Veikkausliiga Β· Finland πŸ•’ Saturday 18th July, 15:00 BST

Oulu vs Gnistan Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Oulu Home 8W 1D 1L last 10 home
VS
Gnistan Away 3W 3D 4L last 10 away
Win Probability
Oulu 50% Draw 24% Gnistan 25%
⭐ Our Prediction Under 3.5 Goals See why ↓

Oulu vs Gnistan Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Oulu have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Gnistan in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

What the model says
50% Oulu win 24% Draw 25% Gnistan win 56% BTTS 54% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look

Oulu average 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Gnistan average 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded in away fixtures. Oulu have the stronger home record this season (8/10, 80%) against a Gnistan side who've won 3/10 away (30%).

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals: Oulu in 80% of home games, Gnistan in 90% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides: Oulu at 50% in home games (5/10), Gnistan at 40% away (4/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season. Oulu see 8+ in 80% of home games, Gnistan in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

Where Oulu and Gnistan sit in the Veikkausliiga table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
3 Oulu H 14 8 2 4 20:15 +5 26
6 Gnistan A 13 5 4 4 19:17 +2 19
View the full Veikkausliiga 2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 KuPS 15 8 6 1 27:15 +12 30
2 Inter Turku 15 8 6 1 23:12 +11 30
3 Oulu H 14 8 2 4 20:15 +5 26
4 HJK 14 6 4 4 25:17 +8 22
5 VPS 13 5 6 2 17:11 +6 21
6 Gnistan A 13 5 4 4 19:17 +2 19
7 TPS 13 5 4 4 15:13 +2 19
8 Ilves 14 4 4 6 24:27 -3 16
9 Lahti 13 3 4 6 15:15 0 13
10 SJK 13 2 5 6 15:21 -6 11
11 Jaro 14 1 5 8 13:31 -18 8
12 Mariehamn 13 0 4 9 6:25 -19 4

Team Form

Oulu have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to Gnistan's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H Oulu: last 10 home A Gnistan: last 10 away
Won
H
8/10 (80%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Drawn
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
1/10 (10%)
A
4/10 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Oulu have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Gnistan in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is below.

H Oulu: last 10 home A Gnistan: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 56% Β· BTTS No 44%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Oulu 80% at home, Gnistan 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H Oulu: last 10 home A Gnistan: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
9/10 (90%)

Team Goals

Oulu have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Gnistan in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Oulu 2 scored Β· 0.6 conceded per home game Gnistan 1.1 scored Β· 1.2 conceded per away game
H Oulu: last 10 home A Gnistan: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Season totals: Oulu 20 scored / 6 conceded at home Β· Gnistan 11 scored / 12 conceded away

Match Corners

Oulu regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Gnistan are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Oulu: last 10 home A Gnistan: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Team Corners

Oulu have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Gnistan have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

H Oulu: last 10 home A Gnistan: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
9/10 (90%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
9/10 (90%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
9/10 (90%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Oulu vs Gnistan Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Oulu vs Gnistan?

Under 3.5 Goals: Oulu have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Gnistan in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Oulu or Gnistan?

Oulu hold a clear form advantage. They've won 80% of home games in Veikkausliiga this season, while Gnistan have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Oulu and Gnistan?

Mixed. Oulu have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Gnistan in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Veikkausliiga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Oulu and Gnistan?

Uncertain. Oulu have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Gnistan in 30% of away games in Veikkausliiga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Oulu or Gnistan?

Oulu have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Gnistan's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Oulu and Gnistan?

Possibly. Oulu regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Gnistan are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Oulu vs Gnistan

πŸ“ Veikkausliiga, Finland

πŸ•’ Saturday 18th July, 15:00 BST

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