World Cup · World 🕒 Monday 6th July, 01:00 BST

Mexico vs England Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico Home · 1st 8W 1D 0L last 9 home
VS
England Away · 2nd 9W 0D 1L last 10 away
Win Probability
Mexico 21% Draw 23% England 56%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No See why ↓

Mexico vs England Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Medium confidence

At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Mexico at 22.22% BTTS in home games and England at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

What the model says
21% Mexico win 23% Draw 56% England win 51% BTTS 51% Over 2.5 Goals 0-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
75% Over 1.5 Goals 71% Under 3.5 Goals

Mexico sit 1st in the table after 4 games, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per home match this season. England are 2nd after 4 games, averaging 2.6 scored and 0.4 conceded on the road. Mexico have won 8/9 home games (89%) this season; England have won 9/10 on the road (90%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Mexico have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 33% of home games this season (3/9); England in 60% away (6/10). Mexico average 1.9 scored and 0.3 conceded at home, England 2.6 and 0.4 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Mexico have seen BTTS in only 22% of home games (2/9); England in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Mexico see 9+ corners in 22% of home games, England in 50% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

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Team Form

England have lost 10% of their away matches this season, while Mexico have been more solid at home (0% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Mexico: last 9 home A England: last 10 away
Won
H
8/9 (88.89%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Drawn
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Lost
H
0/9 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mexico (22.22% BTTS at home) and England (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H Mexico: last 9 home A England: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
2/9 (22.22%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/9 (88.89%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Conceded
H
2/9 (22.22%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 51% · BTTS No 49%

Match Goals

Mexico have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 33.33% of home games, England in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Mexico: last 9 home A England: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/9 (66.67%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/9 (33.33%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/9 (22.22%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
8/9 (88.89%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/9 (33.33%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/9 (66.67%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/9 (77.78%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Mexico have scored 2+ goals in 22.22% of home games this season, England in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Mexico 1.89 scored · 0.33 conceded per home game England 2.6 scored · 0.4 conceded per away game
H Mexico: last 9 home A England: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/9 (66.67%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/9 (88.89%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/9 (66.67%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/9 (22.22%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
2/9 (22.22%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/9 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/9 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Mexico 17 scored / 3 conceded at home · England 26 scored / 4 conceded away

Match Corners

Mexico have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 33.33% of home games, England in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Mexico: last 9 home A England: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
3/9 (33.33%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
2/9 (22.22%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
3/9 (33.33%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/9 (22.22%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/9 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/9 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Mexico have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 22.22% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 11.11% of home matches.

England have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Mexico: last 9 home A England: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/9 (22.22%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
3/9 (33.33%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/9 (22.22%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/9 (22.22%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/9 (22.22%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/9 (11.11%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/9 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Mexico and England. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

24 May 2010
England
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Mexico
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Mexico vs England across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Mexico 3.1 Model: 21%
Draw 3.1 Model: 23%
Value England 2.5 Model: 56%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 2.05 Model: 51%
No 1.7 Model: 49%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.54 Model: 75%
Value Over 2.5 2.56 Model: 51%
Value Over 3.5 5.2 Model: 29%
Under 1.5 2.82 Model: 25%
Under 2.5 1.61 Model: 49%
Under 3.5 1.21 Model: 71%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.53
Over 1.5 3.5
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Mexico 4
Draw 2
England 3.1

Double Chance

Mexico or Draw 1.57 Model: 44%
Value Mexico or England 1.36 Model: 76%
Value Draw or England 1.33 Model: 79%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 1.5 Model: 56%
Over 1.5 3.5 Model: 23%

England Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.33 Model: 81%
Value Over 1.5 2.62 Model: 51%

Mexico vs England Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mexico vs England?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No: At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Mexico at 22.22% BTTS in home games and England at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Mexico or England?

England hold a slight form advantage away (90% wins) over Mexico at home (88.89% wins) in World Cup. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Mexico and England?

Unlikely. Mexico (22.22% BTTS at home) and England (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in World Cup. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mexico and England?

Uncertain. Mexico have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 33.33% of home games, England in 60% of away games in World Cup. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mexico or England?

England have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Mexico's 22.22% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mexico and England?

Mexico have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 33.33% of home games, England in 60% of away games in World Cup. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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