Liga Pro · Ecuador 🕒 Wednesday 15th July, 01:00 BST

Orense vs Emelec Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Orense Home 4W 3D 3L last 10 home
VS
Emelec Away 2W 3D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Orense 46% Draw 29% Emelec 25%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Orense vs Emelec Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Orense have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Emelec in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
46% Orense win 29% Draw 25% Emelec win 46% BTTS 41% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
67% Over 1.5 Goals

Orense average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Emelec average 0.4 scored and 1.3 conceded in away fixtures. Orense have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Emelec have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Orense have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Emelec in 10% away (1/10). Orense average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, Emelec 0.4 and 1.3 on the road.

Orense frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Emelec are lower on the road (20%, 2/10). They've scored in 40% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Orense see 8+ in 90% of home games, Emelec in 90% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

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League Table

Where Orense and Emelec sit in the Liga Pro table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
7 Orense H 15 6 4 5 21:19 +2 22
8 Emelec A 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 22
View the full Liga Pro 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 16 12 1 3 32:18 +14 37
2 Deportivo Cuenca 16 8 3 5 18:17 +1 27
3 Universidad Católica 16 7 5 4 26:14 +12 26
4 Barcelona Guayaquil 16 7 5 4 18:13 +5 26
5 Aucas 16 7 5 4 19:16 +3 26
6 LDU Quito 15 7 3 5 16:13 +3 24
7 Orense H 15 6 4 5 21:19 +2 22
8 Emelec A 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 22
9 Técnico Universitario 16 6 2 8 17:16 +1 20
10 Macará 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
11 Guayaquil City 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
12 Mushuc Runa 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
13 Leones del Norte 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
14 Libertad 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
15 Delfin 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
16 Manta 16 3 3 10 7:19 -12 12

Team Form

Emelec have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Orense have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Orense: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away
Won
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Orense frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Emelec are less consistent on the road (20%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Orense: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 46% · BTTS No 54%

Match Goals

Orense have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Emelec in 10% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Orense: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Orense have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Emelec in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Orense 1.4 scored · 1.2 conceded per home game Emelec 0.4 scored · 1.3 conceded per away game
H Orense: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Orense 14 scored / 12 conceded at home · Emelec 4 scored / 13 conceded away

Match Corners

Orense regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Emelec are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Orense: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Orense have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Emelec have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Orense: last 10 home A Emelec: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Orense vs Emelec Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Orense vs Emelec?

Under 3.5 Goals: Orense have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Emelec in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Orense or Emelec?

Orense have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Emelec on the road (20% wins) in Liga Pro. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Orense and Emelec?

Possibly. Orense frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Emelec are lower on the road (20%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Orense and Emelec?

Uncertain. Orense have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Emelec in 10% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Orense or Emelec?

Orense have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Emelec's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Orense and Emelec?

Possibly. Orense regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Emelec are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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