Tercera - Group 16 · Spain 🕒 Sunday 1st February, 15:30 GMT

Peña Balsamaiso vs Yague Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Peña Balsamaiso Home · 18th 0W 5D 5L last 10 home
VS
Yague Away · 8th 1W 4D 5L last 10 away
Win Probability
Peña Balsamaiso 26% Draw 25% Yague 48%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Peña Balsamaiso vs Yague Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Peña Balsamaiso see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Yague in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
26% Peña Balsamaiso win 25% Draw 48% Yague win 55% BTTS 52% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
69% Under 3.5 Goals

Peña Balsamaiso sit 18th in the table after 16 games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per home match this season. Yague are 8th after 17 games, averaging 0.6 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. Peña Balsamaiso have won 0/10 home games (0%) this season; Yague have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Peña Balsamaiso have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Yague in 30% away (3/10). Peña Balsamaiso average 0.8 scored and 2.4 conceded at home, Yague 0.6 and 1.7 on the road.

Peña Balsamaiso frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Yague are lower on the road (30%, 3/10). They've scored in 40% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Peña Balsamaiso see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, Yague in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

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League Table

Where Peña Balsamaiso (18th) and Yague (8th) sit in the Tercera - Group 16 table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
10 Yague A 34 9 13 12 48:52 -4 40
18 Peña Balsamaiso H 33 0 11 22 27:85 -58 11
View the full Tercera - Group 16 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Logroñés II 34 26 8 0 98:22 +76 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 +26 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 +46 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 +60 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 +13 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:35 +14 60
7 Haro 34 14 9 11 54:46 +8 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 +10 47
9 Vianés 34 11 9 14 38:50 -12 42
10 Yague A 34 9 13 12 48:52 -4 40
11 Berceo 34 10 9 15 41:49 -8 39
12 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 -20 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 -15 38
14 Comillas 34 10 6 18 31:58 -27 36
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 -19 35
16 Villegas 34 7 8 19 36:65 -29 29
17 Autol 33 3 6 24 19:80 -61 15
18 Peña Balsamaiso H 33 0 11 22 27:85 -58 11

Team Form

Peña Balsamaiso have won 0% of home games this season, Yague 10% away. The breakdown below gives the full picture heading into this match.

H Peña Balsamaiso: last 10 home A Yague: last 10 away
Won
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Peña Balsamaiso frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Yague are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Peña Balsamaiso: last 10 home A Yague: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Scored Themselves
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 55% · BTTS No 45%

Match Goals

Peña Balsamaiso have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Yague in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Peña Balsamaiso: last 10 home A Yague: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Peña Balsamaiso have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Yague in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Peña Balsamaiso 0.8 scored · 2.4 conceded per home game Yague 0.6 scored · 1.7 conceded per away game
H Peña Balsamaiso: last 10 home A Yague: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Season totals: Peña Balsamaiso 8 scored / 24 conceded at home · Yague 6 scored / 17 conceded away

Match Corners

Peña Balsamaiso have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Yague in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is below.

H Peña Balsamaiso: last 10 home A Yague: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Peña Balsamaiso have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Yague have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Peña Balsamaiso: last 10 home A Yague: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Peña Balsamaiso and Yague. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up. Use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19 Sep 2025
Yague
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
Peña Balsamaiso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Feb 2025
Peña Balsamaiso
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Yague
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Oct 2024
Yague
1 – 4 HT: 0-0
Peña Balsamaiso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Apr 2023
Peña Balsamaiso
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Yague
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 1 more meeting
04 Dec 2022
Yague
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Peña Balsamaiso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Peña Balsamaiso vs Yague across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Value Peña Balsamaiso 8.35 Model: 26%
Value Draw 5.07 Model: 25%
Yague 1.3 Model: 48%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.12 Model: 76%
Over 2.5 1.57 Model: 52%
Over 3.5 1.84 Model: 31%
Value Under 1.5 6 Model: 24%
Value Under 2.5 2.35 Model: 48%
Value Under 3.5 1.73 Model: 69%

1st Half Goals

Over 1.5 2.05
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Peña Balsamaiso 7.5 Model: 25%
Value Draw 2.87 Model: 42%
Yague 1.61 Model: 33%

Double Chance

Value Peña Balsamaiso or Draw 2.87 Model: 52%
Peña Balsamaiso or Yague 1.12 Model: 75%
Draw or Yague 1.06 Model: 74%

Peña Balsamaiso vs Yague Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Peña Balsamaiso vs Yague?

Over 1.5 Goals: Peña Balsamaiso see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Yague in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Peña Balsamaiso or Yague?

Yague hold a slight form advantage away (10% wins) over Peña Balsamaiso at home (0% wins) in Tercera - Group 16. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Peña Balsamaiso and Yague?

Mixed. Peña Balsamaiso have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Yague in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Tercera - Group 16 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Peña Balsamaiso and Yague?

Uncertain. Peña Balsamaiso have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Yague in 30% of away games in Tercera - Group 16. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Peña Balsamaiso or Yague?

Yague have the stronger away scoring record. 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Peña Balsamaiso's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Peña Balsamaiso and Yague?

Peña Balsamaiso have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Yague in 50% of away games in Tercera - Group 16. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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