scored / 8 conceded at home · Cienciano 13 scored / 17 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Melgar (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Cienciano (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Melgar — last 10 home A Cienciano — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Melgar have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Cienciano have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Melgar — last 10 home A Cienciano — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Melgar and Cienciano. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

03 Oct 2025
Melgar
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Cienciano
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 May 2025
Cienciano
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Melgar
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Aug 2024
Cienciano
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Melgar
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Mar 2024
Melgar
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Cienciano
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
10 Sep 2023
Cienciano
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Melgar
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Apr 2023
Melgar
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cienciano
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Sep 2022
Cienciano
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Melgar
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Apr 2022
Melgar
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Cienciano
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Mar 2022
Melgar
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cienciano
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Mar 2022
Cienciano
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Melgar
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Melgar vs Cienciano across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Melgar 1.79 Model: 64%
Draw 3.67 Model: 21%
Cienciano 4.28 Model: 15%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.84 Model: 50%
No 1.97 Model: 50%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.31 Model: 77%
Value Over 2.5 1.93 Model: 54%
Value Over 3.5 3.5 Model: 31%
Under 1.5 4 Model: 23%
Under 2.5 1.94 Model: 46%
Under 3.5 1.38 Model: 69%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.35 Model: 84%
Over 1.5 2.66

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.32 Model: 57%
Over 9.5 1.64 Model: 44%
Over 10.5 2.65 Model: 33%
Over 11.5 2.8 Model: 24%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Melgar 2.29 Model: 48%
Draw 2.24 Model: 36%
Cienciano 4.54 Model: 16%

Double Chance

Value Melgar or Draw 1.23 Model: 85%
Melgar or Cienciano 1.29 Model: 79%
Draw or Cienciano 2.19 Model: 36%

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5 1.14 Model: 85%
Value Over 1.5 1.88 Model: 58%

Cienciano Goals

Over 0.5 1.54 Model: 51%
Over 1.5 3.75 Model: 18%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Melgar vs Cienciano Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Melgar vs Cienciano?

Over 2.5 Goals — Melgar have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Cienciano in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Melgar or Cienciano?

Melgar hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Primera Division this season, while Cienciano have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Melgar and Cienciano?

Possibly — Cienciano regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Melgar are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Melgar and Cienciano?

Possibly — Cienciano regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Melgar are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Melgar or Cienciano?

Melgar have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Cienciano's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Melgar and Cienciano?

Melgar have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Cienciano in 50% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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