Super Liga · Serbia 🕒 Saturday 4th October, 09:00 BST

Napredak vs Crvena Zvezda Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Napredak Home · 16th 1W 3D 6L last 10 home
VS
Crvena Zvezda Away · 2nd 8W 2D 0L last 10 away
Win Probability
Napredak 17% Draw 19% Crvena Zvezda 64%
⭐ Our Prediction Crvena Zvezda to Win See why ↓

Napredak vs Crvena Zvezda Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Crvena Zvezda to Win

High confidence

The visitors have won 8/10 away games this season (80%), while Napredak have lost 6/10 at home (60%). The data points clearly to an away win.

What the model says
17% Napredak win 19% Draw 64% Crvena Zvezda win 58% BTTS 65% Over 2.5 Goals 1-2 most likely score
Also worth a look
84% Over 1.5 Goals

Napredak sit 16th in the table after 7 games, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. Crvena Zvezda are 2nd after 5 games, averaging 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded on the road. The away record favours Crvena Zvezda. They've won 8/10 away games (80%), while Napredak have lost 6/10 at home (60%).

Napredak have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Crvena Zvezda in 60% away (6/10). Napredak average 0.9 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, Crvena Zvezda 1.8 and 0.6 on the road.

Napredak frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Crvena Zvezda are lower on the road (50%, 5/10). They've scored in 90% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Napredak see 8+ in 70% of home games, Crvena Zvezda in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where Napredak (16th) and Crvena Zvezda (2nd) sit in the Super Liga table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Crvena Zvezda A 37 27 5 5 100:31 +69 86
16 Napredak H 37 3 9 25 30:76 -46 18
View the full Super Liga 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Crvena Zvezda A 37 27 5 5 100:31 +69 86
2 Vojvodina 37 23 7 7 66:35 +31 76
3 Partizan 37 22 7 8 72:45 +27 73
4 Železničar Pančevo 37 16 11 10 50:37 +13 59
5 Novi Pazar 37 14 10 13 46:54 -8 52
6 IMT Novi Beograd 37 13 11 13 41:51 -10 50
7 OFK Beograd 37 12 13 12 49:47 +2 49
8 Radnički Niš 37 14 7 16 46:49 -3 49
9 Radnik Surdulica 37 11 13 13 44:48 -4 46
10 Mladost Lučani 37 11 13 13 33:52 -19 46
11 Bačka Topola 37 11 12 14 45:45 0 45
12 Radnički Kragujevac 37 9 18 10 41:42 -1 45
13 Čukarički 37 10 15 12 47:50 -3 45
14 Javor Ivanjica 37 10 12 15 41:54 -13 42
15 Spartak Subotica 37 4 9 24 37:72 -35 21
16 Napredak H 37 3 9 25 30:76 -46 18

Team Form

Crvena Zvezda have been outstanding on the road this season, winning 80% of away games compared to Napredak's 10% at home. The visitors arrive as the stronger side on current form.

H Napredak: last 10 home A Crvena Zvezda: last 10 away
Won
H
1/10 (10%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Lost
H
6/10 (60%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Napredak frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Crvena Zvezda are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Napredak: last 10 home A Crvena Zvezda: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Scored Themselves
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 58% · BTTS No 42%

Match Goals

Napredak have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Crvena Zvezda in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Napredak: last 10 home A Crvena Zvezda: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Napredak have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Crvena Zvezda in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Napredak 0.9 scored · 1.5 conceded per home game Crvena Zvezda 1.8 scored · 0.6 conceded per away game
H Napredak: last 10 home A Crvena Zvezda: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Napredak 9 scored / 15 conceded at home · Crvena Zvezda 18 scored / 6 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Napredak (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Crvena Zvezda (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H Napredak: last 10 home A Crvena Zvezda: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Team Corners

Napredak have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Crvena Zvezda have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Napredak: last 10 home A Crvena Zvezda: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Napredak and Crvena Zvezda. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

7th May, 2025
Crvena Zvezda
4 – 2 HT: 2-2
Napredak
Corners 6–7 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Feb, 2025
Napredak
0 – 4 HT: 0-2
Crvena Zvezda
Corners 2–10 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Sep, 2024
Crvena Zvezda
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Napredak
Corners 14–1 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th May, 2024
Napredak
0 – 4 HT: 0-3
Crvena Zvezda
Corners 1–8 Cards 2–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
3rd Dec, 2023
Napredak
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Crvena Zvezda
Corners 3–4 Cards 2–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Aug, 2023
Crvena Zvezda
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
Napredak
Corners 3–6 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd May, 2023
Napredak
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Crvena Zvezda
Corners 2–9 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Mar, 2023
Napredak
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Crvena Zvezda
Corners 2–7 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Sep, 2022
Crvena Zvezda
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Napredak
Corners 15–0 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th May, 2022
Napredak
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Crvena Zvezda
Corners 1–7 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Napredak vs Crvena Zvezda across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Napredak 11 Model: 17%
Value Draw 7.8 Model: 19%
Crvena Zvezda 1.16 Model: 64%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 1.99 Model: 58%
No 1.94 Model: 42%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.12 Model: 84%
Over 2.5 1.38 Model: 65%
Over 3.5 1.89 Model: 43%
Value Under 1.5 8.8 Model: 16%
Value Under 2.5 3.5 Model: 35%
Value Under 3.5 2 Model: 57%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.97

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.23 Model: 57%
Over 9.5 1.44 Model: 45%
Over 10.5 1.94 Model: 35%
Over 11.5 2.17 Model: 25%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Napredak 9 Model: 19%
Draw 2.82 Model: 33%
Crvena Zvezda 1.5 Model: 48%

Double Chance

Value Napredak or Draw 4.2 Model: 36%
Napredak or Crvena Zvezda 1.07 Model: 81%
Draw or Crvena Zvezda 1.02 Model: 83%

Napredak Goals

Over 0.5 1.8 Model: 54%
Value Over 1.5 4.5 Model: 24%

Crvena Zvezda Goals

Over 0.5 1.03 Model: 87%
Over 1.5 1.2 Model: 64%

Napredak vs Crvena Zvezda Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Napredak vs Crvena Zvezda?

Crvena Zvezda to Win: The visitors have won 8/10 away games this season (80%), while Napredak have lost 6/10 at home (60%). The data points clearly to an away win.

Which team is likely to win, Napredak or Crvena Zvezda?

Crvena Zvezda arrive in the better form. Winning 80% of away games in Super Liga this season compared to Napredak's 10% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Napredak and Crvena Zvezda?

Mixed. Napredak have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Crvena Zvezda in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Super Liga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Napredak and Crvena Zvezda?

Uncertain. Napredak have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Crvena Zvezda in 60% of away games in Super Liga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Napredak or Crvena Zvezda?

Crvena Zvezda have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Napredak's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Napredak and Crvena Zvezda?

Napredak have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Crvena Zvezda in 60% of away games in Super Liga. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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