Copa Sudamericana · South America 🕒 Tuesday 21st July, 23:00 BST

Nacional vs Tigre Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Nacional Home 7W 1D 2L last 10 home
VS
Tigre Away 1W 6D 3L last 10 away
Win Probability
Nacional 45% Draw 30% Tigre 25%
⭐ Our Prediction Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No See why ↓

Nacional vs Tigre Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Medium confidence

At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Nacional at 30% BTTS in home games and Tigre at 60% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

What the model says
45% Nacional win 30% Draw 25% Tigre win 41% BTTS 35% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
84% Under 3.5 Goals

Nacional average 1.7 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Tigre average 1 scored and 1 conceded in away fixtures. Nacional have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Tigre side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Tigre in 30% away (3/10). Nacional average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, Tigre 1 and 1 on the road.

Tigre regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Nacional are lower at home (30%, 3/10). They've conceded in 40% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Nacional see 8+ in 70% of home games, Tigre in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Nacional and Tigre sit in the Copa Sudamericana table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
15 Tigre A 6 2 3 1 8:5 +3 9
41 Nacional H 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
View the full Copa Sudamericana 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Botafogo 6 5 1 0 15:5 +10 16
2 Montevideo City Torque 7 5 1 1 12:5 +7 16
3 Olimpia 7 5 1 1 11:6 +5 16
4 River Plate 6 4 2 0 9:3 +6 14
5 Macará 7 3 4 0 7:3 +4 13
6 São Paulo 6 3 3 0 6:1 +5 12
7 América de Cali 7 3 3 1 8:6 +2 12
8 Grêmio 6 3 2 1 8:3 +5 11
9 Millonarios 7 3 2 2 10:8 +2 11
10 Bragantino 6 3 1 2 12:5 +7 10
11 Vasco da Gama 6 3 1 2 10:6 +4 10
12 Atlético Mineiro 6 3 1 2 8:6 +2 10
13 O'Higgins 6 3 1 2 8:6 +2 10
14 Caracas 7 2 4 1 9:9 0 10
15 Tigre A 6 2 3 1 8:5 +3 9
16 Deportivo Recoleta 7 1 6 0 7:6 +1 9
17 Carabobo 6 3 0 3 6:5 +1 9
18 Deportivo Cuenca 7 2 3 2 6:7 -1 9
19 Cienciano 7 2 3 2 6:8 -2 9
20 Racing Club 6 2 2 2 11:9 +2 8
21 Audax Italiano 7 2 2 3 8:10 -2 8
22 Academia Puerto Cabello 7 2 2 3 6:9 -3 8
23 Juventud 6 1 4 1 10:7 +3 7
24 Santos 6 1 4 1 8:6 +2 7
25 San Lorenzo 6 1 4 1 6:5 +1 7
26 Palestino 7 1 3 3 3:7 -4 6
27 Boston River 7 2 0 5 6:12 -6 6
28 Alianza Atlético 7 1 2 4 4:9 -5 5
29 Deportivo Riestra 6 1 2 3 4:10 -6 5
30 Blooming 7 1 1 5 6:17 -11 4
31 Barracas Central 6 0 3 3 2:8 -6 3
32 Nacional Asunción 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
33 Melgar 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
34 Cobresal 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
35 Monagas 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
36 Metropolitanos 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
37 Guabirá 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
38 Independiente Petrolero 7 0 1 6 3:15 -12 1
39 Sporting Cristal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
40 Lanús 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
41 Nacional H 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
42 Independiente Medellín 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
43 Club Bolívar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
44 Santa Fe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
45 Boca Juniors 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
46 UCV 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
47 Atlético Bucaramanga 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
48 Universidad Chile 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
49 Orense 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
50 Racing 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
51 Defensor Sporting 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
52 Sportivo Trinidense 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
53 Atlético Nacional 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
54 Deportivo Garcilaso 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
55 Libertad 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
56 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0

Team Form

Nacional have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Tigre's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Nacional: last 10 home A Tigre: last 10 away
Won
H
7/10 (70%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Tigre regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Nacional are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Nacional: last 10 home A Tigre: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 41% · BTTS No 59%

Match Goals

Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Tigre in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Nacional: last 10 home A Tigre: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Tigre in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Nacional 1.7 scored · 0.5 conceded per home game Tigre 1 scored · 1 conceded per away game
H Nacional: last 10 home A Tigre: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Nacional 17 scored / 5 conceded at home · Tigre 10 scored / 10 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Nacional (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Tigre (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Nacional: last 10 home A Tigre: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Tigre have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Nacional: last 10 home A Tigre: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Nacional vs Tigre across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Nacional 1.8 Model: 45%
Draw 3.4 Model: 30%
Value Tigre 4.5 Model: 25%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.2 Model: 41%
No 1.62 Model: 59%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.39 Model: 62%
Over 2.5 2.38 Model: 35%
Over 3.5 4.45 Model: 16%
Under 1.5 2.59 Model: 38%
Under 2.5 1.58 Model: 65%
Under 3.5 1.14 Model: 84%

Nacional vs Tigre Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Nacional vs Tigre?

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No: At least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Nacional at 30% BTTS in home games and Tigre at 60% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Nacional or Tigre?

Nacional hold a clear form advantage. They've won 70% of home games in Copa Sudamericana this season, while Tigre have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Nacional and Tigre?

Mixed. Nacional have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Tigre in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Copa Sudamericana fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Nacional and Tigre?

Uncertain. Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Tigre in 30% of away games in Copa Sudamericana. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Nacional or Tigre?

Nacional have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Tigre's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Nacional and Tigre?

Nacional have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Tigre in 60% of away games in Copa Sudamericana. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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