USL Championship · United States 🕒 Sunday 19th July, 03:30 BST

Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Phoenix Rising Home 4W 3D 3L last 10 home

VS

Monterey Bay Away 0W 3D 7L last 10 away

Win Probability

Phoenix Rising 55% Draw 24% Monterey Bay 21%

⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Phoenix Rising see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Monterey Bay in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says

55% Phoenix Rising win 24% Draw 21% Monterey Bay win 53% BTTS 52% Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 most likely score

Also worth a look

71% Under 3.5 Goals

Phoenix Rising average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Monterey Bay average 0.8 scored and 2.3 conceded in away fixtures. Phoenix Rising have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Monterey Bay have won 0/10 on the road (0%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals: Phoenix Rising in 90% of home games, Monterey Bay in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Monterey Bay regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Phoenix Rising are lower at home (50%, 5/10). They've conceded in 70% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed. Phoenix Rising see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Monterey Bay in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

League Table

Where Phoenix Rising and Monterey Bay sit in the USL Championship table for the 2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
16	Phoenix Rising H	15	4	5	6	20:22	-2	17
21	Monterey Bay A	15	4	3	8	14:22	-8	15

View the full USL Championship 2026 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	15	9	4	2	24:12	+12	31
2	Orange County	15	7	6	2	23:16	+7	27
3	Charleston Battery	15	8	2	5	30:21	+9	26
4	San Antonio	15	6	7	2	20:17	+3	25
5	Detroit City	14	7	3	4	21:14	+7	24
6	Louisville City	15	7	3	5	25:22	+3	24
7	Indy Eleven	12	6	3	3	18:12	+6	21
8	Oakland Roots	15	5	6	4	24:22	+2	21
9	New Mexico United	13	6	3	4	15:14	+1	21
10	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	13	6	2	5	15:15	0	20
11	Colorado Springs	14	5	4	5	24:22	+2	19
12	El Paso Locomotive	14	5	4	5	25:24	+1	19
13	Tulsa Roughnecks	13	5	4	4	17:16	+1	19
14	Lexington	13	5	3	5	21:16	+5	18
15	Hartford Athletic	13	4	6	3	10:11	-1	18
16	Phoenix Rising H	15	4	5	6	20:22	-2	17
17	Miami FC II	14	4	5	5	17:23	-6	17
18	Rhode Island	12	4	4	4	22:16	+6	16
19	Sacramento Republic	12	4	4	4	13:12	+1	16
20	Las Vegas Lights	14	4	3	7	21:25	-4	15
21	Monterey Bay A	15	4	3	8	14:22	-8	15
22	Birmingham Legion	14	2	7	5	15:18	-3	13
23	Brooklyn FC	14	3	3	8	15:24	-9	12
24	Loudoun United	14	1	8	5	17:28	-11	11
25	Sporting JAX	15	0	4	11	19:41	-22	4

Team Form

Monterey Bay have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Phoenix Rising have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Phoenix Rising: last 10 home A Monterey Bay: last 10 away

Won

H

4/10 (40%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Drawn

H

3/10 (30%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Lost

H

3/10 (30%)

A

7/10 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Monterey Bay regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Phoenix Rising are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Phoenix Rising: last 10 home A Monterey Bay: last 10 away

Both Teams Scored

H

5/10 (50%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Scored Themselves

H

8/10 (80%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Conceded

H

7/10 (70%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 53% · BTTS No 47%

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Phoenix Rising 90% at home, Monterey Bay 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

H Phoenix Rising: last 10 home A Monterey Bay: last 10 away

Over 1.5 Goals

H

9/10 (90%)

A

8/10 (80%)

Over 2.5 Goals

H

5/10 (50%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 3.5 Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)

Over 0.5 Goals

H

10/10 (100%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Under 0.5 Goals

H

0/10 (0%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Under 1.5 Goals

H

1/10 (10%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Under 2.5 Goals

H

5/10 (50%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Under 3.5 Goals

H

7/10 (70%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Team Goals

Phoenix Rising have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Monterey Bay in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Phoenix Rising 1.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per home game Monterey Bay 0.8 scored · 2.3 conceded per away game

H Phoenix Rising: last 10 home A Monterey Bay: last 10 away

Scored 2+ Goals

H

6/10 (60%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Conceded 2+ Goals

H

3/10 (30%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored

H

8/10 (80%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 1.5 Scored

H

6/10 (60%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 2.5 Scored

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 3.5 Scored

H

1/10 (10%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded

H

7/10 (70%)

A

9/10 (90%)

Over 1.5 Conceded

H

3/10 (30%)

A

6/10 (60%)

Over 2.5 Conceded

H

1/10 (10%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 3.5 Conceded

H

1/10 (10%)

A

3/10 (30%)

Season totals: Phoenix Rising 18 scored / 12 conceded at home · Monterey Bay 8 scored / 23 conceded away

Match Corners

Phoenix Rising regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Monterey Bay are lower on the road (20%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Phoenix Rising: last 10 home A Monterey Bay: last 10 away

Over 8.5 Corners

H

7/10 (70%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 9.5 Corners

H

6/10 (60%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)

Over 7.5 Corners

H

7/10 (70%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 10.5 Corners

H

5/10 (50%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 11.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 12.5 Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Phoenix Rising have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Monterey Bay have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H Phoenix Rising: last 10 home A Monterey Bay: last 10 away

Won 6+ Corners

H

5/10 (50%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Conceded 6+ Corners

H

3/10 (30%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For

H

7/10 (70%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 5.5 Corners For

H

5/10 (50%)

A

2/10 (20%)

Over 6.5 Corners For

H

3/10 (30%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 7.5 Corners For

H

2/10 (20%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners For

H

1/10 (10%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against

H

5/10 (50%)

A

5/10 (50%)

Over 5.5 Corners Against

H

3/10 (30%)

A

4/10 (40%)

Over 6.5 Corners Against

H

2/10 (20%)

A

1/10 (10%)

Over 7.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Over 8.5 Corners Against

H

0/10 (0%)

A

0/10 (0%)

Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay?

Over 1.5 Goals: Phoenix Rising see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Monterey Bay in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Phoenix Rising or Monterey Bay?

Phoenix Rising have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Monterey Bay on the road (0% wins) in USL Championship. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Phoenix Rising and Monterey Bay?

Mixed. Phoenix Rising have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Monterey Bay in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this USL Championship fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Phoenix Rising and Monterey Bay?

Uncertain. Phoenix Rising have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Monterey Bay in 50% of away games in USL Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Phoenix Rising or Monterey Bay?

Phoenix Rising have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Monterey Bay's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Phoenix Rising and Monterey Bay?

Possibly. Phoenix Rising regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Monterey Bay are lower on the road (20%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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