Segunda Division · Uruguay 🕒 Sunday 5th July, 00:00 BST

Oriental vs River Plate Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Oriental Home 6W 3D 1L last 10 home
VS
River Plate Away 4W 1D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Oriental 45% Draw 28% River Plate 27%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Oriental vs River Plate Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Oriental see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, River Plate in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
45% Oriental win 28% Draw 27% River Plate win 48% BTTS 43% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
78% Under 3.5 Goals 69% Over 1.5 Goals

Oriental average 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. River Plate average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded in away fixtures. Oriental have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a River Plate side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

River Plate have featured in high-scoring away games this season. Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their away fixtures (7/10). Oriental are lower at home (50%, 5/10), averaging 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

River Plate regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Oriental are lower at home (40%, 4/10). They've conceded in 50% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Both teams see 9+ corners in the majority of their games: Oriental at 70% at home (7/10), River Plate at 80% away (8/10). Over 8.5 Corners is well supported by the data.

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League Table

Where Oriental and River Plate sit in the Segunda Division table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
2 Oriental H 14 6 5 3 20:15 +5 23
12 River Plate A 13 4 2 7 18:26 -8 14
View the full Segunda Division 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Fénix 14 6 6 2 24:15 +9 24
2 Oriental H 14 6 5 3 20:15 +5 23
3 Plaza Colonia 13 6 4 3 16:9 +7 22
4 Huracán 13 5 7 1 16:12 +4 22
5 Cerrito 13 5 5 3 21:21 0 20
6 Atenas 13 6 1 6 19:18 +1 19
7 Colón 13 4 5 4 14:13 +1 17
8 Rentistas 13 4 5 4 11:14 -3 17
9 Tacuarembó 13 4 4 5 13:15 -2 16
10 La Luz 13 3 7 3 11:13 -2 16
11 Miramar Misiones 13 3 5 5 13:15 -2 14
12 River Plate A 13 4 2 7 18:26 -8 14
13 Uruguay Montevideo 13 3 4 6 13:16 -3 13
14 Paysandu FC 13 2 2 9 11:18 -7 8

Team Form

Oriental hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while River Plate have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Oriental: last 10 home A River Plate: last 10 away
Won
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Drawn
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

River Plate regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Oriental are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Oriental: last 10 home A River Plate: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 48% · BTTS No 52%

Match Goals

River Plate regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Oriental are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Oriental: last 10 home A River Plate: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

Oriental have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, River Plate in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Oriental 1.4 scored · 0.6 conceded per home game River Plate 1.4 scored · 1.6 conceded per away game
H Oriental: last 10 home A River Plate: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Oriental 14 scored / 6 conceded at home · River Plate 14 scored / 16 conceded away

Match Corners

Both Oriental (70% Over 8.5 at home) and River Plate (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H Oriental: last 10 home A River Plate: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

Oriental have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

River Plate have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Oriental: last 10 home A River Plate: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Oriental vs River Plate Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Oriental vs River Plate?

Over 8.5 Corners: Oriental see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, River Plate in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Oriental or River Plate?

Oriental hold a clear form advantage. They've won 60% of home games in Segunda Division this season, while River Plate have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Oriental and River Plate?

Mixed. Oriental have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, River Plate in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Segunda Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Oriental and River Plate?

Possibly. River Plate regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Oriental are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Oriental or River Plate?

River Plate have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Oriental's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Oriental and River Plate?

Yes. Both Oriental (70% Over 8.5 at home) and River Plate (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Segunda Division. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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Huracán vs Rentistas

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Cerrito vs Plaza Colonia

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Oriental vs Colón

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Rentistas vs Paysandu FC

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