World Cup · World 🕒 Friday 3rd July, 00:00 BST

Portugal vs Croatia Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal Home · 1st 7W 3D 0L last 10 home
VS
Croatia Away · 2nd 4W 2D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Portugal 50% Draw 23% Croatia 27%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Portugal vs Croatia Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Portugal see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Croatia in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
50% Portugal win 23% Draw 27% Croatia win 60% BTTS 59% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
81% Over 1.5 Goals

Portugal sit 1st in the table, averaging 3.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Croatia are 2nd, averaging 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. Portugal have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Croatia side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

Portugal have been involved in high-scoring home games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 80% of their home fixtures (8/10). Croatia are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home.

Portugal frequently see both teams score at home (80%, 8/10). Croatia are lower on the road (40%, 4/10). They've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Portugal see 8+ in 70% of home games, Croatia in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

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Team Form

Portugal have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Croatia's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Portugal: last 10 home A Croatia: last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Portugal frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Croatia are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Portugal: last 10 home A Croatia: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 60% · BTTS No 40%

Match Goals

Portugal frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Croatia are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Portugal: last 10 home A Croatia: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Team Goals

Portugal have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Croatia in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Portugal 3.4 scored · 1.1 conceded per home game Croatia 1.8 scored · 1.4 conceded per away game
H Portugal: last 10 home A Croatia: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Portugal 34 scored / 11 conceded at home · Croatia 18 scored / 14 conceded away

Match Corners

Croatia frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Portugal are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Portugal: last 10 home A Croatia: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Team Corners

Portugal have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Croatia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Portugal: last 10 home A Croatia: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Portugal and Croatia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

18 Nov 2024
Croatia
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Portugal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Sep 2024
Portugal
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Croatia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Jun 2024
Portugal
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Croatia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Nov 2020
Croatia
2 – 3 HT: 1-0
Portugal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 5 more meetings
05 Sep 2020
Portugal
4 – 1 HT: 1-0
Croatia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Sep 2018
Portugal
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Croatia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Jun 2016
Croatia
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Portugal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Jun 2013
Croatia
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Portugal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Jun 1996
Croatia
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
Portugal
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Portugal vs Croatia across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Portugal 1.84 Model: 50%
Draw 3.4 Model: 23%
Value Croatia 5 Model: 27%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 1.95 Model: 60%
No 1.89 Model: 40%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.41 Model: 81%
Value Over 2.5 2.22 Model: 59%
Value Over 3.5 4.12 Model: 37%
Under 1.5 3.32 Model: 19%
Under 2.5 1.79 Model: 41%
Under 3.5 1.3 Model: 63%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 2.75

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.44
Over 9.5 1.97
Over 10.5 3.1
Over 11.5 3.38
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Portugal 2.41
Draw 2.27
Croatia 5.27

Double Chance

Portugal or Draw 1.17 Model: 73%
Portugal or Croatia 1.3 Model: 77%
Value Draw or Croatia 2.11 Model: 50%

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5 1.19 Model: 80%
Over 1.5 1.98 Model: 52%

Croatia Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.62 Model: 64%
Value Over 1.5 4.2 Model: 33%

Portugal vs Croatia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Portugal vs Croatia?

Over 8.5 Corners: Portugal see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Croatia in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Portugal or Croatia?

Portugal hold a clear form advantage. They've won 70% of home games in World Cup this season, while Croatia have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Portugal and Croatia?

Possibly. Portugal frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while Croatia are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Portugal and Croatia?

Possibly. Portugal frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Croatia are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Portugal or Croatia?

Portugal have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Croatia's 30% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Portugal and Croatia?

Possibly. Croatia frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Portugal are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that some stats are free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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