Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Sunday 5th July, 01:00 BST

LDU Quito vs Libertad Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

LDU Quito Home 6W 2D 2L last 10 home

VS

Libertad Away 1W 3D 6L last 10 away

Win Probability

LDU Quito 67% Draw 21% Libertad 12%

⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

LDU Quito vs Libertad Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

LDU Quito have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Libertad in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says

67% LDU Quito win 21% Draw 12% Libertad win 48% BTTS 54% Over 2.5 Goals 2-0 most likely score

Also worth a look

78% Over 1.5 Goals 68% Over 8.5 Corners

LDU Quito average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Libertad average 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded in away fixtures. LDU Quito have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Libertad side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

LDU Quito have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games this season (2/10); Libertad in 60% away (6/10). LDU Quito average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Libertad 0.8 and 1.8 on the road.

Libertad regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). LDU Quito are lower at home (30%, 3/10). They've conceded in 50% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. LDU Quito see 8+ in 70% of home games, Libertad in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

League Table

Where LDU Quito and Libertad sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
6	LDU Quito H	15	7	3	5	16:13	+3	24
14	Libertad A	16	4	5	7	16:22	-6	17

View the full Liga Pro 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	16	12	1	3	32:18	+14	37
2	Deportivo Cuenca	16	8	3	5	18:17	+1	27
3	Universidad Católica	16	7	5	4	26:14	+12	26
4	Barcelona Guayaquil	16	7	5	4	18:13	+5	26
5	Aucas	16	7	5	4	19:16	+3	26
6	LDU Quito H	15	7	3	5	16:13	+3	24
7	Orense	15	6	4	5	21:19	+2	22
8	Emelec	16	6	4	6	13:16	-3	22
9	Técnico Universitario	16	6	2	8	17:16	+1	20
10	Macará	16	5	5	6	15:18	-3	20
11	Guayaquil City	16	5	4	7	14:19	-5	19
12	Mushuc Runa	16	4	6	6	19:21	-2	18
13	Leones del Norte	16	4	5	7	15:18	-3	17
14	Libertad A	16	4	5	7	16:22	-6	17
15	Delfin	16	4	4	8	8:15	-7	16
16	Manta	16	3	3	10	7:19	-12	12

Team Form

LDU Quito hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Libertad have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Libertad: last 10 away

Won

H

6/10 (60%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Drawn

H

2/10 (20%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Lost

H

2/10 (20%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Libertad regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while LDU Quito are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Libertad: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

3/10 (30%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Scored Themselves

H

7/10 (70%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Conceded

H

5/10 (50%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 48% · BTTS No 52%

Match Goals

LDU Quito have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Libertad in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Libertad: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

2/10 (20%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

9/10 (90%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

8/10 (80%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

9/10 (90%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

LDU Quito have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Libertad in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

LDU Quito 1.2 scored · 0.8 conceded per home game Libertad 0.8 scored · 1.8 conceded per away game

H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Libertad: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

7/10 (70%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

1/10 (10%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

5/10 (50%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

3/10 (30%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Season totals: LDU Quito 12 scored / 8 conceded at home · Libertad 8 scored / 18 conceded away

Match Corners

Both LDU Quito (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Libertad (80% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Libertad: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

7/10 (70%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

LDU Quito have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Libertad have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H LDU Quito: last 10 home A Libertad: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

1/10 (10%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

6/10 (60%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

4/10 (40%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

2/10 (20%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

1/10 (10%)

A

3/10 (30%)

LDU Quito vs Libertad Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for LDU Quito vs Libertad?

Under 3.5 Goals: LDU Quito have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Libertad in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, LDU Quito or Libertad?

LDU Quito hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Liga Pro this season, while Libertad have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between LDU Quito and Libertad?

Mixed. LDU Quito have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Libertad in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between LDU Quito and Libertad?

Uncertain. LDU Quito have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Libertad in 60% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: LDU Quito or Libertad?

Libertad have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to LDU Quito's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between LDU Quito and Libertad?

LDU Quito have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Libertad in 50% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats

View more stats